Demographic Trends in Northeast Minnesota Drew Digby Regional Labor Market Analyst Minnesota Department of Employment and ...
Three Big Demographic Trends In Minnesota <ul><li>We are increasingly urban </li></ul><ul><li>We are aging </li></ul><ul><...
And Northeast Minnesota …. <ul><li>We’re already older, but the rate of increase will be lower than the state average. </l...
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Percent Change in Population, 2000-2007 14 Decline 10% or more Decline  l...
Aging Is The Really Big Trend That Is Driving The National Course <ul><li>Societal aging is unique in history—it is happen...
Minnesota Will See a 30 Percent Jump in Workers Turning Age 65 Beginning 2008 2005 ACS
Competition For Future College Students Will Increase Census Bureau US Proj, Mn State Demographer revised 2007.  The 18 ye...
For The First Time In History We Will Have More 65+ Than School Age Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised ...
Minnesota Will Grow More Diverse; Remain Less Diverse Than The Nation State Demographer & Census Bureau projections
Minnesota’s Children Are More Diverse Than Older People 2000 Census
Northeast Minnesota <ul><li>Big Unknown: How will trend towards diversity affect Northeast Minnesota?  </li></ul><ul><li>S...
Demography Conclusion <ul><li>We are increasingly suburban. </li></ul><ul><li>Many rural areas have aged dramatically as y...
For More Information <ul><li>www.demography.state.mn.us </li></ul><ul><li>www.census.gov   </li></ul><ul><li>www.demograph...
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Demographic Trends In Northeast Minnesota

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Presented by Drew Digby, Regional Labor Market Analyst, Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development.
November 12, 2009.

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Demographic Trends In Northeast Minnesota

  1. 1. Demographic Trends in Northeast Minnesota Drew Digby Regional Labor Market Analyst Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development
  2. 2. Three Big Demographic Trends In Minnesota <ul><li>We are increasingly urban </li></ul><ul><li>We are aging </li></ul><ul><li>We are increasingly diverse </li></ul>
  3. 3. And Northeast Minnesota …. <ul><li>We’re already older, but the rate of increase will be lower than the state average. </li></ul><ul><li>Some counties have a lower average age than in 2000 </li></ul><ul><li>Likely caused by a dramatic increase in mobility by people of all ages. Young people leaving. Workers higher mobile. Some retirees choosing to leave, others choosing to move in. </li></ul>
  4. 4. Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimates Percent Change in Population, 2000-2007 14 Decline 10% or more Decline less than 10% Increase less than U.S. rate (7.2%) Population Change 2000-2007 Increase 7.2% to 14.4% Increase more than twice the U.S. rate (14.4%)
  5. 5. Aging Is The Really Big Trend That Is Driving The National Course <ul><li>Societal aging is unique in history—it is happening in the US, Canada, Europe, Japan, China, Korea, & increasing number of countries around the world </li></ul><ul><li>2008 was the start of what has long been called the “Age of Entitlement” </li></ul><ul><li>This affects the economy, labor force, families, churches, state & local government budget, businesses; virtually every aspect of our society </li></ul>
  6. 6. Minnesota Will See a 30 Percent Jump in Workers Turning Age 65 Beginning 2008 2005 ACS
  7. 7. Competition For Future College Students Will Increase Census Bureau US Proj, Mn State Demographer revised 2007. The 18 year old population, both Minnesota & nationally are projected to decline starting 2009.
  8. 8. For The First Time In History We Will Have More 65+ Than School Age Census counts & State Demographer projection, revised 2007
  9. 9. Minnesota Will Grow More Diverse; Remain Less Diverse Than The Nation State Demographer & Census Bureau projections
  10. 10. Minnesota’s Children Are More Diverse Than Older People 2000 Census
  11. 11. Northeast Minnesota <ul><li>Big Unknown: How will trend towards diversity affect Northeast Minnesota? </li></ul><ul><li>Some parts have substantial increases in diversity. Others have none or little. </li></ul><ul><li>Where college students go will be critical in diversity mix. </li></ul>
  12. 12. Demography Conclusion <ul><li>We are increasingly suburban. </li></ul><ul><li>Many rural areas have aged dramatically as younger people move to opportunities in the big cities, though less so in Northeast Minnesota. </li></ul><ul><li>We age aging—2008 was the beginning of the “Age of Entitlement” </li></ul><ul><li>This aging will affect all aspects of society </li></ul><ul><li>We are more diverse and this trend will be reinforced by slowing labor force growth </li></ul>
  13. 13. For More Information <ul><li>www.demography.state.mn.us </li></ul><ul><li>www.census.gov </li></ul><ul><li>www.demography.state.mn.us/notyet This is something the state demographer wrote in the mid 1990s in an attempt to illustrate some of the demographic trends. It is a faux newspaper for November 2025, where each story illustrates a demographic trend in Minnesota </li></ul><ul><li>www.deed.state.mn.us/lmi </li></ul>
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