After spending 3 months in Venezuela studying the oil industry and the political economy of the country, I finally picked up Karl's 1997 book. It was as if it had been written in in 2007. It gives any watcher of Venezuela a contextual fabric to understand today's Venezuela.
For Venezuela, the western consumption-led, oil-development model has cursed it to high urbanization, hyperinflation, inefficient heavy industries, an elitist and clientelistic labour movement, executive centralization, fiscal black holes and dependency on foreign capital and technology. These trends continue today under the Chavez government.
To break the cycle, Venezuela must invest the oil money outside the country, spur the development of agriculture, and broaden the tax base with increased income tax. These three factors would have a cascading effect to diversify the economy, increase accountability, broaden the labour movement, reduce urbanization, decrease inflation and ultimately make Venezuela more than an oil jockey filling up its rich neighbour's Hummer.
With all the oil left in the country, maybe they will get it right the next time, but based on Karl's analysis probably not.
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