Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election

Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Matt A. Barreto, Ph.D. Co-Founder, Latino Decisions CHCI Policy Conference Sept 12, 2012

Election 2012Leading Issues of Concern… In the 2012 Election In the Latino community 1. Economy (40%) 1. Immigration (46%) 2. Jobs (25%) 2. Create jobs (35%) 3. Immigration (23%) 3. Fix economy (19%) 4. Health care (16%) 4. Education (16%) 5. Education (12%) 5. Health care (9%) 6. Taxes (6%) 6. Taxes (1%) Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions poll of 1,000 Latino registered voters, November 2011

Election 2012 The economy is an obvious “concern” Reason the economy is not improving more quickly 60 50 56 40 30 20 22 10 13 0 Lack of leadership Lack of leadership Lack of cooperation by Obama by GOP and fighting in CongressSource: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Tracking poll, Sept 10, 2012

Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to reduce the federal deficit? Cut federal spending 7% Raise taxes on wealthy 46% Both tax increases 37% and spending cuts 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%Source: impreMedia/Latino Decisions Monthly Tracking Poll, August 2011

Election 2012Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to fix the economy in 2012? Lower taxes 29% Govt invest in 55% stimulus projects 16% Something else Source: Univision News/Latino Decisions 1 year election benchmark poll, November 2011

Election 2012 Latino attitudes on economic policy Best way to handle today’s complex economy? 100% 80% 83% 60% 40% 20% 17% 0% Need a strong government to Free market can handle handle economic problems problems without government being involvedSource: American National Election Study, Oct 2008

Election 2012 Otras temas en 2012 Despite it’s importance, the economy does not consume100% attention of all voters, many other issues remainvery salient Latinos know – like all voters know – that there is not amagic wand to fix the economy Two other major policy issues remain salient - Federal investment in education - Federal investment in health care Immigration remains perhaps the most importantmobilizing issue in the Latino community

Election 2012Economy as topissue of “concern”Immigration as asymbolic, mobilizingissueWhy?

Election 2012 After the SB1070 Supreme Court decisionSource: CAP/AV/Latino Decisions National Survey of Latinos July 18, 2012

Election 2012 Economy as top issue of “concern” Immigration as a mobilizing issue -19 +35Source: America’s Voice / Latino Decisions June 2012 Battleground poll

Election 2012Latino Population versus Latino Voters Growth in U.S. Latino Population and Voters, ’00 - ’12 60 53.7 50 Total 40 Adult 35.3 35.5 30 Citizen Adult 23.0 23.6 20 Reg 15.0 10 13.2 12.2 Voters 7.5 5.9 - 2000 2012

Election 2012Latino Population versus Latino Voters The gap in Latino voter registration 25 23.6 20 8.6 M Citizen 15 Adult 15.0 13.2 5.7 M Reg 10 7.5 5 - 2000 2012

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Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election

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Latino Voter Attitudes Towards Economic Policy and the 2012 Presidential Election Presentation Transcript