“The challenges for developingMediterranean and Middle EastAir Cargo”SIL, 11 Fórum Mediterráneo de la Logística y del Tran...
“Air Cargo ameans to an end.Not an end initself”Economic activity between regions isthe primary influence on air cargodeve...
Today’s talk1• State of air cargo in the world and specifically in theMediterranean and Middle East.2• A key step: economi...
Today’s talk1•State of air cargoin the world andspecifically in thetheMediterraneanand Middle East
Where are we now ? And where are we going ?2001-2011 Cargo (RTK’s) is growing slower…. Historical and forecast air cargo ...
But yields are decreasing less rapidly….Source: boeing
Fuel is still a nightmare..... 
Good GDP world growth expectationsfor Africa and Middle East Source: boeing
RANKING AFRICA EUROPE MIDDLE EAST1 Cairo * Frankfurt*** Dubai***2 Johannesburg Paris *** Doha***3 Nairobi Amsterdam*** Abu...
Source: boeing
Source: boeing
Today’s talk2• A key step for air cargodevelopment: economicintegration ofmediterraneancountries.
Downsides of the Euromed Trade Med exports insufficiently diversified- essentially energy (25%) and textile/clothing (30%...
Challenge Number 1:Mediterranean trade liberalisation and integration The EU is 1st trading partner of Mediterranean coun...
Estimulating Europe – Mediterranean integrationPOLITICAL STEPS ON INTEGRATION– 1995-2005: 35 Euromed partners start workin...
Today’s talk3•Air cargospecificchallenges fordevelopment.
Air cargo specific challenges for themediterranean region1. Open Skies and New Air Service Agreements.2. Terrorism and arm...
CONCLUSIONSI. Air cargo growth rates for Africa and MiddleEast have a promising future, specially to Asia.II. Fuel prices ...
Thank you – Muchas GraciasContact details:Jaume Adrover. Director General GPAwww.gpa.aero jadrover@gpa.aero
Asia-Africa: a fast growing air cargo flowSource: boeing
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The challenges for developing Mediterranean and Middle East Air Cargo (GPA presentation in MedaForum, June 18th 2013)

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On June 18th 2013 the 11th edition of the Mediterranean Logistics and Transport Forum and the 6th Mediterranean Ports and Shipping Summit took place in Barcelona in the framework of the 15th Anniversary of the International Logistics and Material Handling Exhibition (SIL 2013).

Organized by the Association of the Mediterranean Chambers of Commerce and Industry (ASCAME), the Consorci of Zona Franca de Barcelona, organizers of the SIL, with the support of the Chamber of Commerce, Industry and Navigation of Barcelona, the UfM (Union for the Mediterranean), the EIB (European Investment Bank) and others, this forum represents an exclusive opportunity to meet more than 300 actors of the transport and logistics sector in the Mediterranean and explore business opportunities.

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The challenges for developing Mediterranean and Middle East Air Cargo (GPA presentation in MedaForum, June 18th 2013)

  1. 1. “The challenges for developingMediterranean and Middle EastAir Cargo”SIL, 11 Fórum Mediterráneo de la Logística y del Transporte. Junio 2013Jaume Adrover. Director General GPA & Delegado de BCL
  2. 2. “Air Cargo ameans to an end.Not an end initself”Economic activity between regions isthe primary influence on air cargodevelopment. However other factorsalso play an important role.
  3. 3. Today’s talk1• State of air cargo in the world and specifically in theMediterranean and Middle East.2• A key step: economic integration of mediterraneancountries.3• Air cargo specific challenges for development.
  4. 4. Today’s talk1•State of air cargoin the world andspecifically in thetheMediterraneanand Middle East
  5. 5. Where are we now ? And where are we going ?2001-2011 Cargo (RTK’s) is growing slower…. Historical and forecast air cargo growth ratesHistoric Forecast(10 years) (20 years)2001-11 2011-21World 3.7% 5.2%Intra – Europe 1.6% 2.4%Africa- Europe 3.2% 4.8%Middle East-Eur. 9.5% 5.7%source: boeingSource: boeing
  6. 6. But yields are decreasing less rapidly….Source: boeing
  7. 7. Fuel is still a nightmare..... 
  8. 8. Good GDP world growth expectationsfor Africa and Middle East Source: boeing
  9. 9. RANKING AFRICA EUROPE MIDDLE EAST1 Cairo * Frankfurt*** Dubai***2 Johannesburg Paris *** Doha***3 Nairobi Amsterdam*** Abu Dhabi***4 Lagos London*** Sharjah5 Kinshasa Luxembourg*** Bahrain6 Addis Ababa Cologne/Bonn*** Tel Aviv-Yafo7 Brazzaville Liege*** Jeddah8 Khartoum Leipzig/Halle*** Riyadh9 Luanda Istanbul*** Kuwait10 Entebbe Brussels*** Tehran (thr)11 Casablanca* Milan*** Tehran (ika)12 Accra Madrid Muscatsource: GPA from flightglobal* North African countries *** = within the World top 50
  10. 10. Source: boeing
  11. 11. Source: boeing
  12. 12. Today’s talk2• A key step for air cargodevelopment: economicintegration ofmediterraneancountries.
  13. 13. Downsides of the Euromed Trade Med exports insufficiently diversified- essentially energy (25%) and textile/clothing (30%) South-south exchanges not yet liberalised : intra-med trade = 5-6% of total exchanges (the lowest rate in the world, compared to for exampleabove 30% in Asia)- economies not complementary?- infrastructure bottlenecks and trade barriers Lack of attractiveness of FDI (Meds attract 1% of EUoutward FDI)- Size of the market: lack of a regional integrated market- Transparency and business environment to be improved
  14. 14. Challenge Number 1:Mediterranean trade liberalisation and integration The EU is 1st trading partner of Mediterranean countriesMediterranean partners (without Turkey) account for5,2% of overall EU trade in goods. Trade in goods: €244 billion in 2010.Med exports to EU increased by 11%/year and Medimports from the EU by 8%/year (2004-2008). Trade in services : Mediterranean partners account foronly 5% of overall EU trade in services= large potential.
  15. 15. Estimulating Europe – Mediterranean integrationPOLITICAL STEPS ON INTEGRATION– 1995-2005: 35 Euromed partners start working towardsFree – Trade Agreements.– 2004:EU launches the so-called: European NeighbourhoodPolicy– 2008: launch of the Union for the Mediterranean
  16. 16. Today’s talk3•Air cargospecificchallenges fordevelopment.
  17. 17. Air cargo specific challenges for themediterranean region1. Open Skies and New Air Service Agreements.2. Terrorism and armed conflict3. Directional imbalances4. Lack of airport access with the region/country5. Surface competition6. Compliance of EU cargo security regulations7. Liberalisation of logistic services and buildinglogistic platforms.
  18. 18. CONCLUSIONSI. Air cargo growth rates for Africa and MiddleEast have a promising future, specially to Asia.II. Fuel prices will be key to determine rate ofgrowth.III. North Africa lacks world class cargo airports =large potential.IV. Macro economic integration and politicalprocesses are essential to foster intra-regiontrade and FDIV. Open skies policies and new air serviceagreements are needed stimulate demand.
  19. 19. Thank you – Muchas GraciasContact details:Jaume Adrover. Director General GPAwww.gpa.aero jadrover@gpa.aero
  20. 20. Asia-Africa: a fast growing air cargo flowSource: boeing

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