Reed spring econ webcast apr 2014_markstein_part 2
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Reed spring econ webcast apr 2014_markstein_part 2

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Construction spending outlook slides from the Reed Construction Data spring webinar on April 18, 2014

Construction spending outlook slides from the Reed Construction Data spring webinar on April 18, 2014

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Reed spring econ webcast apr 2014_markstein_part 2 Reed spring econ webcast apr 2014_markstein_part 2 Presentation Transcript

  • Outlook for Construction 2 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 3-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change Reed Total Starts (3-Mo MA YoY) Source: Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 3 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Residential Nonresidential Building Heavy Construction $ Billions History Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data Forecast Forecast: Construction to improve Construction Spending and its Components
  • Outlook for Construction 4 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 3-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change Reed Residential Starts (3-Mo MA YoY) Source: Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 Improvements Single-family Multifamily $ Billions Residential Spending Components Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data History Forecast
  • Outlook for Construction 6 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Single-Family Multifamily Improvements $ Billions 2006 to 2013 ’14 ’15 Residential Construction Spending Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 7 Nonresidential Building Construction
  • Outlook for Construction 8 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 3-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change Reed Nonresidential Starts (3-Mo MA YoY) Source: Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 9 275 269 283 302 340 404 438 376 290 284 298 299 320 348 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 $ Billions History Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data Forecast Nonresidential Construction Spending
  • Outlook for Construction 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Hotel/Lodging Office Commercial $ Billions 2006 to 2013 ’14 ’15 Nonresidential Construction Spending Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 11 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 Manufacturing Healthcare Education $ Billions 2006 to 2013 ’14 ’15 Nonresidential Construction Spending Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 12 Number of Lodging Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 13 Number of Office Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 14 Number of Retail Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 15 Number of Health Care Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 16 Number of Education Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 17 Number of Industrial (Manufacturing) Projects by State Source: Reed Construction Data, Reed Intelligent Leads
  • Outlook for Construction 18 Heavy engineering
  • Outlook for Construction 19 Reed Heavy Engineering Starts (3-Mo MA YoY) Source: Reed Construction Data -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 3-Month Moving Average, Year-over-Year % Change
  • Outlook for Construction 20 171 171 169 185 208 248 272 274 265 251 272 263 280 304 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 $ Billions History Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data Forecast Heavy Engineering Construction Spending
  • Outlook for Construction 21 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 Transportation Communication Power $ Billions 2006 to 2013 ’14 ’15 Heavy Engineering Construction Spending Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 22 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Highway Water and Sewer Conservation $ Billions 2006 to 2013 ’14 ’15 Heavy Engineering Construction Spending Source: History – U.S. Census Bureau; Forecast – Reed Construction Data
  • Outlook for Construction 23 Regional economic performance
  • Outlook for Construction 24Source: Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank
  • Outlook for Construction 25Source: Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank
  • Outlook for Construction 26 Connect with Reed Construction Data  Twitter twitter.com/Bmarkstein  Twitter twitter.com/ReedConstrData  Facebook www.facebook.com/Reed-Construction-Data  LinkedIn www.linkedin.com/company/reed-construction-data  web www.reedconstructiondata.com
  • Outlook for Construction 27 Contact Information and Links Bernard M. Markstein  Office: 301-588-5190  Mobile: 404-952-3381  b.markstein@reedbusiness.com  U.S. Forecast and Commentary: http://www.reedconstructiondata.com/market- intelligence/articles/  Blog: http://www.reedconstructiondata.com/market- intelligence/bernie-markstein/