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E commerce17

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  • 1. CS 155b: E-commerce Lecture 17: April 12, 2001Introduction to B2C E-Commerce (Acknowledgement: Helen Chiang)
  • 2. E-Commerce Definitions• Electronic commerce is a set of technologies, applications, and business processes that link business, consumers, and communities – For buying, selling, and delivering products and services – For integrating and optimizing processes within and between participant entities
  • 3. What is B2C?• B2C Commerce: Interactions relating to the purchase and sale of goods and services between a business and consumer—retail transactions.• “Novelty” is that retail transaction is done on the Internet, rather than a “brick and mortar” store location.• Technical evolution of B2C from “brick and mortar” model not new.
  • 4. Revenue Models• Sell goods and services and take a cut (just like B&M retailers). (e.g., Amazon, E*Trade, Dell)• Advertising – Ads only (original Yahoo) – Ads in combination with other sources• Transaction fees• Sell digital content through subscription. (e.g., WSJ online, Economist Intelligence Wire)
  • 5. A Different Approach to Location Retailing• In 1886, a jeweler unhappy with a shipment of watches refuses to accept them• A local telegraphy operator bought the unwanted shipment• Used the telegraph to sell all the watches to fellow operators and railroad employees• Becomes so successful that he quits his job and started his own enterprise, specializing in catalog sales• Name: Richards Sears of Sears Roebuck
  • 6. E-Commerce Retail Sales Estimated Quarterly U.S. Retail E-Commerce Worldwide B2C E-commerce Revenues 2000-2004 (in Sales 4th Quarter 1999 - 4th Quarter 2000 billions) 10 9 8.686 2004 $428.1 8 7 6.393 2003 $250.0 6 5.198 5.24 5.526Billions of Dollars 5 2002 $167.2 4 2001 $101.1 3 2 2000 $59.7 1 0 $0.0 $100.0 $200.0 $300.0 $400.0 $500.0 4th Q 1999 1st Q 2000 2nd Q 2000 3rd Q 2000 4th Q 2000 Source: eMarketer
  • 7. Estimated Quarterly U.S. Retail Sales: Total and E-commerceData in millions of dollars. Not adjusted for seasonal, holiday, and trading-day differences. E-commerce as a Percent Quarter to Quarter Percent Period Retail Sales of Total Sales Change E-commerce Total E-commerce Total Sales Sales 4Q 1999 821,351 5,198 0.63 8035 NA 1Q 2000 747,934 5,240 0.70 -8.9 0.8 2Q 2000 815,677 5,526 0.68 9.1 5.5 3Q 2000 812,158 6,393 0.79 -0.4 15.7 4Q 2000 856,234 8,686 1.01 5.4 35.9Source: Commerce Dept.
  • 8. The State of B2C E-commerce in the U.S.• U.S. consumers remain #1 the wired world as they increase frequency and volume of their online purchases• But, the number of Internet purchases by U.S. consumers is second to the U.K.• Among U.S. respondents using the Internet, 74% have purchased an item online in last 2 months, and 87% expect to make an online purchase in the next year.
  • 9. US vs. the WorldGlobal Annual Online Transactions (Median = 10 transactions) 41+ • Online buyers in the 10% 26-40 U.S. spent, on average, 1-5 12% 41+ 26-40 32% 16-25 11-15 16-25 15% 6-10 1-5 $898 last year shopping 6-10 11-15 online. 19% 12% Global Annual Online Expenditures (Median = $460) • Worldwide: Median $4,001+ 9% online expenditure total $1-200 32% $2,001-$4,000 10% $4,001+ $2,001-$4,000 was $460. $1,001-$2,000 $1,001-$2,000 $501-$1,000 13% $201-$500 $1- 200 $201-$500 $501-$1,000 20% 16%
  • 10. Top Ten U.S. Purchase Categories 60% 52% 49% 49% 50% 40% 37% 29% 28% 28% 27% 30% 25% 20% 18% 10% 0% ks ts ic ng ns ys r" nt s er oo roduc mus lothi vatio To sume inme ty aid Oth B p ed C s er on rta eau la ted ecord /re ll "c ente nd b -re , r ets a d uter CD T ick , sm filme alth a ts , c , he mp du os nd co pro Vide nces nic gra te rs a ctro fra pu Ele s, om etic C sm Co
  • 11. Top 20 Internet Retailers (based on 1999 values) Past-Year Average 12- Online Sales to Customers month Company U.S. Consum ers Spending 1 eBay $3.5-3.7B 10M $350 2 A mazon.com 1.7-1.9B 12M 150 3 Dell 1.1-1.3B 600K 2,000 4 buy.com 700-800M 3M 250 5 Egghead.com 500-600M 700K 800 6 Gatew ay 500-600M 350K 1,500 7 Quixtar 400-450M 600K 700 8 uBid 275-325M 600K 500 Barnes & 9 Noble 275-325M 3M 100 Cyberian 10 Outpost 200-250M 425K 550 Value 11 America* 200-250M 250K 900 MicroWareho 12 use 200-250M 175K 1,200 13 Of f ice Depot 175-200M 250K 750 14 eToys.com 150-175M 1.7M 100 15 Lands End 150-175M 800K 200 The Spiegel 16 Group 150-175M 450K 350 17 Fingerhut 150-175M 400K 375 18 CDW 150-175M 200K 800 19 JCPenney 150-175M 500K 300 20 Gap 125-150M 800K 175 Source: National Retail Association
  • 12. Open Issues in E-commerce• Globalization • Barriers to E-commerce (U.S.): Old retail inconveniences and• Contractual and inefficiencies Financial Issues Barriers• Ownership 1. Concern that credit card will be stolen• Privacy and Security 2. Item is still high cost• Interconnectivity and 3. Item is very large 4. Personal sizing, fit are important Interoperability 5. High shipping costs• Deployment 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% source: Ernst & Young
  • 13. First-Generation B2C• Main Attraction: Lower Retail Prices• “B2C Pure Plays” could eliminate intermediaries, storefront costs, some distribution costs, etc.• Archetype: www.amazon.com
  • 14. Basic Problems Encountered Immediately• “Customer-Acquisition Costs” are huge.• Service is technically commoditizable, and there are no significant network effects.• Customers’ switching costs are tiny. (Lock-in to online book-buying is high. Lock-in to Amazon is low. Recall Netscape and IE.)• Competition is fierce in almost all segments. Few e-tailers are profitable.• Investors have run out of money and patience.
  • 15. Internet Customer Acquisition Costs Customer acquisition cost = total spent on advertising and marketing divided by the total number of new customers obtained – Amazon.com $29 – DLJ Direct $185 – E*Trade $257 – Various E-Commerce Sites $34
  • 16. E-tailing is Difficult in Low-Margin Businesses• Toys (e-Toys.com) – Typical online order contributes $11 to gross revenues. – Warehouse, marketing, website, and other fixed overhead is high. – A pure-play e-tailer needs to capture at least 5% of the toy market to reach profitability.• Groceries (Webvan.com, Peapod.com) – Typical online order contributes $9 to gross revenue (fulfillment costs are very high). – Steady customer orders ~30 times/year. – McKinsey/Salomon-Smith-Barney’s estimate of the value of one steady customer: ~$900 over 4 years.
  • 17. Current Theories (after first shake-out)• High order frequency and large order size are more important than large customer base.• E-tailers should strive for average order sizes of >$50 and concentrate on high-margin product categories (>35%). [Traditional grocery margins: 2-3%.]• Concentrate on making transactions profitable, not on VC-supported market-share wars.• Combine e-tailing with B&M stores.
  • 18. “Multi-Channel” Retail (B2C w/ B&M)• Exploit multiple marketing and distribution channels simultaneously – B&M (“bricks and mortar”) stores: Customers browse on the web before going to the store. – Catalog sales, telephone, tv advertising,…• In 1999, multi-channel retailers (i.e., B&Ms or traditional catalog companies that also sell online) made up 62% of B2C e-commerce. Mostly high- margin sales, e.g., computers, tickets, and financial service.• Projected to reach 85% in next 5 years. (Source: Boston Consulting Group)
  • 19. Advantages of Multi-channel Retail• Leverage existing brands.• Biggest B&M retailers have huge clout. (Walmart’s annual sales are $138B, much more than all e-tailers’ combined.)• Profits from existing channels can subsidize e-tail start-up. No need to quit when VCs lose interest.• Use established distribution and fulfillment infrastructure (e.g., LL Bean, Land’s End,…).• Cross-marketing and cross-datamining.
  • 20. E-tailers are Adding “Offline” Channels • Alloy.com sold clothes and accessories, but it became a hit only after its catalog was launched. • Drugstore.com once dismissed B&M retailing, but it agreed to sell a 25% stake to Rite-Aid not long after rival Soma.com was bought by CVS. • Gateway sells computers through WWW and catalog, but it also has 164 stores across U.S. They carry little stock, but they allow customers to “get a feel for the product” before ordering it.