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Decision and Policy Analysis Program

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Presentation by Andy Jarvis for the CIAT KSW 2009

Presentation by Andy Jarvis for the CIAT KSW 2009

Published in Technology
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  • 1. Decision and Policy Analysis Program
  • 2. Our vision
    • We strongly believe in the power of information for making better decisions about agricultural and natural resource investments, from the farm- to the global- level .
    • Numbers. Maps. Graphs. Insights.
  • 3. Our modus operandi
    • Thematically diverse, united by spatial, economic and institutional analysis
    • Converting data to information to policy and decision insights
    • Demand-driven by other CIAT programs and partners needs in Latin America
    • Eco-efficiency as a guiding principle
  • 4. Our team
    • 6-8 IRS
    • 15 NRS
    • Many students (north and south)
    • Major presence in Latin America
      • Cali
      • Belem
      • Nicaragua
    • Andy Farrow, our man in Africa
    • Asia being run from Cali for now….
    2008 US$5.9m, 2009 – less
  • 5. Our themes
    • Output 1: Impact assessment for targeting , documenting and increasing the effectiveness of research and development
    • Output 2: Policy guidelines, tools and innovations for managing ecosystem services to the benefit of the rural poor
    • Output 3: Estimated impacts of climate change on agricultural systems, and identification of adaptation pathways for the rural poor
    • Output 4: Policy guidelines and innovations to ensure pro-poor and equitable supply chains in the face of a highly dynamic world
  • 6. Impact assessment and targetting
    • Institutional house for impact assessment: coordination of studies, critical mass of economists and analysts to address the issue of quantifying and communicating our impact
      • Larger-scale, multi-country, and beyond adoption
    • Impact mapping: where and how to work?
      • For research and development
    • Facilitating Impact Team (FIT): methods for maximising our impact
    • Innovation platforms for IAR4D (SSA-CP)
  • 7. Targeting Cassava Pest and Disease Problems Climate change Environment Characterization
  • 8. DAPA in Africa: Tropical Legumes II
      • Targeting and impact assessment
      • Drought-tolerant variety development
    Sustainable seed production and distribution systems
  • 9. Facilitating Impact Team (FIT)
    • To improve the engagement processes and socialization mechanisms of CIAT’s research with their stakeholders throughout the project cycle and contribute to scaling out and up of research outputs.
      • Increase the effectiveness of research and development activities through the use of knowledge sharing principles, tools, methods and monitoring methodologies.
  • 10. Ecosystem services
    • Very focussed on externalities
    • ES that have a national, regional or international market
      • Aboveground carbon
      • Water
    • Putting the numbers on ES flows
    • Enabling the poor to engage and benefit from emerging ES market opportunities
  • 11. The numbers behind a Payment for Ecosystem Services (PES) Scheme Agua y sedimentos producidos en Chingaza Fuente: Ciat, 2007, Estudio contratado por TNC, EAAB, Patrimonio Natural & Parques
  • 12. Resultados ECOSAUT Opportunity Costs through economic modelling
  • 13. Social and economic benefits for the rural poor
  • 14. Where to invest for environmental AND social benefits (eco-efficiency)
    • Áreas prioritarias de inversión
    Mayores Menores Fuentes de sedimentos Áreas prioritarias con ahorros potenciales de tratamiento agua Área prioritaria sin ahorros potenciales de tratamiento agua
  • 15. Opportunity costs of REDD in threatened Brazilian Amazon forests B örner et al. (submitted), Amazon Initiative (CIAT, CIFOR, ICRAF)
  • 16. Opportunity costs of REDD in threatened Brazilian Amazon forests B örner et al. (submitted), Amazon Initiative (CIAT, CIFOR, ICRAF)
  • 17. Potential equity effects of different REDD payment scenarios by tenure category B örner et al. (submitted), Amazon Initiative (CIAT, CIFOR, ICRAF) Tradeoffs: Maximum environmental benefit at cost of rural smallholder poor?
  • 18. Climate change
    • Putting the numbers on impact: locally, regionally and globally
    • Identifying adaptation pathways
      • Practices
      • Policies
      • Technologies
    • Evaluating adaptation measures through scenario analysis
    • Influencing policy through clear messages delivered to the right people
    • For CIAT internally, and externally (development partners, NARs, ministries, international fora)
  • 19. Change in global suitability
  • 20. COFFEE SUITABILITY COFFEE: 14.3% of GDP in Nicaragua, 2006.
  • 21. COFFEE SUITABILITY
  • 22. BIG markets and BIG market opportunities
    • What public and private policies and organisational arrangements are needed for the poor to benefit from international markets in a globalised world?
    • Effective and sustained farm to market links require three components:
    • Farmers that are attractive partners for market actors
    • Market actors willing to invest in working with small producers
    • An effective enabling environment to support / govern these links
  • 23. Science for impact: Linking Farmers to Markets New business models for sustained trading relationships
  • 24. The last word….
    • Our knowledge of our crops is tacit, which is a barrier to us getting numbers to support commodity decisions. This needs to change.
    • Markets: where and who? Latin American, global? Friday discussion…
    • Impact assessment weak, but strengthening. Will need collaboration from all in changing this.