Broström Preliminary Report 2007 Lennart Simonsson, CEO Anders Dreijer, Deputy MD
Agenda
Broström in brief
The Broström fleet
Strategic transactions 2007
Preliminary report 2007
Tanker market up-date
Market consolidation
The Broström brand
Outlook
Broström’s place in the value chain
Broström – a global logistics company 55 vessels in European trade 22 vessels in Asia 9 vessels in the Atlantic 86 vessels + 16 vessels to be added within 2 years
Broström’s Fleet of Tanker Vessels
Strategic Transactions 2007
Claus Peter Offen (CPO)
8 x 37,000 dwt , to be delivered during 2008
Acquisition of The Petroships Group, Singapore
9 x small and intermediate vessels in Asia
Acquisition of existing vessels under commercial management
2 x 7,100 dwt
1 x 37,000 dwt
First 2 vessels delivered from ship yards in Turkey, in a series of 6 x 17,000 dwt
Preliminary Report 2007
Extremely weak spot market during fourth quarter
European and Atlantic traffic were adversely affected by an extremely weak spot market, mainly during the first part of the quarter, due to lower available volumes in the market.
Asian traffic was also characterised by a very weak spot market, especially during October and November. For the small size segment, capacity utilisation under contracts remained high, which contributed to stable development during the quarter.
Income Statement 2007
Bunker Cost
Surplus value of fleet
Market valuation of
Existing vessels
Newbuilding contracts
Call options of vessels
Average based on two external brokers
As per 31 December 2007 the surplus value exceeded book value by approximately SEK 2.7 billion
SEK 41/share
Booked values as per 31 December 2007
Equity incl equalisation reserve SEK 40/share
Deferred tax SEK 7/share
Tonnage Tax
Tonnage tax applies for the French operations since 2004 and is in place for the Dutch operations
One-off effect SEK 181 m in 2004 year accounts when introduced in France.
Sweden is expected to follow rest of EU
Proposal submitted
Awaiting outcome
Deferred tax as per end of 2007 is SEK 478 m
Whereof SEK 437 m pertains to the Swedish shipping operation
Until a formal decision has been made on a Swedish tonnage tax Broström will not operate future newbuildings under the Swedish flag but under other EU flags.
Financial Objectives and Performance
Growth
Average annual growth in net sales
10% per year over a three years period
actual 2007 vs. 2006: +6.5%
Average annual growth in commercial activities (measured as net sales including partners)
20% per year over a three years period
actual 2007 vs 2006: +5.8%
ROCE
Minimum of the average of past three years’ interest for 10 year US Government Bond plus a risk premium of 5%
For 2007 the objective was 9.4%
2007 actual: 9.8%
Equity/assets ratio (II)
Above 30%
End 2007 actual: 30.9%
Preliminary Report 2007
Proposed dividend of SEK 3.00 per share (SEK 4.00)
Corresponds to a dividend yield of 6.0% based on closing share price 2007
Policy aiming at distributing 40-50% of profit after tax to shareholders
Current dividend proposal represents 46% of EPS
Tanker Market
MR product Tanker Earnings Q 3 Q 4 Q 1 Q 2
Global Refinery Margins
Lack of incentive to produce oil products due to low refinery margins 2nd half of 2007
Implied low volumes for transportation
TC Market
World oil demand
World oil demand has increased each year the last 20 years with the only exception of 1993
Global Oil Product Demand
“ Weaker OECD growth stands against still-robust projections for GDP growth in China and the Middle East, the key oil demand growth centres.”
IEA February 2008
+1.7% +1.1% +1.2% +2.3%
US Gasoline Stocks
“ Even a US recession will not necessarily cut gasoline demand”
“ Historically, gasoline demand does not decline until unemployment hits 7%”
(Tesoro, US Refiner)
OECD Commercial Oil Stocks
Rapid Pace of Dieselization Continues in Europe
Mismatch between refinery output and oil product demand creates need for evening out regional supply imbalances
Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates 50303-3
European Oil Product Imbalances Neste Oil
World oil consumption and refinery capacity
mbd
Source: IEA/Intertanko Oil product supply is tight!
World refinery development
mbd
Source: BP Review/various Bulk of added refinery capacity is located to Asia and the Middle East More of refined products will be supplied by regions further away from consumers and be transported over longer distances to get to the end-user
Newbuilding prices
Contributors to maintained strong vessel values
Steel prices
Strong dry bulk tonnage demand
High ship yard capacity utilisation
Ship Values
World Tanker Fleet Development All Broström segments < 60 kdwt +7 % annual avg Annual average assuming orderbook to be delivered over three years Source: Clarksons Reasearch
Small -10%
Intermediate +4%
Handy/MR +8%
Ice Trading Conditions 11 Feb 2008 Normal An exceptional mild winter in the Baltic
Market Consolidation
Small & Intermediate (number of vessels)
Medium Range (MR) & Handy (number of vessels)
Consolidation Through Tanker Pools
Broström’s track record in market consolidation
Broström has contributed to considerable market consolidation through company acquisitions and partnerships:
United Tankers/Erik Thun (1990)
Rederi AB Donsötank (1992)
Van Ommeren Tankers (1998)
Rigel Schiffahrts (2000)
D ünya Shipping (2005)
Nordtank Shipping (2005)
Furetank Rederi (2005)
Claus-Petter Offen (2007)
An expansion into Small and Intermediate (5-20 kdwt) tonnage in Asia has been part of Broström’s strategic planning and resulted May 2007 in the acquisition of The Petroships Group, re-named to Broström Tankers Singapore
At year-end 2007 Broström operated a fleet of 22 vessels in Asia, compared with 9 vessels at year-end 2006
Opportunities for further consolidation are being continuously evaluated
Petroships/Broström – a perfect match
The Broström Brand
Broström’s increasing focus on large, global customers asks for a global brand that is built on trust and credibility
Branding is a crucial success factor in our industry
The Broström brand embraces everything the customer experiences and expects from doing business with us
Broström has launched a Functional Organisation
A functional organisation helps Broström to communicate one clear message to our customers and partners – wherever they meet us
Also, potential employees all over the world will perceive a clear picture of what the Broström brand stands for
Outlook
The start of 2008 has been characterised by a volatile spot market, and the view is that it will continue to be highly volatile from time to time.
As a result of investments and acquisitions carried out during the years, Broström has further strengthened its position going into 2008 and forward.
The underlying long-term trend for Broström’s market segment is judged to be positive, even though major fluctuations may occur from time to time.
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