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CSL MARKET
REVIEW
Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily
insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets
July 29, 2015
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
1
Retail views
NSE…
The Nigeria equities closed further southward as investor’s maintained
negative postures. Although, we saw a slight recovery in the Industrial sector
on the back of gains recorded by Dangcem(0.30%) and CCNN(0.23%), other
sectorial indices lost points as Unitybnk(-4.98%), Glaxosmith(-4.76%),
Mansard(-4.89%) and Oando(-4.17%) closed lower.
Market capitalization lost N36billion, to close the day at N10.457trillion.
Market activity saw an improvement from the previous session, as value
traded (N4.388billion) appreciated by 103%. 15 stocks advanced relative to 29
decliners while 53 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers chart are
AFRIPRUD (N2.99), TRANSEXPR (N1.05) and BETAGLAS (N41.47) while
PORTPAINT (N4.16), UNITYBNK (N2.10) and UAC-PROP (N9.55) led the
decliners.
See below for recent corporate actions and results.
A cautious approach is advised, albeit aggressive investors may engage stocks
with excellent reputation and of interest to a large number of investors.
29,000.00
29,500.00
30,000.00
30,500.00
31,000.00
31,500.00
32,000.00
32,500.00
33,000.00
0.00
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value
Traded
Value Traded ASI
Market Wrap
ASI -0.34% 30,510.95
Index Yr-to-date -11.96%
Market Cap. N10.457Tn
Traded value N4.388Bn
Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg.
Afriprud 2.99 7.94
Mobil 155.98 3.99
Flourmill 28.98 3.50
Betaglas 41.47 4.99
Fidson 3.30 2.80
Key Losers Close (N) %Chg.
Uac-prop 9.55 -4.98
Berger 9.80 -4.95
Glaxosmith 40.00 -4.76
Nascon 6.37 -4.93
Cap 37.95 -4.89
Global Markets Close %Chg.
FTSE 100 6.609.01 0.82
The DOW 17,711.01 0.46
S & P 500 2,093.25 1.23
Nikkei 225 20,302.91 -0.31
Kenya 152.22 -0.88
Source : Bloomberg
Fixed Income & Commodities
NITTY
3-Month 13.1548
6-Month 13.8864
9-Month 14.5221
12-Month 14.7007
Crude Oil Spot Price
Brent Crude Us$53.01
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
2
NASD OTC Market.....
The momentum in the market rallied northwards as market capitalization appreciated by N14.45bn to close at
N543.82bn against the previous close of N529.37bn. Furthermore, 22 deals were executed as activity levels
recorded total volumes of 1,723,797units and N9,386,972.00 in values traded.
With today’s rally in place; the stocks which made much impact to the course of events were CSCS Plc and
Friesland Campina WAMCO Plc.
CSCS Plc traded a total volume of 1,601,150units in 9deals also recording a price appreciation of N0.20K
(+3.45%), whereas Friesland Campina WAMCO Plc with a high price of N300.00, traded only 700units in 3deals
to also record a price appreciation of N14.00 (+4.90%).
As for the losers; Acorn Petroleum Plc lost N0.09k (-14.06%) to close at N0.55K and Afriland Properties Plc
likewise lost N0.03k (-1.12%) to close at N2.66k.
However Arm Properties Plc and Jaiz international Plc remained unchanged in today’s trades with N2.98k and
N0.85k respectively.
Clearly we still maintain a neutral stand even as we expect more long term bargain hunting trades from
investors.
Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date Paymentdate Name Period PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg
Turnover
(N'mil) %Chg
MRS FY 2014 88 kobo Nil 17 Jul 2015 06-Aug-15 BERGER H1(2015) 237 161 50.2 1.412 14.91
Nigerins FY 2014 3.5 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Jul-15 CADBURY Q2(2015) 250 250 -120 14.137 -8
7up FY 2014 275 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Sep-15 CAP H1(2015) 1.272 868 17 3.558 6
Royalex FY 2014 2 kobo Nil 17 Jul 2015 03-Aug-15 CCNN H1(2015) 1.916 1.303 -17.98 8.739 -6.98
Berger FY 2014 75 kobo Nil 17 Jun 2015 23-Jul-15 CILEASING H1(2015) 409 327 -11 9.692 52
AirService FY 2014 15 kobo Nil 19 Jun 2015 03-Jul-15 CORNERST H1(2015) 259 233 -60.18 3.999 23.68
Cileasing FY 2014 8 kobo Nil 19 Jun 2015 07-Jul-15 DIAMONDBNK H1(2015) 14.193 12.154 -12 83.164 5.6
Betaglas FY 2014 62 kobo Nil 15-Jun-15 10-Jul-15 FBNH H1(2015) 52 10 7.75 205 24.8
McNichols FY 2014 4 kobo 1 for 10 17-Jul-15 27-Jul-15 FIDELITYBK H1(2015) 9 8 2.46 71 13.6
CCNN FY 2014 35 kobo Nil 24-Jul-15 18-Aug-15 FLOURMILL Q1(2015) 7.724 8.474 -120 308.75 -5.2
Continsur FY 2014 11 kobo Nil 24-Jul-15 31-Jul-15 JAPAUL Q1(2015) 557 557 -326 3.108 -3.4
intbrew FY 2014 25 kobo Nil 25-Jul-15 11-Aug-15 MBENEFIT FY(2014) 4.526 4.099 102 15.451 638
ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A McNICHOLS H1(2015) 35 32 111.5 485 114
Smartprdct FY 2014 25 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 11-Aug-15 NAHCO H1(2015) 503 377 -0.92 4.246 8.94
UACN H1(2015) 175 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 24-Sep-15 NB H1(2015) 30.989 21.477 -10 151.673 7
Cornerst H1(2015) 2 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 25-Jul-15 NEM Q2(2015) 1.872 1.582 45 4.797 11
NEM FY 2014 6 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 31-Jul-15 NPFMCRFBK H1(2015) 370 370 133.3 1.15 121.5
Presco FY 2014 100 kobo Nil 08-Jul-15 27-Jul-15 SEPLAT H1(2015) $8 $24 -66 $48 -19
Stanbic IBTC (Interim) H1(2015) 90 kobo Nil 31-Jul-15 28-Aug-15 STANBIC H1(2015) 9.537 9.695 -40 68.295 11
Academy Press FY 2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A TRANSCORT H1(2015) 2.484 1.758 -16.5 7.241 -10.22
UBCAP Q2(2015) 1.792 1.408 11.58 2.75 22
UBN H1(2015) 6.614 6.458 1.81 55.958 5.8
UNILEVER H1(2015) 94.07 85.57 -94 28.721 -2
WEMA Q2(2015) 1.173 0.997 -31 17 0.9
Corporate Action (July 2015) Company Result (July 2015)
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
3
News Highlight – Public Sector
FAAC disbursements pick up in June
Last week, the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) announced that it distributed the sum of
N518.6bn (US$2.6bn) to the three tiers of government for the month of June. The sum shared for June was
26.7% higher than N409.4bn (US$2.0bn) distributed for May, but 6.0% lower than the median disbursements
for the last twelve months.
While FAAC did not provide an explanation for the surge in disbursements in June, our sense is that these
incremental revenues may have accrued from an increase in volume of crude oil sold by the government.
Latest data from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) monthly report (based on
direct communication from the producing countries) indicates that Nigeria’s crude oil production averaged
1.9m barrels per day (b/d) in May, the highest average monthly production reported since the beginning of the
year. Crude oil prices were fairly stable at US$55-60 per barrel in May.
We believe that the improvement in volumes may have been helped by reduced cases of crude oil theft and
pipeline vandalism. The government has recently intensified efforts to boost security around petroleum
transportation pipelines as it seeks to enhance crude volumes in the face of weak oil prices.
Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register
4
Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian
Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital-
market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp.
RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF
LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing
this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing
advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections
afforded to its clients.
If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to
any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any
FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If
you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the
document immediately to CSLS.
This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored
investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The
appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares
referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors.
CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital
Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares
mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and
for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to
CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the
context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request.
This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS
nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and
neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in
thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnot to bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent
judgment.
Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full
amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes
in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no
recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the
risk to which it is exposed.
The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be
reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose.
© CSLS 2013. All rights reserved
CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED
Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange
First City Plaza, 44 Marina,
PO Box 9117,
Lagos State, NIGERIA

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CSL Market Insight

  • 1. CSL MARKET REVIEW Perfect your investment Strategy with CSL daily insight into the Nigerian Equity Markets July 29, 2015
  • 2. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 1 Retail views NSE… The Nigeria equities closed further southward as investor’s maintained negative postures. Although, we saw a slight recovery in the Industrial sector on the back of gains recorded by Dangcem(0.30%) and CCNN(0.23%), other sectorial indices lost points as Unitybnk(-4.98%), Glaxosmith(-4.76%), Mansard(-4.89%) and Oando(-4.17%) closed lower. Market capitalization lost N36billion, to close the day at N10.457trillion. Market activity saw an improvement from the previous session, as value traded (N4.388billion) appreciated by 103%. 15 stocks advanced relative to 29 decliners while 53 remained unchanged. Top in the gainers chart are AFRIPRUD (N2.99), TRANSEXPR (N1.05) and BETAGLAS (N41.47) while PORTPAINT (N4.16), UNITYBNK (N2.10) and UAC-PROP (N9.55) led the decliners. See below for recent corporate actions and results. A cautious approach is advised, albeit aggressive investors may engage stocks with excellent reputation and of interest to a large number of investors. 29,000.00 29,500.00 30,000.00 30,500.00 31,000.00 31,500.00 32,000.00 32,500.00 33,000.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 3-wk Trajectory : ASI vs Value Traded Value Traded ASI Market Wrap ASI -0.34% 30,510.95 Index Yr-to-date -11.96% Market Cap. N10.457Tn Traded value N4.388Bn Key Gainers Close (N) %Chg. Afriprud 2.99 7.94 Mobil 155.98 3.99 Flourmill 28.98 3.50 Betaglas 41.47 4.99 Fidson 3.30 2.80 Key Losers Close (N) %Chg. Uac-prop 9.55 -4.98 Berger 9.80 -4.95 Glaxosmith 40.00 -4.76 Nascon 6.37 -4.93 Cap 37.95 -4.89 Global Markets Close %Chg. FTSE 100 6.609.01 0.82 The DOW 17,711.01 0.46 S & P 500 2,093.25 1.23 Nikkei 225 20,302.91 -0.31 Kenya 152.22 -0.88 Source : Bloomberg Fixed Income & Commodities NITTY 3-Month 13.1548 6-Month 13.8864 9-Month 14.5221 12-Month 14.7007 Crude Oil Spot Price Brent Crude Us$53.01
  • 3. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 2 NASD OTC Market..... The momentum in the market rallied northwards as market capitalization appreciated by N14.45bn to close at N543.82bn against the previous close of N529.37bn. Furthermore, 22 deals were executed as activity levels recorded total volumes of 1,723,797units and N9,386,972.00 in values traded. With today’s rally in place; the stocks which made much impact to the course of events were CSCS Plc and Friesland Campina WAMCO Plc. CSCS Plc traded a total volume of 1,601,150units in 9deals also recording a price appreciation of N0.20K (+3.45%), whereas Friesland Campina WAMCO Plc with a high price of N300.00, traded only 700units in 3deals to also record a price appreciation of N14.00 (+4.90%). As for the losers; Acorn Petroleum Plc lost N0.09k (-14.06%) to close at N0.55K and Afriland Properties Plc likewise lost N0.03k (-1.12%) to close at N2.66k. However Arm Properties Plc and Jaiz international Plc remained unchanged in today’s trades with N2.98k and N0.85k respectively. Clearly we still maintain a neutral stand even as we expect more long term bargain hunting trades from investors. Name Period Dividend Bonus Closure date Paymentdate Name Period PBT (N'mil) PAT (N'mil) %Chg Turnover (N'mil) %Chg MRS FY 2014 88 kobo Nil 17 Jul 2015 06-Aug-15 BERGER H1(2015) 237 161 50.2 1.412 14.91 Nigerins FY 2014 3.5 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Jul-15 CADBURY Q2(2015) 250 250 -120 14.137 -8 7up FY 2014 275 kobo Nil 17-Jul-15 29-Sep-15 CAP H1(2015) 1.272 868 17 3.558 6 Royalex FY 2014 2 kobo Nil 17 Jul 2015 03-Aug-15 CCNN H1(2015) 1.916 1.303 -17.98 8.739 -6.98 Berger FY 2014 75 kobo Nil 17 Jun 2015 23-Jul-15 CILEASING H1(2015) 409 327 -11 9.692 52 AirService FY 2014 15 kobo Nil 19 Jun 2015 03-Jul-15 CORNERST H1(2015) 259 233 -60.18 3.999 23.68 Cileasing FY 2014 8 kobo Nil 19 Jun 2015 07-Jul-15 DIAMONDBNK H1(2015) 14.193 12.154 -12 83.164 5.6 Betaglas FY 2014 62 kobo Nil 15-Jun-15 10-Jul-15 FBNH H1(2015) 52 10 7.75 205 24.8 McNichols FY 2014 4 kobo 1 for 10 17-Jul-15 27-Jul-15 FIDELITYBK H1(2015) 9 8 2.46 71 13.6 CCNN FY 2014 35 kobo Nil 24-Jul-15 18-Aug-15 FLOURMILL Q1(2015) 7.724 8.474 -120 308.75 -5.2 Continsur FY 2014 11 kobo Nil 24-Jul-15 31-Jul-15 JAPAUL Q1(2015) 557 557 -326 3.108 -3.4 intbrew FY 2014 25 kobo Nil 25-Jul-15 11-Aug-15 MBENEFIT FY(2014) 4.526 4.099 102 15.451 638 ETI FY 2014 Nil 1 for 15 22-Jul-15 N/A McNICHOLS H1(2015) 35 32 111.5 485 114 Smartprdct FY 2014 25 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 11-Aug-15 NAHCO H1(2015) 503 377 -0.92 4.246 8.94 UACN H1(2015) 175 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 24-Sep-15 NB H1(2015) 30.989 21.477 -10 151.673 7 Cornerst H1(2015) 2 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 25-Jul-15 NEM Q2(2015) 1.872 1.582 45 4.797 11 NEM FY 2014 6 kobo Nil 10-Jul-15 31-Jul-15 NPFMCRFBK H1(2015) 370 370 133.3 1.15 121.5 Presco FY 2014 100 kobo Nil 08-Jul-15 27-Jul-15 SEPLAT H1(2015) $8 $24 -66 $48 -19 Stanbic IBTC (Interim) H1(2015) 90 kobo Nil 31-Jul-15 28-Aug-15 STANBIC H1(2015) 9.537 9.695 -40 68.295 11 Academy Press FY 2014 Nil 1 for 5 07-Aug-15 N/A TRANSCORT H1(2015) 2.484 1.758 -16.5 7.241 -10.22 UBCAP Q2(2015) 1.792 1.408 11.58 2.75 22 UBN H1(2015) 6.614 6.458 1.81 55.958 5.8 UNILEVER H1(2015) 94.07 85.57 -94 28.721 -2 WEMA Q2(2015) 1.173 0.997 -31 17 0.9 Corporate Action (July 2015) Company Result (July 2015)
  • 4. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 3 News Highlight – Public Sector FAAC disbursements pick up in June Last week, the Federation Account Allocation Committee (FAAC) announced that it distributed the sum of N518.6bn (US$2.6bn) to the three tiers of government for the month of June. The sum shared for June was 26.7% higher than N409.4bn (US$2.0bn) distributed for May, but 6.0% lower than the median disbursements for the last twelve months. While FAAC did not provide an explanation for the surge in disbursements in June, our sense is that these incremental revenues may have accrued from an increase in volume of crude oil sold by the government. Latest data from the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries’ (OPEC) monthly report (based on direct communication from the producing countries) indicates that Nigeria’s crude oil production averaged 1.9m barrels per day (b/d) in May, the highest average monthly production reported since the beginning of the year. Crude oil prices were fairly stable at US$55-60 per barrel in May. We believe that the improvement in volumes may have been helped by reduced cases of crude oil theft and pipeline vandalism. The government has recently intensified efforts to boost security around petroleum transportation pipelines as it seeks to enhance crude volumes in the face of weak oil prices.
  • 5. Office: 01-2713923, 01-2713920; Mobile: 08068015502; 08055250071; Email: cslservice@fcmb.com; Click here to register 4 Important Risk Warnings and Disclaimers CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED (CSLS) is regulated and authorized by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of Nigeria and the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). The details of the authorization can be viewed at the SEC Website at http://www.sec.gov.ng/consolidated-list-of-capital- market-operators.html and at the NSE Website at http://www.nse.com.ng/Regulation/ForBrokers/Pages/Dealing-Members.asp. RELIANCE ON THIS NOTE FOR THE PURPOSE OF ENGAGING IN ANY INVESTMENT ACTIVITY MAY EXPOSE YOU TO A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF LOSS. By receiving this document, you will not be deemed a client or provided with the protections afforded to clients of CSLS. When distributing this document, CSLS or any member of the First City Group is not acting for anyrecipient of this document and will not be responsible for providing advice to any recipient in relation to this document. Accordingly, CSLS will not be responsible to any recipient for providing the protections afforded to its clients. If you are in the UK, the protections of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA) or Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do not apply to any investment activity engaged in as a result of this communication; and any resulting transaction would not fall within the jurisdiction of any FSMA or FCA dispute resolution or compensation scheme. By accepting this document you confirm that you are so aware of the above stated. If you do not accept the above stated and/or if the distribution of this document is otherwise unlawful where you are, you are required to return the document immediately to CSLS. This document is not an offer to buy or sell or to solicit an offer to buy or sell any security. This document does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it. The appropriateness of a particular investment will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. The investments and shares referred to in this document may not be suitable for all investors. CSLS is a member of the FCMB Group Plc (“the Group”), a group of companies which includes First City Monument Bank Ltd., FCMB Capital Markets Ltd, First City Asset Management and FCMB UK. Either CSLS or any other member of the Group may effect transactions in shares mentioned herein, may take proprietary trading positions in those shares, and may receive remuneration for the publication of its research and for other services. Accordingly, this document may not be considered as objective or impartial. Additionally, information may be available to CSLS or the Group, which is not reflected in this material. Further information on CSLS’ policy regarding potential conflicts of interest in the context of investment research and CSLS’ policy on disclosure and conflicts in general are available on request. This document is based on information obtained from sources it believes are reliable but which it has not independently verified. Neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees make any guarantee, representation or warranty as to its accuracy, reasonableness or completeness and neither CSLS nor its advisors, directors or employees accepts any responsibility or liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The opinions contained in thisdocumentare subject tochangewithoutnoticeandnot to bereliedupon andshouldnotbeusedin substitution fortheexerciseofindependent judgment. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Investments may go down in value as well as up and you may not get back the full amount invested. Where an investment is denominated in a currency other than the local currency of the recipient of the research report, changes in the exchange rates may have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of that investment. In case of investments for which there is no recognized market it may be difficult for investors to sell their investments or to obtain reliable information about its value or the extent of the risk to which it is exposed. The information contained in this document is confidential and is solely for use of those persons to whom it is addressed and may not be reproduced, further distributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. © CSLS 2013. All rights reserved CSL STOCKBROKERS LIMITED Member of the Nigerian Stock Exchange First City Plaza, 44 Marina, PO Box 9117, Lagos State, NIGERIA