The good, the bad and the ugly: Climate change’s potential impact on farmers in Africa


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This presentation by Sepo Hachigonta from FANRPAN talks about the recent changes in agriculture in Africa, how this data can be transferred into information and policy and how this affects several other parts of African life aspects.

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The good, the bad and the ugly: Climate change’s potential impact on farmers in Africa


  1. 1. The good, the bad and the ugly: Climate change’s potential impact on farmers in Africa Global Landscapes Forum Warsaw, Poland 16 November 2013 Sepo Hachigonta shachigonta@fanrpan.org
  2. 2. Scientific research has changed the world Now it needs to change itself A SIMPLE idea underpins science: Only 14% of published papers “trust, but verify” Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  3. 3. Welcome to the Anthropocene! 3.3 million deaths from natural hazards in the 40 years to 2010 50% increase (Btw 2000 and 2050) mostly in developing countries Over 400,000 deaths from climate extremes since 2000 with 79% in developing countries Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  4. 4. Crop yield changes Zinyengere , Crespo and Hachigonta., 2013 Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  5. 5. Transforming Data into Information and Policy • Uncertainties • Evidence • Modeling • Limitations • Uncertainty • Interpretation • Etc Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  6. 6. Climate information at a local scale Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  7. 7. Costing the Impacts of Climate Change Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  8. 8. Livelihood Vulnerability Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  9. 9. Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  10. 10. Household Vulnerability Low vulnerability Moderate vulnerability Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org High vulnerability
  11. 11. Multi-Disciplinary approach Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  12. 12. Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  13. 13. Communicate climate science and impacts including uncertainties Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  14. 14. Research for Impact Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org
  15. 15. Recommendations  Promote and support strategies for out-scaling proven technologies;  Develop practical research and innovation  Integrate climate change into mainstream national agricultural development policy and planning processes;  Extension services (public and non-public) need foundation training to acquire core proficiencies in CSA from management levels  Engage stakeholders when generating research evidence Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources Policy Analysis Network (FANRPAN) www.fanrpan.org

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