Workforce2010 2020


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Workforce2010 2020

  1. 1. WORKFORCE 2010-2020 Board of Trustees’ Retreat November 16, 2004
  2. 2. “ We cannot produce twenty-first century knowledge workers in nineteenth century public school, early-twentieth century higher education institutions, or mid-twentieth century federal job training programs.” Workforce 2020
  3. 3. Overview <ul><li>Forces shaping the workforce landscape </li></ul><ul><li>U.S. & Minnesota Jobs </li></ul><ul><li>Models and tools for assessing higher education response </li></ul><ul><li>Next steps </li></ul>
  4. 4. Components for Future of Minnesota Workforce Future POPULATION TRENDS Workforce Needs Education
  5. 5. Forces Shaping The American Economy <ul><li>Rapid technological change </li></ul><ul><li>Global integration – the rest of the world matters; outsourcing will continue </li></ul><ul><li>Rapid economic growth in certain nations </li></ul><ul><li>Deregulation and liberalization </li></ul><ul><li>Demographic change </li></ul><ul><li>Technological change - automation </li></ul>
  6. 6. Rising To The Challenges Of Workforce 2020 <ul><li>Labor market will demand highly educated workers </li></ul><ul><li>Low skilled jobs that can be done elsewhere will disappear in U.S. </li></ul><ul><li>New technology and global competition will create unprecedented volatility in the world of work </li></ul><ul><li>Work environments will improve </li></ul><ul><li>Workplace will be increasingly diverse </li></ul>
  7. 7. Will There Be A Skills Gap? <ul><li>Skill levels in language, mathematics, and reasoning development need improvement </li></ul><ul><li>Productivity and quality of life dependent on a more highly skilled, educated workforce </li></ul><ul><li>Declining jobs, declining skill levels </li></ul><ul><li>Expanding occupations, high skills </li></ul>
  8. 8. <ul><li>What are the effects of these trends that you witness in your business or other areas of your life? </li></ul>
  9. 9. Trends in Occupations
  10. 10. The 10 Occupations With The Largest Job Growth, 2002-12 Percent & Education Or Training <ul><li>Registered nurses </li></ul><ul><li>Postsecondary teachers </li></ul><ul><li>Retail salespersons </li></ul><ul><li>Customer service representative </li></ul><ul><li>Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food </li></ul><ul><li>Cashiers, except gaming </li></ul><ul><li>Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners </li></ul><ul><li>General and operations managers </li></ul><ul><li>Waiters and waitresses </li></ul><ul><li>Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants </li></ul><ul><li>27% Associate degree </li></ul><ul><li>38% Doctoral degree </li></ul><ul><li>15% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>24% Moderate-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>23% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>18% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>13% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>8. 18% Bachelor's or higher degree, plus work experience </li></ul><ul><li>9. 18% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul><ul><li>10. 25% Short-term on-the-job training </li></ul>Bureau of Labor Statistics
  11. 11. Fastest Growing Occupations 2000-2012 <ul><li>Medical assistants </li></ul><ul><li>Network systems and data communications analysts </li></ul><ul><li>Physician assistants </li></ul><ul><li>Social and human service assistants </li></ul><ul><li>Home health aides </li></ul><ul><li>Medical records and health information technicians </li></ul><ul><li>Physical therapist aides </li></ul><ul><li>Computer software engineers, applications </li></ul><ul><li>Computer software engineers, systems software </li></ul><ul><li>Physical therapist assistants </li></ul><ul><li>Fitness trainers and aerobics instructors </li></ul><ul><li>Database administrators </li></ul><ul><li>Veterinary technologists and technicians </li></ul><ul><li>Hazardous materials removal workers </li></ul><ul><li>Dental hygienists </li></ul><ul><li>Occupational therapist aides </li></ul><ul><li>Dental assistants </li></ul><ul><li>Personal and home care aides </li></ul><ul><li>Self-enrichment education teachers </li></ul><ul><li>Computer systems analysts </li></ul>Bureau of Labor Statistics
  12. 12. Fastest Declining Occupations 2000-2012 <ul><li>Telephone operators </li></ul><ul><li>Word processors and typists </li></ul><ul><li>Textile knitting and weaving machine setters, operators, and tenders </li></ul><ul><li>Sewing machine operators </li></ul><ul><li>Shuttle car operators </li></ul><ul><li>Textile winding, twisting, and drawing out machine setters, operators, and tenders </li></ul><ul><li>Radio mechanics </li></ul><ul><li>Textile bleaching and dyeing machine operators and tenders </li></ul><ul><li>Roof bolters, mining </li></ul><ul><li>Fishers and related fishing workers </li></ul><ul><li>Shoe machine operators and tenders </li></ul><ul><li>All other communications equipment operators </li></ul><ul><li>Fabric and apparel patternmakers </li></ul><ul><li>Railroad brake, signal, and switch operators </li></ul><ul><li>Textile cutting machine setters, operators, and tenders </li></ul><ul><li>Sewers, hand </li></ul><ul><li>Farmers and ranchers </li></ul><ul><li>Continuous mining machine operators </li></ul><ul><li>Electrical and electronic equipment assemblers </li></ul><ul><li>Bridge and lock tenders </li></ul><ul><li>Computer operators </li></ul><ul><li>Shoe and leather workers and repairers </li></ul><ul><li>Brokerage clerks </li></ul><ul><li>Loan interviewers and clerks </li></ul><ul><li>Meter readers, utilities </li></ul>Bureau of Labor Statistics
  13. 13. Minnesota Outlook
  14. 14. Minnesota Is Bigger, Older And Better Educated: 1960-2000 <ul><li>3.4 million </li></ul><ul><li>28.5 </li></ul><ul><li>37.6% </li></ul><ul><li>1.2% </li></ul><ul><li>7.5% </li></ul><ul><li>4.9 million </li></ul><ul><li>35.4 </li></ul><ul><li>26.2% </li></ul><ul><li>11.8% </li></ul><ul><li>27.4% </li></ul><ul><li>Source: University of Minnesota </li></ul>1960 2000 Population Median Age Under age 18 Percent minority 4+ years of college
  15. 15. <ul><li>Educational Attainment </li></ul><ul><li>Migration Patterns </li></ul><ul><li>Diversity & Education </li></ul><ul><li>Population Distribution </li></ul><ul><li>Earnings by Educational Attainment </li></ul><ul><li>Aging of the Baby Boomers </li></ul>Minnesota Themes Tom Gillaspy, State Demographer
  16. 23. Nearly 3/5ths of the State’s labor force lives in the 7-county Twin Cities Region Source: LAUS, DEED-LMI
  17. 25. Tom Gillaspy, State Demographer
  18. 31. Occupational Trends in Minnesota <ul><li>Over 70 percent of Minnesotans work in service-producing industries </li></ul><ul><li>Service and retail trade industries are projected to add the most jobs in Minnesota between 2000 and 2010 </li></ul><ul><li>Sales, information technology, office and health occupations are projected to add the most jobs. </li></ul><ul><li>While short-term OJT jobs are booming, jobs requiring Bachelor’s or Associate’s degree are the fastest growing. </li></ul>
  19. 32. How is MnSCU responding to the need to be more responsive to workforce needs?
  20. 33. Models and Tools for Aligning Workforce Needs and Higher Education <ul><li>Visits with Business and Industry </li></ul><ul><li>Competitive grants for curricular development in high need areas </li></ul><ul><li>Matched Leveraged equipment grants (previous funding cycle) </li></ul><ul><li>Federal agenda to secure additional outside funding </li></ul><ul><li>Coordination with key industries such as Allied Health </li></ul><ul><li>Models to target highest need areas </li></ul><ul><ul><li>MnSCU- College and University Planning Profile System </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>DEED- High need clusters </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Minnesota High Tech Association study </li></ul></ul>
  21. 34. Business and Industry Visits <ul><li>Changing Workplace </li></ul><ul><li>Image and Public Perception </li></ul><ul><li>Community Vitality </li></ul><ul><li>System Efficiencies </li></ul><ul><li>Relationship with Secondary Education </li></ul>
  22. 35. Business and Industry: What is Working <ul><li>Business and industry partnerships </li></ul><ul><li>Customized training; nimbleness and responsiveness </li></ul><ul><li>Services to dislocated workers </li></ul><ul><li>Customer service </li></ul><ul><li>Provision of positive learning environments and education for students </li></ul><ul><li>Businesses like to hire our graduates after internships and mentoring experiences </li></ul>
  23. 36. Themes <ul><li>Employers need training for incumbent workers , new workers at speed as soon as possible. </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Increases in supervisory management </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Soft skill management and leadership training </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Industry safety </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Health </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Computer training </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Downturns and upswings impact students’ perceptions of a field </li></ul><ul><li>Increasing the customizing of training delivery </li></ul>
  24. 37. MnSCU Assessment: CUPPS Statewide Current Shortage Clusters $16.64 -9,584 259,666 Business and Financial Services $14.16 -1,256 20,894 Mechanics $19.20 -3,507 34,581 Information Technology $16.08 -1,296 52,805 Education $17.65 -7,203 102,260 Health Entry Hourly Wage Shortage Employment Cluster
  25. 38. Department of Employment and Economic Development Key Industries, Key Occupations, Key Skills in the Twin Cities <ul><li>Health care </li></ul><ul><li>Finance and insurance </li></ul><ul><li>Professional and technical </li></ul><ul><li>Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>High tech manufacturing </li></ul>
  26. 39. Next Steps Transform Higher Education <ul><li>Strengthen the quality of early education </li></ul><ul><li>Keep quality high </li></ul><ul><li>Deal with high levels of remediation </li></ul><ul><li>Provide good information about job market and education required </li></ul><ul><li>Deal with the mismatch between higher education and the economy </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Monitor and respond to labor market demands </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Create array of options for life long learning </li></ul></ul>
  27. 40. Vision for the Future 5-year Market Responsive Goals <ul><li>Trainers of choice for local businesses </li></ul><ul><li>Business involvement in strategic plans-specific job needs </li></ul><ul><li>Career-ladder degrees </li></ul><ul><li>Blur lines between credit and noncredit courses </li></ul><ul><li>Flexible training and delivery systems </li></ul><ul><li>One-stop centers </li></ul><ul><li>Collaboration between colleges </li></ul><ul><li>Creation of bridge programs K-16 for seamless service </li></ul><ul><li>Center of excellence </li></ul><ul><li>Develop set of economic goals and objectives by the community </li></ul><ul><li>Workforce investment boards develop regional economic centers at colleges </li></ul><ul><li>Small businesses create contracts with colleges </li></ul><ul><li>Return on investment from market responsive colleges is equal to regional development </li></ul>21 st Century Community College September 2004
  28. 41. What is the vision for MnSCU in relation to market responsiveness?