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Defending Your Brand
       How Smart Companies Use Defensive Strategy to Deal With
                       Competitive Attacks




                                  Kellogg School of Management
                                       Professor Tim Calkins
                                        December 17, 2012
Copyright © 2012 by Tim Calkins
Objective


          Highlight the importance of defensive strategy


     Give you ideas and frameworks that you can apply




Defending Your Brand                                       2
The latest news




Defending Your Brand   3
Agenda: Three Points



         • Defensive strategy is critically important


         • Companies often defend too late


         • There are many ways to defend




Defending Your Brand                                    4
Agenda: Three Points



         • Defensive strategy is critically important


         • Companies often defend too late


         • There are many ways to defend




Defending Your Brand                                    5
Defensive strategy: reacting to competitive
threats


Taking action to blunt the impact of a competitor’s move


     • Usually done in response to new products
     • Always a reaction to a real or perceived competitive threat




Defending Your Brand                                                 6
Defense is a major part of business strategy


                        Offensive Moves




Short Term                                Long Term
 Moves                                      Moves




                        Defensive Moves

 Defending Your Brand                                 7
What do these brands have in common?




Defending Your Brand                   8
What do these brands have in common?




Defending Your Brand                   9
RIM




Defending Your Brand   10
RIM




Defending Your Brand   11
RIM




Defending Your Brand   12
RIM




Defending Your Brand   13
RIM




Defending Your Brand   14
RIM




Defending Your Brand   15
There are two main reasons to defend


   1. To protect your business from competitive attack


   •      Competition is intense


   •      A new entrant can do enormous damage


   •      There is no room for error


Defending Your Brand                                     16
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
                    Income Statement

           Revenue              $350 million

           Cost of Good Sold    $170

           Variable Profit      $180

           Marketing            $60

           Overhead             $40

           Operating Profit     $80



Defending Your Brand                           17
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
                    Income Statement

           Revenue              $350 million

           Cost of Good Sold    $170

           Variable Profit      $180

           Marketing            $60

           Overhead             $40

           Operating Profit     $80       < 23% margin



Defending Your Brand                                     18
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
         Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share



            Revenue at Risk     $35 million

            Margin              23%

            Total Profit Risk   $8.1 million




Defending Your Brand                           19
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
                    Income Statement

           Revenue              $350 million

           Cost of Good Sold    $170

           Variable Profit      $180     < 51% margin

           Marketing            $60

           Overhead             $40

           Operating Profit     $80



Defending Your Brand                                    20
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
         Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share



            Revenue at Risk     $35 million

            Margin              51%

            Total Profit Risk   $17.9 million




Defending Your Brand                            21
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
         Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share



            Revenue at Risk     $35 million

            Margin              51%

            Total Profit Risk   $17.9 million

            Discount Rate       5%

            NPV                 $358 million




Defending Your Brand                            22
Specialized Machine Tool Brand
         Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share



            Revenue at Risk                  $35 million

            Margin                           51%

            Total Profit Risk                $17.9 million

            Discount Rate                    5%

            NPV                              $358 million

                       plus… impact on spending
                             impact on pricing
Defending Your Brand         competitor’s future growth      23
There are two main reasons to defend


   1. To protect your business from competitive attack


   2. To build a stronger business


        -Competition forces you to innovate and work hard




Defending Your Brand                                        24
Dow Corning’s Defense: Xiameter




Defending Your Brand              25
The Competitive Battle




Defending Your Brand                            26
Agenda: Three Points



         • Defensive strategy is critically important


         • Companies often defend too late


         • There are many ways to defend




Defending Your Brand                                    27
Every significant competitive move requires a
defense decision

•   There are reasons to defend and not to defend


    Reasons to Defend                  Reasons Not to Defend




Defending Your Brand                                           28
Many companies defend too little and too late

             - Assume they know best


             - Misunderstand the situation
                       ..competition
                       ..market
                       ..idea

             - Reluctant to defend, because it:
                       ..would be difficult
                       ..would require trade-offs


Defending Your Brand                                29
Many companies defend too little


•      Companies are particularly reluctant to defend when they have
       been doing well


       “As successful companies mature, employees gradually come to assume
       that the processes and priorities they’ve used so successfully so often are
       the right way to do their work.”
                                       - Clay Christensen




    Defending Your Brand                                                        30
The sad tale of Harley Davidson


1903:              company founded
1903-1959:         becomes dominant player

                           83% share
                           110 competitors try to enter market
                           clear leader with big bikes (1200 cc)
                           core markets: police, bikers, military




Defending Your Brand                                                 31
The sad tale of Harley Davidson


          1959: Honda launches into market
                       -50 cc machine, $250
                       -target: college kids
                       -”You meet the nicest people on a Honda”


                       -Harley defense:




Defending Your Brand                                              32
The sad tale of Harley Davidson


            1966: -Honda outselling Harley 2:1
                       -Honda introducing larger bikes
                       -motorcycle market growing


                       -Harley defense:




Defending Your Brand                                     33
The sad tale of Harley Davidson


         1977:         -Honda launches 1200 cc bike
                       -Harley down to a 5% share


                       -Harley defense:




Defending Your Brand                                  34
Many companies defend too little




Defending Your Brand               35
Many companies defend too little




Defending Your Brand               36
Key questions to ask


    •    Is the competitive product a winner?
    •    What is the long term impact on us if we do nothing?
    •    What is the short term impact on us if we do nothing?
    •    What are the costs of defending? Potential outcomes?
    •    Which option has the best long term return:
         -    if our assessment of the new product is right
         -    if our assessment of the new product is wrong




Defending Your Brand                                             37
Agenda: Three Points



         • Defensive strategy is critically important


         • Companies often defend too late


         • There are many ways to defend




Defending Your Brand                                    38
There are many ways to defend; you can focus
on any of the key launch steps

                   New Product Launch Process

Before Launch: Product testing and development




 Gain                  Build       Drive         Build
 Distribution          Awareness   Trial         Repeat




Defending Your Brand                                      39
Three things to remember


          1. The goal is to damage the new entrant


          2. Your task: slow them down


          3. Timing matters




Defending Your Brand                                 40
Testing defense options


 Goal:                 Ensure product never gets to market


 Options:              A. Disrupt the test
                       B. Signal an aggressive defense
                       C. Threaten
                       D. Preempt with a similar product
                       E. File suit
                       F. Acquire



Defending Your Brand                                         41
Example: Lufthansa




Defending Your Brand   42
Testing defense options


 Goal:                 Ensure product never gets to market


 Options:              A. Disrupt the test
                       B. Signal an aggressive defense
                       C. Threaten
                       D. Preempt with a similar product
                       E. File suit
                       F. Acquire



Defending Your Brand                                         43
Distribution build defense options


Goal:              Ensure the new product doesn’t secure distribution


Options:           A. Sign exclusivity agreements with channel partners
                   B. Give distributors big incentives
                   C. Provide alternate news
                   D. Preempt or copy the competitive news
                   E. Secure government support




Defending Your Brand                                                    44
Awareness defense options

Goal:               Limit awareness of the new item


Options:            A. Introduce similar news or a similar product
                    B. Create a distraction
                    C. Increase spending: dominate the share of voice
                    D. Lock up key marketing vehicles




 Defending Your Brand                                                   45
Example: Intel




Defending Your Brand   46
Awareness defense options

Goal:               Limit awareness of the new item


Options:            A. Introduce similar news or a similar product
                    B. Create a distraction
                    C. Increase spending: dominate the share of voice
                    D. Lock up key marketing vehicles




 Defending Your Brand                                                   47
Trial defense options


Goal:                  Limit trial of the new item


Options:               A. Load up current customers
                            -take customers out of the category

                       B. Increase switching costs and reward loyalty
                       C. Disparage the competitive product
                       D. Provide identical benefits
                       E. Provide alternate benefits


Defending Your Brand                                                    48
Example: United




Defending Your Brand   49
Example: United




Defending Your Brand   50
Example: Eli Lilly




Defending Your Brand   51
Trial defense options


Goal:                  Limit trial of the new item


Options:               A. Load up current customers
                            -take customers out of the category

                       B. Increase switching costs and reward loyalty
                       C. Disparage the competitive product
                       D. Provide identical benefits
                       E. Provide alternate benefits


Defending Your Brand                                                    52
Repeat defense options



Goal:              Ensure consumers don’t repeat on the new item


Options:           A. Introduce an identical item at a lower price
                   B. Introduce a superior item
                   C. Significantly reduce the price of current products
                   D. Give channel partners an incentive to delist new item
                   E. Acquire the new entrant
                   F. File suit

  Defending Your Brand                                                     53
Agenda: Three Points



         • Defensive strategy is critically important


         • Companies often defend too late


         • There are many ways to defend




Defending Your Brand                                    54
Two final points


  1. The best scenario: you never face competitive attacks




Defending Your Brand                                         55
Two final points


  1. The best scenario: you never face competitive attacks


  2. Competitive intelligence must be a top priority


                         Three Good Questions
                 - Who is coming after my business?
                 - How big is the threat?
                 - What can we do now to address it?


Defending Your Brand                                         56
To Learn More




Defending Your Brand                   57
Contact Information



                               Tim Calkins
                         Kellogg School of Management

                       t-calkins@kellogg.northwestern.edu
                                www.timcalkins.com
                        www.strongbrands.wordpress.com

                                (847) 467-3209



Defending Your Brand                                        58

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Defending Your Brand: How to Protect Against Competitive Attacks

  • 1. Defending Your Brand How Smart Companies Use Defensive Strategy to Deal With Competitive Attacks Kellogg School of Management Professor Tim Calkins December 17, 2012 Copyright © 2012 by Tim Calkins
  • 2. Objective Highlight the importance of defensive strategy Give you ideas and frameworks that you can apply Defending Your Brand 2
  • 4. Agenda: Three Points • Defensive strategy is critically important • Companies often defend too late • There are many ways to defend Defending Your Brand 4
  • 5. Agenda: Three Points • Defensive strategy is critically important • Companies often defend too late • There are many ways to defend Defending Your Brand 5
  • 6. Defensive strategy: reacting to competitive threats Taking action to blunt the impact of a competitor’s move • Usually done in response to new products • Always a reaction to a real or perceived competitive threat Defending Your Brand 6
  • 7. Defense is a major part of business strategy Offensive Moves Short Term Long Term Moves Moves Defensive Moves Defending Your Brand 7
  • 8. What do these brands have in common? Defending Your Brand 8
  • 9. What do these brands have in common? Defending Your Brand 9
  • 16. There are two main reasons to defend 1. To protect your business from competitive attack • Competition is intense • A new entrant can do enormous damage • There is no room for error Defending Your Brand 16
  • 17. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Income Statement Revenue $350 million Cost of Good Sold $170 Variable Profit $180 Marketing $60 Overhead $40 Operating Profit $80 Defending Your Brand 17
  • 18. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Income Statement Revenue $350 million Cost of Good Sold $170 Variable Profit $180 Marketing $60 Overhead $40 Operating Profit $80 < 23% margin Defending Your Brand 18
  • 19. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share Revenue at Risk $35 million Margin 23% Total Profit Risk $8.1 million Defending Your Brand 19
  • 20. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Income Statement Revenue $350 million Cost of Good Sold $170 Variable Profit $180 < 51% margin Marketing $60 Overhead $40 Operating Profit $80 Defending Your Brand 20
  • 21. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share Revenue at Risk $35 million Margin 51% Total Profit Risk $17.9 million Defending Your Brand 21
  • 22. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share Revenue at Risk $35 million Margin 51% Total Profit Risk $17.9 million Discount Rate 5% NPV $358 million Defending Your Brand 22
  • 23. Specialized Machine Tool Brand Risk if Competition Takes 10% Share Revenue at Risk $35 million Margin 51% Total Profit Risk $17.9 million Discount Rate 5% NPV $358 million plus… impact on spending impact on pricing Defending Your Brand competitor’s future growth 23
  • 24. There are two main reasons to defend 1. To protect your business from competitive attack 2. To build a stronger business -Competition forces you to innovate and work hard Defending Your Brand 24
  • 25. Dow Corning’s Defense: Xiameter Defending Your Brand 25
  • 27. Agenda: Three Points • Defensive strategy is critically important • Companies often defend too late • There are many ways to defend Defending Your Brand 27
  • 28. Every significant competitive move requires a defense decision • There are reasons to defend and not to defend Reasons to Defend Reasons Not to Defend Defending Your Brand 28
  • 29. Many companies defend too little and too late - Assume they know best - Misunderstand the situation ..competition ..market ..idea - Reluctant to defend, because it: ..would be difficult ..would require trade-offs Defending Your Brand 29
  • 30. Many companies defend too little • Companies are particularly reluctant to defend when they have been doing well “As successful companies mature, employees gradually come to assume that the processes and priorities they’ve used so successfully so often are the right way to do their work.” - Clay Christensen Defending Your Brand 30
  • 31. The sad tale of Harley Davidson 1903: company founded 1903-1959: becomes dominant player  83% share  110 competitors try to enter market  clear leader with big bikes (1200 cc)  core markets: police, bikers, military Defending Your Brand 31
  • 32. The sad tale of Harley Davidson 1959: Honda launches into market -50 cc machine, $250 -target: college kids -”You meet the nicest people on a Honda” -Harley defense: Defending Your Brand 32
  • 33. The sad tale of Harley Davidson 1966: -Honda outselling Harley 2:1 -Honda introducing larger bikes -motorcycle market growing -Harley defense: Defending Your Brand 33
  • 34. The sad tale of Harley Davidson 1977: -Honda launches 1200 cc bike -Harley down to a 5% share -Harley defense: Defending Your Brand 34
  • 35. Many companies defend too little Defending Your Brand 35
  • 36. Many companies defend too little Defending Your Brand 36
  • 37. Key questions to ask • Is the competitive product a winner? • What is the long term impact on us if we do nothing? • What is the short term impact on us if we do nothing? • What are the costs of defending? Potential outcomes? • Which option has the best long term return: - if our assessment of the new product is right - if our assessment of the new product is wrong Defending Your Brand 37
  • 38. Agenda: Three Points • Defensive strategy is critically important • Companies often defend too late • There are many ways to defend Defending Your Brand 38
  • 39. There are many ways to defend; you can focus on any of the key launch steps New Product Launch Process Before Launch: Product testing and development Gain Build Drive Build Distribution Awareness Trial Repeat Defending Your Brand 39
  • 40. Three things to remember 1. The goal is to damage the new entrant 2. Your task: slow them down 3. Timing matters Defending Your Brand 40
  • 41. Testing defense options Goal: Ensure product never gets to market Options: A. Disrupt the test B. Signal an aggressive defense C. Threaten D. Preempt with a similar product E. File suit F. Acquire Defending Your Brand 41
  • 43. Testing defense options Goal: Ensure product never gets to market Options: A. Disrupt the test B. Signal an aggressive defense C. Threaten D. Preempt with a similar product E. File suit F. Acquire Defending Your Brand 43
  • 44. Distribution build defense options Goal: Ensure the new product doesn’t secure distribution Options: A. Sign exclusivity agreements with channel partners B. Give distributors big incentives C. Provide alternate news D. Preempt or copy the competitive news E. Secure government support Defending Your Brand 44
  • 45. Awareness defense options Goal: Limit awareness of the new item Options: A. Introduce similar news or a similar product B. Create a distraction C. Increase spending: dominate the share of voice D. Lock up key marketing vehicles Defending Your Brand 45
  • 47. Awareness defense options Goal: Limit awareness of the new item Options: A. Introduce similar news or a similar product B. Create a distraction C. Increase spending: dominate the share of voice D. Lock up key marketing vehicles Defending Your Brand 47
  • 48. Trial defense options Goal: Limit trial of the new item Options: A. Load up current customers -take customers out of the category B. Increase switching costs and reward loyalty C. Disparage the competitive product D. Provide identical benefits E. Provide alternate benefits Defending Your Brand 48
  • 52. Trial defense options Goal: Limit trial of the new item Options: A. Load up current customers -take customers out of the category B. Increase switching costs and reward loyalty C. Disparage the competitive product D. Provide identical benefits E. Provide alternate benefits Defending Your Brand 52
  • 53. Repeat defense options Goal: Ensure consumers don’t repeat on the new item Options: A. Introduce an identical item at a lower price B. Introduce a superior item C. Significantly reduce the price of current products D. Give channel partners an incentive to delist new item E. Acquire the new entrant F. File suit Defending Your Brand 53
  • 54. Agenda: Three Points • Defensive strategy is critically important • Companies often defend too late • There are many ways to defend Defending Your Brand 54
  • 55. Two final points 1. The best scenario: you never face competitive attacks Defending Your Brand 55
  • 56. Two final points 1. The best scenario: you never face competitive attacks 2. Competitive intelligence must be a top priority Three Good Questions - Who is coming after my business? - How big is the threat? - What can we do now to address it? Defending Your Brand 56
  • 57. To Learn More Defending Your Brand 57
  • 58. Contact Information Tim Calkins Kellogg School of Management t-calkins@kellogg.northwestern.edu www.timcalkins.com www.strongbrands.wordpress.com (847) 467-3209 Defending Your Brand 58