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Theory of Change Central Asia
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  • 1. Dryland Systems CRP Theory of Change in Central Asia Extension Proposal Workshop Amman, Jordan, 28-31 March 2014
  • 2. Reducing vulnerability and managing risk Lowland basin of the Aral Sea, including Dashoguz region (Turkmenistan), Khorezm region and the Republic of Karakalpakstan (Uzbekistan), Kyzylorda region (Kazakhstan) Rasht and Kyzyl Suu Valley (Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan)
  • 3. Action site for sustainable intensification Fergana Valley including Batken, Jalalabad, Osh regions (Kyrgyzstan), Sughd region (Tajikistan), Andijan, Namangan, Fergana regions (Uzbekistan) Characteristics: water for irrigation, options for diversified production systems for cotton-wheat-livestock-vegetables and horticultural crops, characterized by unique agro-biodiversity, along with good research and transport infrastructure are some of the factors that can lead to higher standards of living of the local population.
  • 4. • Operational since 1998 • Eleven CGIAR and non-CGIAR Centers • Eight NARS • Hosted by ICARDA • Each Center has own mandate and expertise – transfer, testing and development of technologies • Governance by Steering Committee • Program Facilitation Unit in Tashkent provides policy, technical and administrative support • Financing by the participating Centers • Portfolio of about 70 projects since 1998 • Strengthening local institutions, training Existing partnership: Regional Program for Sustainable Agricultural Development in CAC www.cac-program.org
  • 5. CGIAR Research Programs in CAC • Dryland Systems • Policies, Institutions and Markets • Wheat • Roots and Tubers • Dryland Cereals • Water, Land and Ecosystems • Forests, Trees and Agroforestry • Climate Change • Genetic Resources • Research problems are inter-related • Interdisciplinary approaches combined with site-specific implementation plans • Exploit synergies among Centers, avoid redundancy, contradictions and competition • Increased stakeholder participation for improving acceptability of research results • Opportunities for women, youth • Co-location of Centers and common procedures, resources offer opportunities for CRPs implementation in Central Asia
  • 6. IDO 7. Policy reform removing constraints and incentivising rural households to engage in more sustainable practices that intensify and improve resilience IDO 5. Impact through better functioning markets underpinning intensification of rural livelihoods IDO 6. More integrated, effective and connected service delivery institutions underpinning system intensification IDO 1. More resilient livelihoods for vulnerable households in marginal areas. IDO 2. More stable and higher per capita income for intensifiable households IDO 4. More sustainable and equitable management of land and water resources in agropastoral areas IDO 3. Women and children in vulnerable households have year round access to greater quantity and diversity of food sources
  • 7. IDO 7. Policy IDO 5. Markets IDO 6. Services IDO 1. Resilience IDO 2. Intensification / income IDO 4. NRM IDO 3. Nutrition and Health
  • 8. IDO 7. Policy IDO 5. Markets IDO 6. Services IDO 1. Resilience reducing risks IDO 2. Intensification / income IDO 4. NRM IDO 3. Nutrition and Health 3.2.1. Varieties / trials 1.2.1. Marginal lands 1.1.1. Improved irrigation 2.2.1. Improved water use 1.1.3. Livestock 7.2.1. Improved land tenure and property rights 4.1.2. Bio-economic modeling 2.3.1. Varieties for crop-livestock 3.2.5. Vegetables production 4.1.3. GIS 3.2.2. Postharvest capacity 3.2.3. Seed system 4.2.1. IP 1.2.2. Water use 3.2.4. Mixed crop system 1.2.3. Risk models 4.2.2. NRM Strategies 4.2.3. NRM Planning
  • 9. IDO 1. Resilience IDO 2. Income IDO 3. Nutrition IDO 4. NRM IDO 5. Markets IDO 6. Services IDO 7. Policy IDO 8. Gender 1.1.1. Improved irrigation 1.1.3. Livestock 1.2.1. Marginal lands 1.2.2. Water use 1.2.3. Risk models 2.2.1. Water use efficiency 2.3.1. Varieties for crop-livestock 3.2.1. Varieties / trials 3.2.2. Postharvest capacity 3.2.3. Seed system 3.2.5. Vegetables production 3.2.4. Mixed crop system 4.1.2. Bio-economic modeling 4.1.3. GIS 4.2.1. Innovation Platform 4.2.2. NRM Strategies 4.2.3. NRM Planning 7.2.1. Improved land tenure and property rights Relevance of activities to IDOs
  • 10. Activities Budget [000 USD] 1.1.1. Improved irrigation 150 1.1.3. Livestock 450 1.2.1. Marginal lands 320 2.2.1. Water use efficiency 550 2.3.1. Varieties for crop-livestock 100 3.2.1. Varieties / trials 550 3.2.2. Postharvest capacity 150 3.2.3. Seed system 360 3.2.5. Vegetables production 100 4.1.2. Bio-economic modeling 100 4.1.3. GIS 200 4.2.1. Innovation Platform 300 7.2.1. Improved land tenure and property rights 250 Total investment 2014-2015 3,580 Budget of activities in 2014-2015
  • 11. Productivity Adaptive capacity (IDO1) Capacity to innovate Nutrition and health (IDO3) Income (IDO2) Policies and institutions (IDO7) Future options (IDO4) Gender (IDO8) Food Security Proposed Theory of Change for DS CRP [in Central Asia]