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Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election
 

Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election

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    Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Presentation Transcript

    • Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. Co-Founder, Latino Decisions CHCI Policy Conference Sept 12, 2012
    • Election 2012Leading Issues of Concern… In the 2012 Election In the Latino community 1. Economy (40%) 1. Immigration (46%) 2. Jobs (25%) 2. Create jobs (35%) 3. Immigration (23%) 3. Fix economy (19%) 4. Health care (16%) 4. Education (16%) 5. Education (12%) 5. Health care (9%) 6. Taxes (6%) 6. Taxes (1%) Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions poll of 1,000 Latino registered voters, November 2011
    • Election 2012 The economy is an obvious “concern” Reason the economy is not improving more quickly 60 50 56 40 30 20 22 10 13 0 Lack of leadership Lack of leadership Lack of cooperation by Obama by GOP and fighting in CongressSource: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Tracking poll, Sept 10, 2012
    • Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to reduce the federal deficit? Cut federal spending 7% Raise taxes on wealthy 46% Both tax increases 37% and spending cuts 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Monthly Tracking Poll, August 2011
    • Election 2012Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to fix the economy in 2012? Lower taxes 29% Govt invest in 55% stimulus projects 16% Something else Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions 1 year election benchmark poll, November 2011
    • Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to handle today’s complex economy? 100% 80% 83% 60% 40% 20% 17% 0% Need a strong government to Free market can handle handle economic problems problems without government being involvedSource: American National Election Study, Oct 2008
    • Election 2012 Otras temas en 2012 Despite it’s importance, the economy does not consume100% attention of all voters, many other issues remainvery salient Latinos know – like all voters know – that there is not amagic wand to fix the economy Two other major policy issues remain salient - Federal investment in education - Federal investment in health care Immigration remains perhaps the most importantmobilizing issue in the Latino community
    • Election 2012Economy as topissue of “concern”Immigration as asymbolic, mobilizingissueWhy?
    • Election 2012 After the SB1070 Supreme Court decisionSource: CAP/AV/Latino Decisions National Survey of Latinos July 18, 2012
    • Election 2012 Economy as top issue of “concern” Immigration as a mobilizing issue -19 +35Source: America’s Voice / Latino Decisions June 2012 Battleground poll
    • Election 2012Latino Population versus Latino Voters Growth in U.S. Latino Population and Voters, ’00 - ’12 60 53.7 50 Total 40 Adult 35.3 35.5 30 Citizen Adult 23.0 23.6 20 Reg 15.0 10 13.2 12.2 Voters 7.5 5.9 - 2000 2012
    • Election 2012Latino Population versus Latino Voters The gap in Latino voter registration 25 23.6 20 8.6 M Citizen 15 Adult 15.0 13.2 5.7 M Reg 10 7.5 5 - 2000 2012