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Towards 2040 unlocking our potential
1. Towards 2040 - Unlocking Our
Potential
The Western Cape agenda for joint
action* on economic development
Draft 23/07/12
*incorporating Future Cape and CCT City Development Strategy
2. Overview
• Purpose and context
• A Vision for Change
• Transitions and goals
• Phasing of ‘step changes’
• Vision in action – Employment Works
• Enablers
• Roles and responsibilities (landing the plan in action through
partnerships)
• Managing transitions – the role of a transition management
agent
• Measuring impact – the role of a Provincial Competitiveness
Index
3. Long-term multi-stakeholder plan for Cape
region for joint action on the economy
Shared
vision
Innovation Common
and Change values
Purpose
Alignment & Fresh
partnerships thinking
4. The context
Technological change & innovation
Inadequate job
growth to meet
Skills and Unsustainable
the employment
assets deficit resource use
challenge &
(legacy) (risk)
inequality
(crisis)
Institutional inertia and fragmentation
Negative mindsets
5. Our 2040 Challenge*
Creating a resilient, inclusive and competitive
Western Cape with higher rates of employment
producing growing incomes, greater equality
and an improved quality of life
* Not a differentiated territorial marketing brand but a unifying societal
vision
6. Our Vision for Change
Poorly skilled Highly skilled
Factor/efficiency-driven Innovation-driven
Resource-intensive Resource-efficient
Dependent Enterprising
Low opportunity High Opportunity
7. Our Vision for Change
Poorly skilled Can do People Highly skilled
Factor/Efficiency Driven Good Governance Innovation Driven
Resource-intensive Resource-efficient
Location & Lifestyle
Dependent Independent
Centres of excellence
Low opportunity High Opportunity
8. Key transitions 2012-2040
From To
Knowledge Unequal variable quality High quality education for all plus
transition education plus limited innovation high innovation capacity
(Educated Cape) capacity
Economic access Factor and efficiency driven Innovation driven economy with
transition economy with high barriers to low barriers to entry with high
(Working Cape) entry and low productivity and productivity and entrepreneurship
entrepreneurship rates rates
Ecological Unsustainable carbon-intensive Sustainable low carbon resource
transition resource use use
(Green Cape)
Cultural transition Barriers to local and global High level of local connectivity and
(Connecting Cape) connectivity (language, identity, global market fluency
distance, parochial attitudes)
Settlement Unhealthy, low access, often Healthy, accessible, liveable multi-
transition alienated, low opportunity opportunity communities
(Living Cape) neighbourhoods
Institutional Defensive, adversarial structures Open, collaborative systems
transition (Leading
Cape)
9. 6 Focus Areas
with foundation and aspirational goals
• Every person will be appropriately educated for opportunity
Educating Cape • Centres of ecological, creative, science and social innovation
• Anyone who wants to be economically active is able to work
Enterprising Cape •Entrepreneurial destinations of choice
• Functioning ecosystems working for and with communities
Green Cape • Leader in Green Economy especially energy and water
• Welcoming, inclusive and integrated communities
Connecting Cape • Global meeting place and connector with new markets
•Liveable, accessible, high-opportunity neighbourhoods & towns
Living Cape • Ranked as one of greatest places to live in world
• Ambitious socially responsible leadership at all levels
Leading Cape • World-class institutions
10. 6 Focus Areas
Levers of change
• Step change in ECD provision linked to school performance improvements
Educating Cape and in school partnerships leveraging pockets of excellence
• Innovation networks linking investors, researchers and entrepreneurs
•Intensive subsidised work opportunity creation in public an private sectors
Enterprising Cape • Focus on social enterprise as a vehicle for economic growth and jobs
• Energy and water infrastructure and regulation geared to sustainable
Green Cape resource use
• Cross sectoral partnerships to fast-track a green agenda
• Programmes to build inter-community partnerships and cohesion
Connecting Cape • Expanded cultural and trade ties with targeted regions in Africa, Latin
America and Asia
•Major improvement in public transport and pedestrian access
Living Cape • Shift from subsidised housing to improved household and community
services
• Multi-level collaborations for innovation (EDP eco-system)
Leading Cape • Leadership development to cultivate ambition and responsibility at all
levels
11. Required step change
Unlocking potential
Measurable outcomes
Business as usual
Time
2012-2019 2020-2026 2027-2033 2034-2040
Creating the Implementing at Accelerating Sustaining
platform scale Improvement performance
12. Required step change
Job
Work Jobs Productivity
Up-skilling
Measurable outcomes
School School Post-school System
basics enhancement scaling excellence
Retention & Scaling Market Embedding
diversification innovation leadership excellence
Testing Scaling Refining Consolidating
Time
2012-2019 2020-2026 2027-2033 2034-2040
Creating the Implementing at Accelerating Sustaining
platform scale Improvement performance
13. The Vision in Action : Employment Works
Accelerated work opportunities at scale
Flagship : Intensive programme to get unemployed young
people into structured programme of supervised work
and learning on subsidised stipend-based basis
Major direct Builds on range of
impact on range of tested approaches Supports all 6
social challenges and managed on focus areas and
from crime to more holistic and captures critical
drugs to innovative basis vision elements in
employability if than any previous single programme
scaled correctly programme
14. The Vision in Action : Employment Works
Possible components, scale and ramp-up
Year Part-time CWP- Full-time work Approximate cost
type work experience per annum
opportunities (@R placements (@ R 30
15 000 each pa) 000 each pa)
2013 25 000 - R 375m
2014 50 000 5 000 R 900m
2015 75 000 20 000 R 1 725m
2016 100 000 40 000 R 2 700 m
2017 125 000 80 000 R 4 275m
2018 150 000 100 000 R 5 250m
2019 200 000 100 000 R 6 000m
Supplemented by incentivising the creation of range of social enterprises that
address the challenges using a commercial frame and leverage new jobs and
work opportunities e.g. via a Social Enterprise Fund
15. The Vision in Action : Employment Works
CWP-type work examples – social need focus
Educating Cape Green Cape Living Cape
• ECD, teaching • Alien clearing & • Health educators
and library fire breaks • Greening and
assistants • Waste collection cleaning
• ICT coaching and recycling • Green drops
• Sports coaching fixing leaks
• Community food • Janitorial officers
gardens • Safety officers
• Music and • Anti-drug
drama teaching counselling
16. The Vision in Action : Employment Works
Multiple reinforcing possibilities
Pathways to formal •Via agencies such as Dreamworker and MoSR
employment through •Link to business commitment to take on
job intermediation participants
Private involvement
•Dreamfields proposed model
in enhancing project
•Firm involvement (Symphonia model)
areas
Voluntary “gap year” • Proving management and mentoring (E.g
service from new Teach America)
graduates • Also role of retirees
17. The Vision in Action : Employment Works
Bridging the Big Picture
2012-2019 2020-2026 2027-2033 2034-2040
High levels of Reducing Better Maturing
unemployment unemployment functioning demography
Low levels of Increased confidence society
confidence Lower levels of anti- Job up-skilling
Alienated youth social behaviour • Big focus on building a
High levels of anti- Increasing resilient work-force
through up skilling
social behaviour productivity
Getting people into • Works programmes
downscaled as more and
jobs more people move into
Getting people into • Job intermediation at employment
scale • Impact of work and jobs
work programmes showing
• Community Works
• Community Works type mainstreamed results
programmes • Private Works • Big focus shifts to
• Private Works continued productivity
programmes • Social enterprise and
• Social enterprise at business growth
scale
Employment Intermediation
Training
18. Enablers
Funding and
Regulation Infrastructure
investment
Spatial planning and Basics: Energy, water,
Development of
land use development sanitation &
coherent investment
and management education and health
strategy
regulations infrastructure
Regulations to Development of
Economic: Broadband,
incentivise and funding and
Public Transport &
facilitate the green investment
Ports and harbours
growth agenda infrastructure
Green infrastructure:
Energy security and Shifts in current
Creating seamless and
alternative energy investment patterns
efficient government
sources & water and practices
security
19. Spatial Focus
Connecting and concentrating
‘Regional Development Corridor’
Oliphants River Valley
‘Regional Motor’
Saldhana-Vredenburg and
‘Regional Development Corridor’
secondary node
Breede River Valley
‘Regional ‘Regional Transport Corridor’ new
Transport growth potential along N2
Corridor and
new growth
area N7
‘Regional Motor’
CT Coastal Metro & South Cape and secondary node
economic hub
20. Roles and responsibilities
Goals Public Sector Private Sector Labour Community
Educated •Manage an effective and •Facilitate resilient workers by •Support schools based •Support the education
Cape efficient education system to providing ongoing training to improvements in line with drive and run
global standards adapt to new technologies global standards complementary
•Invest in collaborative R&D programmes that unlock
•Facilitate a collaborative and encourage spill-overs into •Facilitate ongoing skills ambition
innovation system the local economy development of workers
Enterprising •Catalyse work through • Invest in growth and job •Provide mentorship to •To change consumption
Cape public sector employment creation and create bridges learners and new patterns to local, slow
programmes & facilitate into employment linked to employees products
social enterprise creation Employment Works
Green Cape •To leverage public sector •To invest in sustainable and •To change consumption •To change consumption
spending to create demand green technologies & and working patterns to patterns to reduce, re-
for and lead the change to innovation reduce, re-use and use and eliminate
green technologies eliminate wastage wastage
Connecting • Recognise and leverage the • Shift from Eurocentric • Shift from insular and • Shift from threatened
Cape potential of partnerships orientation and markets to scarcity based to open and closed communities to
African and global orientation abundance based open and welcoming
relationships communities
Living Cape • Shift from a focus on • Invest in designing and •Work with the public • Create welcoming,
housing to one on services, developing new sustainable sector to identify liveable, safe, high-
community infrastructure solutions to improve living community works and opportunity
and public transport environments, especially for innovation opportunities to communities and
the poor improve settlements neighbourhoods
Leading Cape • Lead world class service • Lead shared value creation, • Lead world class service • Active citizenship
oriented delivery and collaboration and sustainable delivery through collaborative
sustainable approaches approaches partnerships
21. Public sector roles and responsibilities
Goals Public Sector National Provincial Local and Districts
Educated •Manage an effective and •Manage post schooling • Manage ECD and • Facilitate ECD provision
Cape efficient education system to education excellence schools based excellence and ensure every child
global standards •Facilitate local multi- has access to a library and
•Facilitate a collaborative •Set up national systems to sectoral knowledge & sports facilities
innovation system encourage innovation innovation partnerships
Enterprising •Catalyse work through •Fund public works and • Fund provincial public • Implement and provide
Cape public sector employment community works and community works supplementary funding
programmes & facilitate programmes at scale programmes at scale for public and community
social enterprise creation • Address the business • Facilitate social works programmes
regulatory environment enterprise creation and •Reduce the land
resourcing development costs
Green Cape •To leverage public sector • Use energy, water, • Use transport, energy, • Use bulk services and
spending to create demand transport and MIG funding to housing and bulk service energy budgets to lead
for and lead the change to lead green technology budgets to lead green green change and
green technologies change change incentivise green building
technologies
Connecting • Recognise and leverage the • Facilitate continental and • Facilitate regional and • Facilitate inter-
Cape potential of partnerships global partnerships global partnerships with community collaboration
emerging markets
Living Cape • Shift from a focus on • Promote healthy living • Invest more in public • Invest in public
housing to one on services, • Invest more community transport, services and transport and safety
community infrastructure services and infrastructure & community infrastructure
and public transport incentivise rather than fund & incentivise rather than
housing fund housing
Leading Cape • Lead world class, service • Lead world class service • Facilitate and reward • Collaborate to deliver
oriented delivery oriented public sector culture service excellence world class services
22. Economic Transition 1 Future Cape Contextual Report
Management Model Legacy: Skills and assets deficits
Problem assessment Crisis: Inadequate job growth
Creation of Transition Risk: Unsustainable resource
Processes & tools Arena/ Manager
Economic Data Synergy Project use
Provincial Competitiveness
Index Project
Leadership Development
Programme EDP as collaborative
4 2
Evaluating
intermediary cross-
sector partnership
Monitoring Vision
facilitating multi-
Learning actor transition Transition Agendas
Recalibrating arena
One Cape 2040: A deliberate
attempt to stimulate a transition
towards a more inclusive and
Creating institutional base for 3
resilient economy
2040 strategy management
Mobilising stakeholders Joint Transition Agendas:
Programmes:
Executing projects and Knowledge, Economic, Cultural,
Employment Works Programme
experiments Settlement, Ecological,
Other: 110% green, regional
Institutional
innovation network, etc
23. Example: Vietnam Provincial Competitiveness
Index – DAI and The Asia Foundation, 2011
Land access Transparency
Entry Costs and security of and access to
tenure information
Time costs of Proactivity of
Informal
regulatory provincial &
charges
compliance local leadership
Business
Labour and Legal
support
training institutions
services
24. 2040 Index (draft)
Goals Indicators
Educated • Numeracy and literacy • Number of patents •Employment and earning
Cape levels and global rates of technical and
performance tertiary education graduates
Enterprising • Employment levels and • Entrepreneurship • GDP and business growth
Cape productivity of the levels
workforce
Green Cape • energy and water • Carbon footprint • Levels of technological
security as measured by innovations to reduce
reduction in consumption, resource use
new technology provision
and cost
Connecting •Levels of trust and • Levels of anti-social • Ease of doing business
Cape tolerance behaviour across our borders into
Africa
Living Cape • Health and safety levels • Public transport • Quality of life
connectivity
Leading Cape • Networks and • Pro-activity of • Mechanisms to incentivise
collaborative capacity leadership job creation, social
enterprise and green
technologies
25. Towards 2040: Unlocking our potential Next
steps
Aug – Sept 2012 Oct – Dec 2012
30 July 2012 2013 onwards
Engagements to Mobilisation: Communication &
Draft vision &
develop and ‘land’ projects and
strategy engagement
the 6 transitions partnerships
Review existing Communicate the
government plans Set up the project plan and
(i.e. SO1-12); task teams and Employment Works
Develop details of partnerships to the public
Employment Works
Draft vision and
strategy document
approved
Secure resources to
Build transition Design and activate
implement the
management Provincial
transition agendas,
capacity through Competitiveness
in particular
the EDP Index
Employment Works
26. What is new?
• Reflects shift of discourse
– From welfare to shared responsibility
– From government leads to collaborative action
– From corporatism to collaborative innovation
• Subsidised work at scale as integrating action and
manifestation of vision
• Emphasis on social enterprise
• Institutional arrangements required drive multi-stakeholder
agenda
• Short-term action linked to long-term perspective
• Merging of City, Locals and Province intent into single
message
27. Thanks
This product is the collaborative work of a number of
individuals and organisational inputs. In particular the
team would like to thank:
– EDP team
– EDP members
– Future Cape Provincial Task Team
– Strategies for Change
– CCT CDS Team and task team
– Freedthinkers
– All various individuals and organisations that have
participated in the CDS, Future Cape or One Cape process