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FROM CONCEPT TO PRODUCT:
    An Examination of Issues Related to the
     Commercialization of Biotech Crops




Presented at the XI International Rice Conference for
          Latin America and the Caribbean
                   Cali,
                   Cali Colombia
                 Sept. 21-24, 2010

                Dr. Judith Chambers
      Director, Program for Biosafety Systems
       International Food Research Institute
A FEW POINTS TO KEEP IN MIND
Trends and the continuing need for innovation
Role of Biotechnology
  Product development issues
  Evolving market forces and demographics – local,
  regional, and global
  Controversy, politics, policy and regulation
  Complex and diverse institutional players
When considering where we are for
commercialization of biotech crops, there is a need
          i li i     f bi   h         h    i      d
to consider historical context and role of
integration
THE GLOBAL CHALLENGE

Increased demand for Food, Feed, Fiber and Fuel
                      • World population will grow from
                      current 6.5B to 8B by 2025 and 9.2B
                      by 2050

                      • Affluence in emerging economies
                      will drive meat, cereals, edible oil
                      consumption up

                      • Climate change will alter land, water
                      availability and quality; introduce
                      new pests

                      • Increase in biof el cons mption
                                    biofuel consumption

                                          Source: Leaver, 2008; FAO, 2009
THE GLOBAL CHALLENGE – CLIMATE CHANGE
By 2050, climate changes will reduce Asian irrigated rice production by 27%
   2050
TECHNOLOGY HAS BEEN AN IMPORTANT TOOL TO
   INCREASE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY

For example: At the turn of the century, the U.S.
farmer fed 7 people.
             p p
Today, the U.S. farmer feeds 96 people, due to:
   New seed = increased yields
   •   Conventional breeding
       C      ti  lb     di
   •   Biotechnology traits
   Fertilizer
   Crop protection
   Efficient machinery
   Supportive government policy
      pp       g         p    y
And, globally, new innovations in biotechnology
have delivered
   yield increases from 9 to 31%
   pesticide application decreases from 39 to 60%
   income increases from $117 to $250 per acre
GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS
         1996 to 2008

              By Crop (mil ha)




 Source: James 2009
                                 Page 12
EXPERIENCE WITH GM CROPS IN
   THE DEVELOPING WORLD
  Global Area of Biotech Crops, 1996 to 2008:
Industrial and Developing Countries (million ha)




                                Source: James 2009
THE GLOBAL COMMERCIALIZATION PICTURE
INDIA: BT COTTON --A SUCCESS STORY
                     --A
contributed to doubling of yields in 5 years




                            Source: Cotton Advisory Board
IMPACT
India emerged as 2nd largest exporter of cotton
          g             g      p




      Source: Cotton Advisory Board 2009
IMPACT AT THE FARM LEVEL
Average effects of Bt cotton vs. non-Bt in India
                                 non-
      Based on peer-reviewed published studies


   Yield Increase                  39%*

   Reduction in insecticide 33%*
   sprays
   Profit Increase/ha              70.9%*
       * Significantly different from zero at 5% level

       Source: Gruere, Mehta-Bhatt and Sengupta 2008



                                                         Page 11
DEVELOPING COUNTRY CROPS IN THE
            PIPELINE

Insect resistant cowpea – Africa
                       p
Virus resistant cassava – Africa
Virus resistant papaya
Nutrient enhanced cassava, rice,
banana and sorghum
Water efficient maize
          ff
Rice - salt tolerant, disease &
 insect resistant, enhanced
         resistant
 nutrition
Water and fertilizer efficient
 maize
BIOTECHNOLOGY BENEFITS AND IMPACT
•    Economic Benefits
     >>>productivity>>>>income leading to <<<$food
•    Protection of biodiversity
•    Protection of Natural Resources and climate change
        conservation tillage/carbon sequestration
                 ti  till   /   b          t ti
        reduced pesticide load
        reduced time to breed adaptive varieties
•    Poverty alleviation
        for ~13 million small scale farmers
     Social b
     S i l benefits
               fit
        gender positive impacts
        more disposable income for health care, education
        nutritionally enhanced crops
     Source : ISAAA
AND YET…….
The 8 years preceding adoption in India
  were characterized by:
     major public controversy
     burning of field trials
     accusations of multi-national domination
     continuing regulatory uncertainty


While today, most developing countries,
  esp. in sub-Saharan Africa, are non-
  adopters and not commercially
  growing biotech crops
It’s not just about the science !
    Markets/Policy Political/Socio
    M k t /P li -P liti l/S i -cultural
    Markets/Policy-Political/Socio- lt l

Product development considerations
Links to markets – local, regional and global
Trade competition and retaliation
            p
Enabling policy/regulatory climate
Complex and diverse institutional
      p
players
Technological gaps & science
 literacy
Concerns about food system
control, risk, consumer rights
     t l i k             i ht
INTEGRATION OF FACTORS AFFECTING
           PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT




Source: ABSP-II, Cornell University
Unique to or
              greater emphasis
              for biotech crops




Stakeholder
 outreach                         Stewardship
                 Regulatory       throughout
                 and Variety       value chain
                 Certification
GENE DISCOVERY

Identification of gene/construct with marketable or
beneficial trait

Small scale transformation, evaluate research
plants in greenhouse (containment)

Prescreen research events and produce seed for
further evaluation

Begin stakeholder analysis at product concept
PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION


Regulatory trials in target countries
Continued variety development
Continued seed production
Further development of validated detection
methods (marker) for commercial quality
control
Sta e o de dialogue a p g
Stakeholder d a ogue ramping up
Marketing and technical support intensified
PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION cont.
Quality Management System
Implement or adapt QMS to maintain plant product integrity
  and quality

     segregation of plant material in storage
     accurate tracking of all planted and harvested plant material
     prevent the inadvertent during planting or harvest
     previous and subsequent land use


     maintain plant product integrity in the fi ld
       i i l           d    i     i i h field
     equipment is cleaned and any harvested plant materials are used
     and/or disposed of appropriately
PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION cont.
Licensing/Contract Production:
appropriate steward ship requirements – awareness,
  pp p                 p q                       ,
training, verification

Regulatory Compliance: Compliance with regulations
including transport, production, treatment, and storage of
plant materials

Product Launch: regulatory approvals required (as opposed
to simply plant variety certification)
CROP PRODUCTION AND UTILIZATION
Commercialization requires  management across value chain 
Commercialization requires management across value chain
VALUE CHAIN DISTRIBUTION AND MARKETING

Product launch: develop and implement plan
Distribution of product through a supply chain to
customers.
    All necessary regulatory authorizations required.
Quality management
   maintain and document plant product integrity,
   inventory control and product trace back and recovery
Regulatory compliance
   conditions of authorization
   monitoring
   import/export
   phytosanitary
VALUE CHAIN DISTRIBUTION
            AND MARKETING cont
                MARKETING, cont.
Stewardship education
   educate the distribution, value chain and stakeholders
   on proper use
   enables them to define practices for appropriate product
   use
Product withdrawal (?)
   controlling materials in supply chains,
   recalling and controlling material in commercial
   distribution h i
   di t ib ti chains (?)
   communication
PRODUCT DISCONTINUATION


Commercialization may be abandoned or
 products withdrawn due to:
 Issues with regulatory registration
 Market licensing agreements
 Trade issues
 Resistance or pressure by stakeholders in the value
 chain
 Public relations considerations
Successful Technology Adoption and the
  Product Development Lifecycle


          1                 2                   3                4             5                   6


Product        Discovery        Early Product       Integratio       Product        Market             Post
Concept                         Testing &           n&               Ramp Up        Introduction       Market
                                Development         Product                                            Activities
                                                    Selection




                            Field Trials/Testing
              1 – 3 years                 1 – 3 years                              1 – 3 years




                                         Stakeholder Engagement Intensity
Successful Commercialization Involves
 Diverse Players a d Pathways
    e se aye s and at ays

        Research &
        Ext Service      Government
                         Go ernment

                                  Policy
                                  Agriculture
                                  Environment


Market/Consumer
                         FARMERS                  Donors & NGO’s




Finance Bank
                         Distribution
                           st but o               Multinationals


           Commitment, Government, Partnerships
Public vs. Private Sector
                Contrasting Impacts on Commercialization
    STEP IN CYCLE                PUBLIC SECTOR                      PRIVATE SECTOR
Product Concept              May not be supported by market     Market primary consideration
                             realities


Construct                    Constructs – varied owners, IPR;    Cross Licensing, IPR may be
                             legal capacity may be an issue     more straightforward; resident
                                                                legal capacity

Transformation/ and          Scale, capacity                    Sophisticated capacity, able to
                                                                handle large numbers
experimental validation
Regulatory review            Limited capacity and resources –   Well resourced for larger private
                             human, financial; lack of          sector companies; longer term
                             framework i target countries
                             f        k in t    t      ti       commitment than conventional
                                                                      it   t th           ti   l
                                                                crops
Delivery, Distribution,      Absent, weak, informal             Products usually have an
                                                                integrated “fit”
Value Chain
Stakeholder Outreach and     More credibility but resource      Requiring more resources,
                             intensive                          expertise; devoted PR and
Communication                                                   communications efforts; less
                                                                credibility with some
                                                                stakeholders
Product Withdrawal,          Limited capacity to manage or      Capacity exists but liability
                             pay                                regimes may prevent product
Liability                                                       entry
IFPRI PROGRAM FOR BIOSAFETY
       Mission St t
       Mi i Statementt

Empowers partner countries to build and
  implement functional regulatory systems by
  providing:

1. Independent expertise – science and policy
2. Capacity building
      p    y        g
3. Credible information to policy makers, stakeholders,
   end users and key opinion leaders for informed
   decision making g
4. Experts are regulators from govt. and industry,
   scientists, lawyers and economists
CURRENT PARTNER COUNTRIES


                                                    PHILIPPINES
  NIGERIA



                                           KENYA

            UGANDA            MALAWI




    East Africa: Kenya, Uganda, Ethiopia, COMESA
    West Africa: Nigeria
    Southern Africa: Malawi, Mozambique
    SE Asia: Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia
Affiliations: IFPRI, Danforth Center, Center for Science in the Public
Interest, ISAAA, Calvin College, U. Minn., Iowa State/BIGMAP
RECENT PBS ACHIEVEMENTS
KENYA
   Stakeholder outreach for passage of Biosafety Bill in 2009
   draft implementing regulations and training lawyers and
   regulators
UGANDA
   CFTs (cotton, cassava, banana), regulatory policy,
   commercialization strategy and handbook
                              gy
MALAWI
    submission of 1st field trial application pending
NIGERIA
   technical input to law
   public communication and stakeholder outreach
   support passage of biosafety bill through House of
      pp     p      g             y          g
   Representatives
PHILIPPINES
   extensive capacity building
   specific regulatory issues – IRM, stacked traits
VIETNAM
   facilitated first CFT
Biosafety Policy - Developing Country Experiences
     Program For Biosafety Systems – Lessons Learned

 Balance
 Science is NOT static
 Transparent, predictable science based fle ible
 Transparent predictable, science-based, flexible
 Product Evolution
 Regulations reflect product development stage
 Investment
 Regulatory system should promote internal and external investment,
 trade
 Local Test
 Can local organizations/ private companies comply with and afford the
  y
 system?
 Other
 Reconciliation with other applicable laws – seed laws, plant variety protection,
 food safety laws
 Resources
 Implementation and capacity building
SUMMARY OF CONSTRAINTS TO GLOBAL BIOTECH
              COMMERCIALIZATION
LIMITED PROFIT OPPORTUNITIES – for private sector incentives

DONOR RELUCTANCE - t fito finance long term, expensive,
                                  l    t           i
controversial research

INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES - in working across/with diverse
organizations – no vertical integration; capacity

MARKETS - Weak markets, delivery systems, product stewardship
and management

INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY - may limit access esp. for orphan
                          y                p        p
crops
REGULATORY – capacity, cost, trade
COMMUNICATION – consumer resistance, limited stakeholder
outreach at early stages, systematic approach needed
WHAT IS NEEDED TO INCREASE COMMERCIALIZATION OF
 BENEFICIAL PRODUCTS, ESP. FOR THE DEVELOPING
                     WORLD
  Less polarized debate: A recognition by industry, govts., NGOs that
  there is not a “one size fits all” and that choice is important – (biotech,
  nanotech, conventional, organic, etc.)

  A rationalized regulatory dialogue; harmonization

  Adoption in the context of market and cultural realities; communication is
  key!

  Capacity building for developing world “players” – for R&D, regulatory
  review, stakeholder outreach and risk communication

  General market development for agriculture with supporting infrastructure

  Additional compelling products

  More incentives for technology donation and public/private cooperation
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
 Colleagues at IFPRI
 Drs. Mark Rosegrant
 Guillaume Gruere
 Jose Falck Zepeda
 Donald Danforth Plant Science Center
 Dr. Hector Quemada
 Donna Ramaeker Zahn, consultant
 ISAAA
 Margaret Karembu
From concept product

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From concept product

  • 1. FROM CONCEPT TO PRODUCT: An Examination of Issues Related to the Commercialization of Biotech Crops Presented at the XI International Rice Conference for Latin America and the Caribbean Cali, Cali Colombia Sept. 21-24, 2010 Dr. Judith Chambers Director, Program for Biosafety Systems International Food Research Institute
  • 2. A FEW POINTS TO KEEP IN MIND Trends and the continuing need for innovation Role of Biotechnology Product development issues Evolving market forces and demographics – local, regional, and global Controversy, politics, policy and regulation Complex and diverse institutional players When considering where we are for commercialization of biotech crops, there is a need i li i f bi h h i d to consider historical context and role of integration
  • 3. THE GLOBAL CHALLENGE Increased demand for Food, Feed, Fiber and Fuel • World population will grow from current 6.5B to 8B by 2025 and 9.2B by 2050 • Affluence in emerging economies will drive meat, cereals, edible oil consumption up • Climate change will alter land, water availability and quality; introduce new pests • Increase in biof el cons mption biofuel consumption Source: Leaver, 2008; FAO, 2009
  • 4. THE GLOBAL CHALLENGE – CLIMATE CHANGE By 2050, climate changes will reduce Asian irrigated rice production by 27% 2050
  • 5. TECHNOLOGY HAS BEEN AN IMPORTANT TOOL TO INCREASE AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY For example: At the turn of the century, the U.S. farmer fed 7 people. p p Today, the U.S. farmer feeds 96 people, due to: New seed = increased yields • Conventional breeding C ti lb di • Biotechnology traits Fertilizer Crop protection Efficient machinery Supportive government policy pp g p y And, globally, new innovations in biotechnology have delivered yield increases from 9 to 31% pesticide application decreases from 39 to 60% income increases from $117 to $250 per acre
  • 6. GLOBAL AREA OF BIOTECH CROPS 1996 to 2008 By Crop (mil ha) Source: James 2009 Page 12
  • 7. EXPERIENCE WITH GM CROPS IN THE DEVELOPING WORLD Global Area of Biotech Crops, 1996 to 2008: Industrial and Developing Countries (million ha) Source: James 2009
  • 9. INDIA: BT COTTON --A SUCCESS STORY --A contributed to doubling of yields in 5 years Source: Cotton Advisory Board
  • 10. IMPACT India emerged as 2nd largest exporter of cotton g g p Source: Cotton Advisory Board 2009
  • 11. IMPACT AT THE FARM LEVEL Average effects of Bt cotton vs. non-Bt in India non- Based on peer-reviewed published studies Yield Increase 39%* Reduction in insecticide 33%* sprays Profit Increase/ha 70.9%* * Significantly different from zero at 5% level Source: Gruere, Mehta-Bhatt and Sengupta 2008 Page 11
  • 12. DEVELOPING COUNTRY CROPS IN THE PIPELINE Insect resistant cowpea – Africa p Virus resistant cassava – Africa Virus resistant papaya Nutrient enhanced cassava, rice, banana and sorghum Water efficient maize ff Rice - salt tolerant, disease & insect resistant, enhanced resistant nutrition Water and fertilizer efficient maize
  • 13. BIOTECHNOLOGY BENEFITS AND IMPACT • Economic Benefits >>>productivity>>>>income leading to <<<$food • Protection of biodiversity • Protection of Natural Resources and climate change conservation tillage/carbon sequestration ti till / b t ti reduced pesticide load reduced time to breed adaptive varieties • Poverty alleviation for ~13 million small scale farmers Social b S i l benefits fit gender positive impacts more disposable income for health care, education nutritionally enhanced crops Source : ISAAA
  • 14. AND YET……. The 8 years preceding adoption in India were characterized by: major public controversy burning of field trials accusations of multi-national domination continuing regulatory uncertainty While today, most developing countries, esp. in sub-Saharan Africa, are non- adopters and not commercially growing biotech crops
  • 15. It’s not just about the science ! Markets/Policy Political/Socio M k t /P li -P liti l/S i -cultural Markets/Policy-Political/Socio- lt l Product development considerations Links to markets – local, regional and global Trade competition and retaliation p Enabling policy/regulatory climate Complex and diverse institutional p players Technological gaps & science literacy Concerns about food system control, risk, consumer rights t l i k i ht
  • 16. INTEGRATION OF FACTORS AFFECTING PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT Source: ABSP-II, Cornell University
  • 17.
  • 18. Unique to or greater emphasis for biotech crops Stakeholder outreach Stewardship Regulatory throughout and Variety value chain Certification
  • 19. GENE DISCOVERY Identification of gene/construct with marketable or beneficial trait Small scale transformation, evaluate research plants in greenhouse (containment) Prescreen research events and produce seed for further evaluation Begin stakeholder analysis at product concept
  • 20. PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION Regulatory trials in target countries Continued variety development Continued seed production Further development of validated detection methods (marker) for commercial quality control Sta e o de dialogue a p g Stakeholder d a ogue ramping up Marketing and technical support intensified
  • 21. PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION cont. Quality Management System Implement or adapt QMS to maintain plant product integrity and quality segregation of plant material in storage accurate tracking of all planted and harvested plant material prevent the inadvertent during planting or harvest previous and subsequent land use maintain plant product integrity in the fi ld i i l d i i i h field equipment is cleaned and any harvested plant materials are used and/or disposed of appropriately
  • 22. PLANT AND SEED PRODUCTION cont. Licensing/Contract Production: appropriate steward ship requirements – awareness, pp p p q , training, verification Regulatory Compliance: Compliance with regulations including transport, production, treatment, and storage of plant materials Product Launch: regulatory approvals required (as opposed to simply plant variety certification)
  • 24. VALUE CHAIN DISTRIBUTION AND MARKETING Product launch: develop and implement plan Distribution of product through a supply chain to customers. All necessary regulatory authorizations required. Quality management maintain and document plant product integrity, inventory control and product trace back and recovery Regulatory compliance conditions of authorization monitoring import/export phytosanitary
  • 25. VALUE CHAIN DISTRIBUTION AND MARKETING cont MARKETING, cont. Stewardship education educate the distribution, value chain and stakeholders on proper use enables them to define practices for appropriate product use Product withdrawal (?) controlling materials in supply chains, recalling and controlling material in commercial distribution h i di t ib ti chains (?) communication
  • 26. PRODUCT DISCONTINUATION Commercialization may be abandoned or products withdrawn due to: Issues with regulatory registration Market licensing agreements Trade issues Resistance or pressure by stakeholders in the value chain Public relations considerations
  • 27. Successful Technology Adoption and the Product Development Lifecycle 1 2 3 4 5 6 Product Discovery Early Product Integratio Product Market Post Concept Testing & n& Ramp Up Introduction Market Development Product Activities Selection Field Trials/Testing 1 – 3 years 1 – 3 years 1 – 3 years Stakeholder Engagement Intensity
  • 28. Successful Commercialization Involves Diverse Players a d Pathways e se aye s and at ays Research & Ext Service Government Go ernment Policy Agriculture Environment Market/Consumer FARMERS Donors & NGO’s Finance Bank Distribution st but o Multinationals Commitment, Government, Partnerships
  • 29. Public vs. Private Sector Contrasting Impacts on Commercialization STEP IN CYCLE PUBLIC SECTOR PRIVATE SECTOR Product Concept May not be supported by market Market primary consideration realities Construct Constructs – varied owners, IPR; Cross Licensing, IPR may be legal capacity may be an issue more straightforward; resident legal capacity Transformation/ and Scale, capacity Sophisticated capacity, able to handle large numbers experimental validation Regulatory review Limited capacity and resources – Well resourced for larger private human, financial; lack of sector companies; longer term framework i target countries f k in t t ti commitment than conventional it t th ti l crops Delivery, Distribution, Absent, weak, informal Products usually have an integrated “fit” Value Chain Stakeholder Outreach and More credibility but resource Requiring more resources, intensive expertise; devoted PR and Communication communications efforts; less credibility with some stakeholders Product Withdrawal, Limited capacity to manage or Capacity exists but liability pay regimes may prevent product Liability entry
  • 30. IFPRI PROGRAM FOR BIOSAFETY Mission St t Mi i Statementt Empowers partner countries to build and implement functional regulatory systems by providing: 1. Independent expertise – science and policy 2. Capacity building p y g 3. Credible information to policy makers, stakeholders, end users and key opinion leaders for informed decision making g 4. Experts are regulators from govt. and industry, scientists, lawyers and economists
  • 31. CURRENT PARTNER COUNTRIES PHILIPPINES NIGERIA KENYA UGANDA MALAWI East Africa: Kenya, Uganda, Ethiopia, COMESA West Africa: Nigeria Southern Africa: Malawi, Mozambique SE Asia: Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia Affiliations: IFPRI, Danforth Center, Center for Science in the Public Interest, ISAAA, Calvin College, U. Minn., Iowa State/BIGMAP
  • 32. RECENT PBS ACHIEVEMENTS KENYA Stakeholder outreach for passage of Biosafety Bill in 2009 draft implementing regulations and training lawyers and regulators UGANDA CFTs (cotton, cassava, banana), regulatory policy, commercialization strategy and handbook gy MALAWI submission of 1st field trial application pending NIGERIA technical input to law public communication and stakeholder outreach support passage of biosafety bill through House of pp p g y g Representatives PHILIPPINES extensive capacity building specific regulatory issues – IRM, stacked traits VIETNAM facilitated first CFT
  • 33. Biosafety Policy - Developing Country Experiences Program For Biosafety Systems – Lessons Learned Balance Science is NOT static Transparent, predictable science based fle ible Transparent predictable, science-based, flexible Product Evolution Regulations reflect product development stage Investment Regulatory system should promote internal and external investment, trade Local Test Can local organizations/ private companies comply with and afford the y system? Other Reconciliation with other applicable laws – seed laws, plant variety protection, food safety laws Resources Implementation and capacity building
  • 34. SUMMARY OF CONSTRAINTS TO GLOBAL BIOTECH COMMERCIALIZATION LIMITED PROFIT OPPORTUNITIES – for private sector incentives DONOR RELUCTANCE - t fito finance long term, expensive, l t i controversial research INSTITUTIONAL CHALLENGES - in working across/with diverse organizations – no vertical integration; capacity MARKETS - Weak markets, delivery systems, product stewardship and management INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY - may limit access esp. for orphan y p p crops REGULATORY – capacity, cost, trade COMMUNICATION – consumer resistance, limited stakeholder outreach at early stages, systematic approach needed
  • 35. WHAT IS NEEDED TO INCREASE COMMERCIALIZATION OF BENEFICIAL PRODUCTS, ESP. FOR THE DEVELOPING WORLD Less polarized debate: A recognition by industry, govts., NGOs that there is not a “one size fits all” and that choice is important – (biotech, nanotech, conventional, organic, etc.) A rationalized regulatory dialogue; harmonization Adoption in the context of market and cultural realities; communication is key! Capacity building for developing world “players” – for R&D, regulatory review, stakeholder outreach and risk communication General market development for agriculture with supporting infrastructure Additional compelling products More incentives for technology donation and public/private cooperation
  • 36. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Colleagues at IFPRI Drs. Mark Rosegrant Guillaume Gruere Jose Falck Zepeda Donald Danforth Plant Science Center Dr. Hector Quemada Donna Ramaeker Zahn, consultant ISAAA Margaret Karembu