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- 1. THE MONEY SUPPLY AND INFLATION
- 2. QUESTION <ul><li>China is experiencing a serious inflation Problem. How can we explain this phenomenon? </li></ul>
- 3. WHAT IS MONEY? <ul><li>Money is the set of assets in an economy that people regularly use to buy goods and services from other people. </li></ul>
- 4. FUNCTIONS OF MONEY <ul><li>Money has three functions in the economy: </li></ul><ul><li>Medium of exchange </li></ul><ul><li>Unit of account </li></ul><ul><li>Store of value </li></ul>
- 5. LIQUIDITY <ul><li>Liquidity </li></ul><ul><li>Liquidity is the ease with which an asset can be converted into the economy ’ s medium of exchange. </li></ul>
- 6. KINDS OF MONEY <ul><li>Commodity money takes the form of a commodity with intrinsic value. </li></ul><ul><li>Examples: Gold, silver, cigarettes. </li></ul><ul><li>Fiat money is used as money because of government decree. </li></ul><ul><li>It does not have intrinsic value. </li></ul><ul><li>Examples: Coins, currency, check deposits. </li></ul>
- 7. MONEY IN THE ECONOMY <ul><li>Currency is the paper bills and coins in the hands of the public. </li></ul><ul><li>Demand deposits are balances in bank accounts that depositors can access on demand by writing a check. </li></ul>
- 8. MONEY SUPPLY <ul><li>M1 </li></ul><ul><li>_ M1A </li></ul><ul><li>_ M1B </li></ul><ul><li>M2 </li></ul>
- 9. MONEY IN THE U.S. ECONOMY Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning Billions of Dollars 0 • Currency ($580 billion) • Demand deposits • Traveler ’ s checks • Other checkable deposits ($599 billion) • Everything in M1 ($1,179 billion) • Savings deposits • Small time deposits • Money market mutual funds • A few minor categories ($4,276 billion) M1 $1,179 M2 $5,455
- 10. FEDERAL RESERVE <ul><li>The Federal Reserve (Fed) serves as the nation ’ s central bank. </li></ul><ul><li>It is designed to oversee the banking system. </li></ul><ul><li>It regulates the quantity of money in the economy. </li></ul>
- 11. FEDERAL OPEN MARKET COMMITTEE <ul><li>The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) </li></ul><ul><li>Serves as the main policy-making organ of the Federal Reserve System. </li></ul><ul><li>Meets approximately every six weeks to review the economy. </li></ul>
- 12. MONETARY POLICY <ul><li>Monetary policy is conducted by the Federal Open Market Committee. </li></ul><ul><li>Monetary policy is the setting of the money supply by policymakers in the central bank </li></ul><ul><li>The money supply refers to the quantity of money available in the economy. </li></ul>
- 13. OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS <ul><li>Open-Market Operations </li></ul><ul><li>The money supply is the quantity of money available in the economy. </li></ul><ul><li>The primary way in which the Fed changes the money supply is through open-market operations . </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed purchases and sells U.S. government bonds. </li></ul>
- 14. OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS: CONTINUED <ul><li>Open-Market Operations </li></ul><ul><li>To increase the money supply, the Fed buys government bonds from the public. </li></ul><ul><li>To decrease the money supply, the Fed sells government bonds to the public. </li></ul>
- 15. BANKS AND MONEY SUPPLY <ul><li>Banks can influence the quantity of demand deposits in the economy and the money supply. </li></ul><ul><li>Reserves are deposits that banks have received but have not loaned out. </li></ul><ul><li>In a fractional-reserve banking system, banks hold a fraction of the money deposited as reserves and lend out the rest. </li></ul><ul><li>Reserve Ratio </li></ul><ul><li>The reserve ratio is the fraction of deposits that banks hold as reserves. </li></ul>
- 16. MONEY CREATION <ul><li>When a bank makes a loan from its reserves, the money supply increases. </li></ul><ul><li>The money supply is affected by the amount deposited in banks and the amount that banks loan. </li></ul><ul><li>Deposits into a bank are recorded as both assets and liabilities. </li></ul><ul><li>The fraction of total deposits that a bank has to keep as reserves is called the reserve ratio. </li></ul><ul><li>Loans become an asset to the bank. </li></ul>
- 17. T-ACCOUNT <ul><li>T-Account shows a bank that … </li></ul><ul><li>accepts deposits, </li></ul><ul><li>keeps a portion as reserves, </li></ul><ul><li>and lends out the rest. </li></ul><ul><li>It assumes a reserve ratio of 10%. </li></ul>
- 18. T-ACCOUNT: FIRST NATIONAL BANK Assets Liabilities First National Bank Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Deposits $100.00 Total Assets $100.00 Total Liabilities $100.00
- 19. MONEY CREATION: CONTINUED <ul><li>When one bank loans money, that money is generally deposited into another bank. </li></ul><ul><li>This creates more deposits and more reserves to be lent out. </li></ul><ul><li>When a bank makes a loan from its reserves, the money supply increases. </li></ul>
- 20. MONEY MULTIPLIER <ul><li>How much money is eventually created in this economy? </li></ul><ul><li>The money multiplier is the amount of money the banking system generates with each dollar of reserves. </li></ul>
- 21. THE MONEY MULTIPLIER Assets Liabilities Second National Bank Reserves $9.00 Loans $81.00 Deposits $90.00 Total Assets $90.00 Total Liabilities $90.00 Money Supply = $190.00! Assets Liabilities First National Bank Reserves $10.00 Loans $90.00 Deposits $100.00 Total Assets $100.00 Total Liabilities $100.00
- 22. MONEY MULTIPLIER:CONTINUED <ul><li>The money multiplier is the reciprocal of the reserve ratio: </li></ul><ul><li>M = 1/R </li></ul><ul><li>With a reserve requirement, R = 20% or 1/5, </li></ul><ul><li>The multiplier is 5. </li></ul>
- 23. TOOLS OF MONEY CONTROL <ul><li>The Fed has three tools in its monetary toolbox: </li></ul><ul><li>Open-market operations </li></ul><ul><li>Changing the reserve requirement </li></ul><ul><li>Changing the discount rate </li></ul>
- 24. OPEN-MARKET OPERATIONS <ul><li>Open-Market Operations </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed conducts open-market operations when it buys government bonds from or sells government bonds to the public: </li></ul><ul><li>When the Fed buys government bonds, the money supply increases. </li></ul><ul><li>The money supply decreases when the Fed sells government bonds. </li></ul>
- 25. RESERVE REQUIREMENTS <ul><li>Reserve Requirements </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed also influences the money supply with reserve requirements . </li></ul><ul><li>Reserve requirements are regulations on the minimum amount of reserves that banks must hold against deposits. </li></ul>
- 26. CHANGE THE RESERVE REQUIREMENT <ul><li>Changing the Reserve Requirement </li></ul><ul><li>The reserve requirement is the amount (%) of a bank ’ s total reserves that may not be loaned out. </li></ul><ul><li>Increasing the reserve requirement decreases the money supply. </li></ul><ul><li>Decreasing the reserve requirement increases the money supply. </li></ul>
- 27. CHANGE DISCOUNT RATE <ul><li>Changing the Discount Rate </li></ul><ul><li>The discount rate is the interest rate the Fed charges banks for loans. </li></ul><ul><li>Increasing the discount rate decreases the money supply. </li></ul><ul><li>Decreasing the discount rate increases the money supply. </li></ul>
- 28. PROBLEMS IN CONTROLLING MONEY SUPPLY <ul><li>The Fed ’ s control of the money supply is not precise. </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed must wrestle with two problems that arise due to fractional-reserve banking. </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed does not control the amount of money that households choose to hold as deposits in banks. </li></ul><ul><li>The Fed does not control the amount of money that bankers choose to lend. </li></ul>
- 29. MONEY SUPPLY <ul><li>The money supply is a policy variable that is controlled by the Fed. </li></ul><ul><li>Through instruments such as open-market operations, the Fed directly controls the quantity of money supplied. </li></ul>
- 30. MOTIVES OF MONEY DEMAND <ul><li>Transaction motive </li></ul><ul><li>Precautionary motive </li></ul><ul><li>Speculative motive </li></ul>
- 31. MONEY DEMAND <ul><li>Money demand has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in the economy </li></ul><ul><li>People hold money because it is the medium of exchange. </li></ul><ul><li>The amount of money people choose to hold depends on the prices of goods and services. </li></ul>
- 32. Quantity of Money Value of Money, 1 / P Price Level, P 0 1 (Low) (High) (High) (Low) 1 / 2 1 / 4 3 / 4 1 1.33 2 4 Quantity fixed by the Fed Money supply Equilibrium value of money Equilibrium price level Money demand A
- 33. Quantity of Money Value of Money, 1 / P Price Level, P 0 1 (Low) (High) (High) (Low) 1 / 2 1 / 4 3 / 4 1 1.33 2 4 Money demand M 1 MS 1 M 2 MS 2 2. . . . decreases the value of mone y . . . 3. . . . and increases the price level. 1. An increase in the money supply . . . A B
- 34. SPECULATIVE MOTIVE <ul><li>The interest rate and quantity demanded of money are negatively related. Therefore, the money demand curve is downward sloping. </li></ul><ul><li>The quantity supplied of money is controlled by Fed. Therefore, the money supply curve is vertical. </li></ul><ul><li>As money demand increases, the interest rate is higher. </li></ul><ul><li>As money supply increases, the interest rate is lower. </li></ul>
- 35. LIQUIDITY TRAP <ul><li>When the money demand is perfectly elastic at a low interest rate, the increase in money supply would not have any impact on the interest rate. </li></ul>
- 36. QUANTITY THEORY OF MONEY <ul><li>The Quantity Theory of Money </li></ul><ul><li>How the price level is determined and why it might change over time is called the quantity theory of money. </li></ul><ul><li>The quantity of money available in the economy determines the value of money. </li></ul><ul><li>The primary cause of inflation is the growth in the quantity of money . </li></ul>
- 37. VELOCITY OF MONEY <ul><li>The velocity of money refers to the speed at which the typical dollar bill travels around the economy from wallet to wallet. </li></ul><ul><li>V = (P Y)/M </li></ul><ul><li>Where: V = velocity </li></ul><ul><li>P = the price level </li></ul><ul><li>Y = the quantity of output </li></ul><ul><li>M = the quantity of money </li></ul>
- 38. QUANTITY EQUATION <ul><li>Rewriting the equation gives the quantity equation: </li></ul><ul><li>M V = P Y </li></ul><ul><li>The quantity equation relates the quantity of money ( M ) to the nominal value of output ( P Y ). </li></ul>
- 39. QUANTITY EQUATION <ul><li>The quantity equation shows that an increase in the quantity of money in an economy must be reflected in one of three other variables: </li></ul><ul><li>the price level must rise, </li></ul><ul><li>the quantity of output must rise, or </li></ul><ul><li>the velocity of money must fall. </li></ul>
- 40. INFLATION TAX <ul><li>When the government raises revenue by printing money, it is said to levy an inflation tax. </li></ul><ul><li>An inflation tax is like a tax on everyone who holds money. </li></ul><ul><li>The inflation ends when the government institutes fiscal reforms such as cuts in government spending. </li></ul>
- 41. FISHER EFFECT <ul><li>The Fisher effect refers to a one-to-one adjustment of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate. </li></ul><ul><li>According to the Fisher effect, when the rate of inflation rises, the nominal interest rate rises by the same amount. </li></ul><ul><li>The real interest rate stays the same. </li></ul>
- 42. COSTS OF INFLATION <ul><li>Shoeleather costs </li></ul><ul><li>Menu costs </li></ul><ul><li>Relative price variability </li></ul><ul><li>Tax distortions </li></ul><ul><li>Confusion and inconvenience </li></ul><ul><li>Arbitrary redistribution of wealth </li></ul>
- 43. SHOELEATHER COSTS <ul><li>Shoeleather costs are the resources wasted when inflation encourages people to reduce their money holdings. </li></ul><ul><li>Inflation reduces the real value of money, so people have an incentive to minimize their cash holdings. </li></ul><ul><li>Less cash requires more frequent trips to the bank to withdraw money from interest-bearing accounts. </li></ul><ul><li>The actual cost of reducing your money holdings is the time and convenience you must sacrifice to keep less money on hand. </li></ul><ul><li>Also, extra trips to the bank take time away from productive activities. </li></ul>
- 44. MENU COSTS <ul><li>Menu costs are the costs of adjusting prices. </li></ul><ul><li>During inflationary times, it is necessary to update price lists and other posted prices. </li></ul><ul><li>This is a resource-consuming process that takes away from other productive activities. </li></ul>
- 45. DISTORTIONS OF RELATIVE PRICES <ul><li>Inflation distorts relative prices. </li></ul><ul><li>Consumer decisions are distorted, and markets are less able to allocate resources to their best use. </li></ul>
- 46. TAX DISTORTIONS <ul><li>Inflation exaggerates the size of capital gains and increases the tax burden on this type of income. </li></ul><ul><li>With progressive taxation, capital gains are taxed more heavily. </li></ul>
- 47. TAX DISTORTIONS <ul><li>The income tax treats the nominal interest earned on savings as income, even though part of the nominal interest rate merely compensates for inflation. </li></ul><ul><li>The after-tax real interest rate falls, making saving less attractive. </li></ul>
- 48. CONFUSION & INCONVENIENCE <ul><li>When the Fed increases the money supply and creates inflation, it erodes the real value of the unit of account. </li></ul><ul><li>Inflation causes dollars at different times to have different real values. </li></ul><ul><li>Therefore, with rising prices, it is more difficult to compare real revenues, costs, and profits over time. </li></ul>
- 49. ARBITRARY REDISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH <ul><li>Unexpected inflation redistributes wealth among the population in a way that has nothing to do with either merit or need. </li></ul><ul><li>These redistributions occur because many loans in the economy are specified in terms of the unit of account—money. </li></ul>

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