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Mutual fund

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    Mutual fund Mutual fund Document Transcript

    • Mutual FundThe following are some of the more popular definitions of a Mutual Fund:A Mutual Fund is an investment tool that allows small investors access to a well-diversified portfolioof equities, bonds and other securities. Each shareholder participates in the gain or loss of the fund.Units are issued and can be redeemed as needed. The funds Net Asset Value (NAV) is determinedeach day.Mutual Funds are financial intermediaries. They are companies’ set up to receive your money, andthen having received it, make investments with the money Via an AMC. It is an ideal tool for peoplewho want to invest but dont want to be bothered with deciphering the numbers and deciding whetherthe stock is a good buy or not. A mutual fund manager proceeds to buy a number of stocks fromvarious markets and industries. Depending on the amount you invest, you own part of the overall fund.The beauty of mutual funds is that anyone with an investible surplus of a few hundred rupees caninvest and reap returns as high as those provided by the equity markets or have a steady andcomparatively secure investment as offered by debt instruments.There are several benefits from investing in a Mutual Fund.Small investments: Mutual funds help you to reap the benefit of returns by a portfolio spread acrossa wide spectrum of companies with small investments. Such a spread would not have been possiblewithout their assistance.Professional Fund Management: Professionals having considerable expertise, experience andresources manage the pool of money collected by a mutual fund. They thoroughly analyse the marketsand economy to pick good investment opportunities.Spreading Risk: An investor with a limited amount of fund might be able to to invest in only one ortwo stocks / bonds, thus increasing his or her risk. However, a mutual fund will spread its risk byinvesting a number of sound stocks or bonds. A fund normally invests in companies across a widerange of industries, so the risk is diversified at the same time taking advantage of the position it holds.Also in cases of liquidity crisis where stocks are sold at a distress, mutual funds have the advantage ofthe redemption option at the NAVs.Transparency and interactivity: Mutual Funds regularly provide investors with information on thevalue of their investments. Mutual Funds also provide complete portfolio disclosure of the investmentsmade by various schemes and also the proportion invested in each asset type. Mutual Funds clearlylayout their investment strategy to the investor.Liquidity: Closed ended funds have their units listed at the stock exchange, thus they can be boughtand sold at their market value. Over and above this the units can be directly redeemed to the MutualFund as and when they announce the repurchase.Choice: The large amount of Mutual Funds offers the investor a wide variety to choose from. Aninvestor can pick up a scheme depending upon his risk / return profile.Regulations: All the mutual funds are registered with SEBI and they function within the provisionsof strict regulation designed to protect the interests of the investor.
    • ConceptA Mutual Fund is not an alternative investment option to stocks and bond; rather it pools the money ofseveral investors and invests this in stocks, bonds, money market instruments and other types ofsecurities.A Mutual Fund is a trust that pools the savings of a number of investors who share a commonfinancial goal. The money thus collected is then invested in capital market instruments such as shares,debentures and other securities. The income earned through these investments and the capitalappreciation realised are shared by its unit holders in proportion to the number of units owned bythem. Thus a Mutual Fund is the most suitable investment for the common man as it offers anopportunity to invest in a diversified, professionally managed basket of securities at a relatively lowcost. The flow chart below describes broadly the working of a mutual fund:Mutual Fund Operation Flow ChartAnybody with an investible surplus of as little as a few hundred rupees can invest in mutual funds.The investors buy units of a fund that best suit their investment objectives and future needs. A MutualFund invests the pool of money collected from the investors in a range of securities comprisingequities, debt, money market instruments etc. after charging for the AMC fees. The income earned andthe capital appreciation realised by the scheme, are shared by the investors in same proportion as thenumber of units owned by them.Returns from a Mutual FundCapital Appreciation: An increase in the value of the units of the fund is known as capitalappreciation. As the value of individual securities in the fund increases, the funds unit price increases.An investor can book a profit by selling the units at prices higher than the price at which he bought theunits.Dividend Distribution: The profit earned by the fund is distributed among unit holders in the form ofdividends. Dividend distribution again is of two types. It can either be re-invested in the fund or can beon paid to the investor.It’s different from portfolio management schemesIn case of mutual funds, the investments of different investors are pooled to form a common investiblecorpus and gain/loss to all investors during a given period are same for all investors while in case ofportfolio management scheme, the investments of a particular investor remains identifiable to him.Here the gain or loss of all the investors will be different from each other.
    • It’s different from Bank DepositWhen you deposit money with the bank, the bank promises to pay you a certain rate of interest for theperiod you specify. On the date of maturity, the bank is supposed to return the principal amount andinterest to you. Whereas, in a mutual fund, the money you invest, is in turn invested by the manager,on your behalf, as per the investment strategy specified for the scheme. The profit, if any, lessexpenses of the manager, is reflected in the NAV or distributed as income. Likewise, loss, if any, withthe expenses, is to be borne by you.It’s not only investing in equitiesMutual funds can be divided into various types depending on asset classes. They can also invest indebt instruments such as bonds, debentures, commercial paper and government securities apart fromequity. Every mutual fund scheme is bound by the investment objectives outlined by it in itsprospectus. The investment objectives specify the class of securities a mutual fund can invest in.
    • Net Asset Value (NAV)Net Asset Value (NAV) is the actual value of one unit of a given scheme on any given business day.The NAV reflects the liquidation value of the funds investments on that particular day afteraccounting for all expenses. It is calculated by deducting all liabilities (except unit capital) of the fundfrom the realisable value of all assets and dividing it by number of units outstanding.The NAVs are published in financial newspapers and also available on the AMFI website on a dailybasis.Can the NAV of a debt fund fall?A debt fund invests in fixed-income instruments, where safety of capital and regular returns areassured. These include Commercial Paper, Certificates of Deposit, debentures and bonds. While therate of interest on these instruments stays the same throughout their tenure, their market value keepschanging, depending on how the interest rates in the economy move.A debt funds NAV is the market value of its portfolio holdings at a given point in time. As interestrates change, so do the market value of fixed-income instruments - and hence, the NAV of a debt fund.Thus it is a misnomer that the debt funds NAV does not fall. LoadThe charge collected by a Mutual Fund from an investor for selling the units or investing in it.When a charge is collected at the time of entering into the scheme it is called an Entry load or Front-end load or Sales load. The entry load percentage is added to the NAV at the time of allotment ofunits.An Exit load or Back-end load or Repurchase load is a charge that is collected at the time ofredeeming or for transfer between schemes (switch). The exit load percentage is deducted from theNAV at the time of redemption or transfer between schemes.Some schemes do not charge any load and are called "No Load Schemes"What is the Repurchase or Back End Load?It is the charge collected by the scheme when it buys back the units from the unit holders.What is CDSC?Contingent Deferred Sales Charge (CDSC) is a charge imposed on unit holders exiting from thescheme within 4 years of entry. It is intended to enable the AMC to recover expenses incurred forpromotion or propagation of the scheme.
    • OrSometimes the selling expenses of the fund are not charged to the fund directly but are recovered fromthe unit holders whenever they redeem their units. This load is called a CDSC and is inverselyproportional to the period of unit holding.What is the difference between contingent deferred sales load and an exit load?Contingent Deferred Sales charge (CDSC) is a charge imposed when the units of a fund are redeemedduring the first few years of ownership. Under the SEBI Regulations, a fund can charge CDSC to unitholders exiting from the scheme within the first four years of entry.Exit load is a fee an investor pays to a fund whenever he redeems his/her units. As per SEBIregulations, the maximum exit load applicable is 7%. There is a further stipulation by SEBI that theentry load and exit load put together cannot exceed 7% of the sale price.What is a Sale Price?It is the price paid by an investor when investing in a scheme of a Mutual Fund. This price mayinclude the sales or entry load.What is a Redemption/Repurchase Price?Redemption or Repurchase Price is the price at which an investor sells back the units to the MutualFund. This price is NAV related and may include the exit load. SwitchingSwitching facility provides investors with an option to transfer the funds amongst different types ofschemes or plans. Investors can opt to switch units between Dividend Plan and Growth Plan at NAVbased prices. Switching is also allowed into/from other select open-ended schemes currently withinthe Fund family or schemes that may be launched in the future at NAV based prices.While switching between Debt and Equity Schemes, one has to take care of exit and entry loads.Switching from a Debt Scheme to Equity scheme involves an entry load while the vice versa does notinvolve an entry load.What is the applicable NAV for switch?Switch requests are effected the day the request for switch is received. The Applicable NAV for theswitch will be the NAV on the day that the request for switch is received.
    • Track the performance of the FundBesides the NAV, are there any other parameters, which can be compared acrossdifferent funds of the same category?Besides Net Asset Value the following parameters should be considered while comparing the funds:AVERAGE RETURNSAn investor should look at the returns given by the fund over a period of time. Care should be taken tosee whether all dividends and bonuses have been accounted for. The higher and more consistent thereturns the better is the fund.VOLATILITYIn addition to the returns one should also look at the volatility of the returns given by the fund.Volatility is essentially the fluctuation of the returns about the mean return over a period of time. Afund giving consistent returns is better than a fund whose returns fluctuate a lot.CORPUS SIZEA Large corpus is generally considered good because large funds have lower costs, as expenses arespread over large assets but at the same time a large corpus has some inefficiency too. A large corpusmay become unwieldy and thus difficult to manage.PERFORMANCE VIS A VIS BENCHMARK OTHER SCHEMESAn investor should not only look at the returns given by the scheme he has invested in but alsocompare it with benchmarks like BSE Sensex, S & P Nifty, T-bill index etc depending on the assetclass he has invested in. For a true picture it is advised that the returns should also be compared withthe returns given by the other funds in the same category.Thus it is prudent to consider all the above-mentioned factors while comparing funds and not rely onany one of them in isolation. This is important because as of today there is no standard method forevaluation of un-traded securities.Does out performance of a benchmark index always connote good performance?No, it is not necessary that out performance of a benchmark index always connote good performance.The volatility does not permit the investor to rely on one factor only. The index performance isvolatile and may be driven by a few scrips only, which may not be very reflective. So it is better tokeep other factors like risk adjusted returns (volatility of returns) and NAV movement in mind whiledeciding to invest in a fund.Does higher return necessarily mean a better fund?Yes, on the face of it high return does connote good fund but there is also some a risk taken by thescheme to achieve these returns. Thus it is prudent to measure risk also while considering returns torank a scheme. Today there are a lot of statistical tools like Beta, Sharpe ratio, Alpha and StandardDeviation to measure this risk. A risk adjusted return is the best measure to use while judging ascheme. You can also refer to the ratings assigned by a reputed rating agency.
    • What should one keep in mind while choosing a good mutual fund?Each individual has different financial goals, based on lifestyle, financial independence and familycommitments and level of incomes and expenses and many other factors. Thus before investing yourmoney you need to analyze the following factors:Define the Investment objectiveYour financial goals will vary, based on your age, lifestyle, financial independence, familycommitments and level of income and expenses among many other factors. Therefore, the first stepshould be to assess your needs. You can begin by defining the investment objectives, which could beregular income, buying a home or finance a wedding or educate your children or a combination of allthese needs. Also your risk appetite and cash flow requirements need to be taken into account.Choose the right Mutual FundOnce the investment objective is clear in your mind the next step is choosing the right Mutual Fundscheme. Before choosing a mutual fund the following factors need to be considered: NAV performance in the past track record of performance in terms of returns over the last fewyears in relation to appropriate yardsticks and other funds in the same category. Risk in terms of volatility of returns Services offered by the mutual fund and how investor friendly it is. Transparency, which is reflected in the quality and frequency of its communications.Go for a proper combination of schemes:Investing in just one Mutual Fund scheme may not meet all your investment needs. You may considerinvesting in a combination of schemes to achieve your specific goals.Why do Mutual Funds come out with different schemes?A Mutual Fund may not, through just one portfolio, be able to meet the investment objectives of alltheir Unit holders. Some Unit holders may want to invest in risk-bearing securities such as equity andsome others may want to invest in safer securities such as bonds or government securities. Hence, theMutual Fund comes out with different schemes, each with a different investment objective.What is a Systematic Investment Plan?This is an investment technique where you deposit a fixed, small amount regularly into the mutualfund scheme (every month or quarter as per your convenience) at the then prevailing NAV (Net AssetValue), subject to applicable load.What is a Systematic Withdrawal Plan?The unitholder may set up a Systematic Withdrawal Plan on a monthly, quarterly or semi-annual orannual basis to redeem a fixed number of units.
    • Recurring sales expensesThe Asset management Company may charge the fund a fee for operating its schemes, like trustee fee,custodian fee, registrar fee, transfer fee etc. This fee is called recurring expense and is expressed as apercentage of the schemes average net assets. The recurring expenses are subject to certain limits asper the regulations of SEBI. WEEKLY AVERAGE NET ASSETS EQUITY SCHEMES DEBT SCHEMES RS. FIRST 100 CRORES 2.50% 2.25% NEXT 300 CRORES 2.25% 2.00% NEXT 300 CRORES 2.00% 1.75% BALANCE ASSETS 1.75% 1.50% Debt FundsWhat are Money Markets and money market instruments?Money markets allow banks to manage their liquidity as well as provide the Central Bank means toconduct monetary policy. Money markets are markets for debt instruments with maturity up to oneyear.The most active part of the money market is the call money market (i.e. market for overnight and termmoney between banks and institutions) and the market for repo transactions. The former is in the formof loans and the latter are sale and buyback agreements - both are obviously not traded. The maintraded instruments are Commercial Papers (CPs), Certificates of Deposit (CDs) and Treasury Bills (T-Bills).Commercial Paper
    • A Commercial Paper is a short term unsecured promissory note issued by the raiser of debt to theinvestor. In India Corporates, Primary Dealers (PD), Satellite Dealers (SD) and Financial Institutions(FIs) can issue these notes.It is generally companies with very good ratings which are active in the CP market, though RBIpermits a minimum credit rating of Crisil-P2. The tenure of CPs can be anything between 15 days toone year, though the most popular duration is 90 days. Companies use CPs to save interest costs.Certificates of DepositThese are issued by banks in denominations of Rs 5 lakh and have maturity ranging from 30 days to 3years. Banks are allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of less than one year while financial institutionsare allowed to issue CDs with a maturity of at least one year.Treasury BillsTreasury Bills are instruments issued by RBI at a discount to the face value and form an integral partof the money market. In India Treasury Bills are issued in four different maturities - 14 days, 90 days,182 days and 364 days.Apart from the above money market instruments, certain other short-term instruments are also invogue with investors. These include short-term corporate debentures, bills of exchange andpromissory notes.What are debt markets and debt market instruments?Typically those instruments that have a maturity of more than a year and the main types are -Government Securities (G-secs or Gilts) Like T-bills, RBI on behalf of the Government issues gilts. These instruments form a part of theborrowing program approved by Parliament in the Finance Bill each year (Union Budget). Typically,they have a maturity ranging from 1 year to 20 years. Like T-Bills, Gilts are issued through the auction route but RBI can sell/buy securities in its OpenMarket Operations (OMO). OMOs include conducting repos as well and are used by RBI tomanipulate short-term liquidity and thereby the interest rates to desired levelsThe other types of Government Securities are Inflation linked bonds Zero coupon bonds State Government Securities (State Loans)Bonds/DebenturesWhat is the difference between bonds and debentures?World over, a debenture is a debt security issued by a corporation that is not secured by specificassets, but rather by the general credit of the corporation. Stated assets secure a corporate bond, unlikea debenture. But in India these are used interchangeably.A bond is a promise in which the issuer agrees to pay a certain rate of interest, usually as a percentage
    • of the bonds face value to the investor at specific periodicity over the life of the bond. Sometimesinterest is also paid in the form of issuing the instrument at a discount to face value and subsequentlyredeeming it at par. Some bonds do not pay a fixed rate of interest but pay interest that is a mark-up onsome benchmark rate.Typically PSUs, Public Financial Institutions and Corporates issue bonds. Another distinction is SLR(Statutory Liquidity Ratio) and non-SLR bonds. SLR bonds are those bonds, which are approvedsecurities by RBI, which fall under the SLR limits of banks.Statutory liquidity ratio (SLR): It is the percentage of total deposits a bank has to keep in approvedsecurities.What affects bond prices?Largely it will be the interest rates and credit quality of the issuer. Interest Rates: The price of a debenture is inversely proportional to changes in interest rates thatin turn is dependent on various factors. When the interest rates fall down, the existing bonds willbecome more valuable and the prices will move up until the yields become the same as the new bondsissued during the lower interest rate scenario (for a detailed explanation see "what affects interestrates"). Credit Quality: When the credit quality of the issuer deteriorates, market expects higher interestfrom the company and the price of the bond falls and vice versa.Another factor that determines the sensitivity of a bond is the "Maturity Period" - a longer maturityinstrument will rise or fall more than a shorter maturity instrument.What affects interest rates?The factors are largely macro-economic in nature – Demand/Supply of money: When economic growth is high, demand for money increases,pushing the interest rates up and vice versa. Government Borrowing and Fiscal Deficit: Since the government is the biggest borrower in thedebt market, the level of borrowing also determines the interest rates.On the other hand, supply of money is done by the Central Bank by either printing more notes orthrough its Open Market Operations (OMO). RBI: RBI can change the key rates (CRR, SLR and bank rates) depending on the state of theeconomy or to combat inflation. RBI fixes the bank rate, which forms the basis of the structure ofinterest rates and the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR), whichdetermines the availability of credit and the level of money supply in the economy.(CRR is the percentage of its total deposits a bank has to keep with RBI in cash or near cash assets andSLR is the percentage of its total deposits a bank has to keep in approved securities. The purpose ofCRR and SLR is to keep a bank liquid at any point of time. When banks have to keep low CRR orSLR, it increases the money available for credit in the system. This eases the pressure on interest rates
    • and interest rates move down. Also when money is available and that too at lower interest rates, it isgiven on credit to the industrial sector that pushes the economic growth) Inflation Rate: Typically a higher inflation rate means higher interest rates. The interest ratesprevailing in an economy at any point of time are nominal interest rates, i.e., real interest rates plus apremium for expected inflation. Due to inflation, there is a decrease in purchasing power of everyrupee earned on account of interest in the future; therefore the interest rates must include a premiumfor expected inflation. In the long run, other things being equal, interest rates rise one for one with risein inflation. Yield CurveThe relationship between time and yield on securities is called the Yield Curve. The relationshiprepresents the time value of money - showing that people would demand a positive rate of return onthe money they are willing to part today for a payback into the future.A yield curve can be positive, neutral or flat.• A positive yield curve, which is most natural, is when the slope of the curve is positive, i.e. theyield at the longer end is higher than that at the shorter end of the time axis. This is as a result ofpeople demanding higher compensation for parting their money for a longer time into the future.• A neutral yield curve is that which has a zero slope, i.e. is flat across time. This occurs whenpeople are willing to accept more or less the same returns across maturities.• The negative yield curve (also called an inverted yield curve) is one of which the slope isnegative, i.e. the long-term yield is lower than the short-term yield. It is not often that this happens andhas important economic ramifications when it does. It generally represents an impending downturn inthe economy, where people are anticipating lower interest rates in the future.
    • Yield to Maturity (YTM)Simply put the annualised return an investor would get by holding a fixed income instrument untilmaturity. It is the composite rate of return of all payouts and coupon.What is Average Maturity Period?It is a weighted average of the maturities of all the instruments in a portfolio.What are LIBOR and MIBOR?LIBOR: Stands for London Inter Bank Offered rate. This is a very popular benchmark and is issuedfor US Dollar, GB Pound, Euro, Swiss Franc, Canadian Dollar and the Japanese Yen. The BritishBankers Association (BBA) asks 16 banks to contribute the LIBOR for each maturity and for eachcurrency. The BBA weeds out the best four and the worst four, calculates the average of the remainingeight and the value is published as LIBOR.MIBOR: Stands for Mumbai Inter Bank Offered Rate and is closely modeled on the LIBOR.Currently there are two calculating agents for the benchmark - Reuters and the National StockExchange (NSE). The NSE MIBOR benchmark is the more popular of the two and is based on ratespolled by NSE from a representative panel of 31 banks/institutions/primary dealers. Credit RatingsCredit Rating is an exercise conducted by a rating organisation to evaluate the credit worthiness of theissuer with respect to the instrument being issued or a general ability to pay back debt over thespecified period of time. The rating is given as an alphanumeric code that represents a graded structureor creditworthiness. Typically the highest credit rating is that of AAA and the lowest being D (fordefault). Within the same alphabet class, the rating agency might have different grades like A, AA andAAA and within the same grade AA+, AA- where the "+" denotes better than AA and "-" indicates theopposite. For short-term instruments of less than a year maturity, the rating symbol would be typically"P" (varies depending on the rating agency).In India, currently we have four rating agencies -• CRISIL• ICRA• CARE• FitchWhat is the "SO" in a rating?Sometimes, debt instruments are so structured that in case the issuer is unable to meet repaymentobligations, another entity steps in to fulfill these obligations. A bond backed by the guarantee of theGovernment of India may be rated AAA (SO) with the SO standing for structured obligation.
    • Forex MarketsHow is a currency valued?The floating exchange rate system is a confluence of various demand and supply factors prevalent inan economy like – Current account balance: The trade balance is the difference between the value of exports andimports. If India is exporting more than it is importing, it would have a positive trade balance withUSA, leading to a higher demand for the home currency. As a result the demand will translate intoappreciation of the currency and vice versa. Inflation rate: Theoretically, the rate of change in exchange rate is equal to the difference ininflation rates prevailing in the 2 countries. So, whenever, inflation in one country increases relative tothe other country, its currency falls down. Interest rates: The funds will flow to that economy where the interest rates are higher resulting inmore demand for that currency Speculation: Another important factor is the speculative and arbitrage activities of big players inthe forex market which determines the direction of a currency. In the event of global turmoil, investorsflock towards perceived safe haven currencies like US dollar resulting in a demand for that currency.What are the implications of currency fluctuations on debt markets?Depreciation of a currency affects an economy in two ways, which are in a way counter to each other.On the one hand, it makes the exports of a country more competitive, thereby leading to an increase inexports. On the other hand, it decreases the value of a currency relative to other currencies, and henceimports like oil become dearer resulting in an increase of deficit.What does one mean by a currency being over valued? What is Real Effective Exchange Rate(REER)?When RBI says that the rupee is overvalued, they mean that it has been appreciating against othermajor currencies due to their weakening against dollar, which might impact the competitiveness ofIndias exports.REER is the change in the external value of the currency in relation to its main trading partners. It isRupees value on a trade-weighted basis. It takes into account the Rupees value not only in terms ofdollar but also Euro, Yen and Pound Sterling.The exchange rates versus other major currencies are average weighted by the value of Indias tradewith the respective countries and are then converted into a single index using a base period which iscalled the nominal effective exchange rate. But the relative competitiveness of Indian goods increaseseven when the nominal effective exchange rate remains unchanged when the rate of price increases ofthe trading partner surpasses that of Indias. Taking this into account, prices are adjusted for thenominal effective exchange rate and this rate is called the "Real Effective Exchange Rate."
    • EQUITY FUNDSWhat are equity assets?Corporate can raise money in two ways; by either borrowing (debt instruments) or issuing stocks(equity instruments) that represent ownership and a share of residual profits. The equity instrumentsare in turn typically of two types - common stock and preferred stocks.Common stock (or a share)This represents an ownership position and provides voting rights.Preferred stockIt is a "hybrid" instrument since it has features of both common stock and bonds. Preferred-stockholders get paid dividends which are stated in either percentage-of-par (the value at which the stock isissued) or rupee terms. If the preferred stock had a Rs.100 par value, then a Rs.6 preferred stock wouldmean that a Rs. 6 per share per annum in dividends will be paid out. This fixed dividend gives a bond-like characteristic to the preferred stock.How does an investor in equities make money?Investors get returns on their investments in two ways - dividend and capital gains. The formerdepends on earning levels of the particular company and the decision of its management. The latterarises happens when the market price of the shares rises above the level at which the investment wasmade.For instance, if you invested Rs 10000 by buying 100 shares of a company at a price of Rs.50 and soldall the 100 shares later at a price of Rs.100, you would have made a capital gain of Rs.5000. Sale value of Shares (Rs.100 x 100) Rs.10,000 Value of original investment (Rs.50 x 100) Rs. 5,000 Capital gain Rs. Rs.5,000Why do stock prices move up and down?The market price of a particular share is dependent on the demand/supply for that particular scrip. Ifthe players in the market feel that a particular company has a track record of good performance or hasthe potential to do well in the future, the demand for the shares of the company increases and playersare willing to pay higher prices to buy the share. And since the number of shares issued by thecompany is constant at a given point in time, any increase in demand would only increase the marketprice.Fluctuations in a stocks price occur partly because companies make or lose money. But that is not theonly reason. There are many other factors not directly related to the company or its sector. Interestrates, for instance. When interest rates on deposits or bonds are high, stock prices generally go down.In such a situation, investors can make a decent amount of money by keeping their money in banks orin bonds.
    • Money supply may also affect stock prices. If there is more money floating around, some of it may flow into stocks, pushing up their prices. Other factors that cause price fluctuations are the time of year and public sentiments. Some stocks are seasonal, i.e. cyclical stocks; they do well only during certain parts of the year and worse during other parts. Publicity also affects stock prices. If a newspaper story reports that Xee Television has bought a stake in Moon Television, odds are that the price of Xees stock will rise if the market thinks its a good decision. Otherwise it will fall. The price of Moon Television stocks may also go up because investors may feel that it is now in better hands. Thus, many factors affect the price of a stock. What are main approaches used for analysing stocks and forecasting future movements? The behaviour of the price movement of a stock is said to predict its future movement. One such approach is called technical analysis and is based on the historical movements of the individual stocks as well as the indices. Their belief is that by plotting the price movements over time, they can discern certain patterns, which will help them to predict the future price movements of the stocks. On the other hand we have "fundamental analysis", where the forecasting is done on the basis of economic, industry and company data. Technical analysis is used more as a supplement to fundamental analysis rather than in isolation. Equity markets These are markets for financial assets that have long or indefinite maturity i.e., stocks. Typically such markets have two segments - primary and secondary markets. New issues are made in the primary market and outstanding issues are traded in the secondary market (i.e., the various stock exchanges) There are three ways a company can raise capital in the primary market –1. Public Issue: Sale of fresh securities to the public2. Rights Issue: This is a method of raising capital existing shareholders by offering additional securities to them on a pre-emptive basis.3. Private Placement: Issuers make direct sales to investor groups i.e., there is no public issue. Bonus Issues:
    • Instead of cash dividends, investors receive dividends in the form of a stock. The investor receivesmore shares when a bonus issue is announced.For example, when there is a bonus issue in the ratio of 1:1, the number of shares owned by aninvestor would double in number. However, the market price of the share would decrease as well attimes the decrease might not be proportionate to the extent of bonus because market players mightpush the price up if they view the bonus issue as a positive development.Some companies might announce bonus issues to bring the market price of its share to a more popularrange and also promote active trading by increasing the number of outstanding shares.Stock SplitsWhenever a stock split occurs, the company ends up with more outstanding shares, which will notonly have a lower market price but also lower par value. Stock splits are prompted when the companythinks its stock price has risen to a level that is out of the "popular trading range".For example, X Corporation has 1 million outstanding shares. The par value is Rs.10 and the currentmarket price is Rs.1000 per share. If the management feels this price is resulting in a decrease intrading volumes, they can declare a 1-for-1 split. By doing this, there will be 2 million outstandingshares with a par value of Rs.5 and a theoretical market price of Rs.500 per share. Sometimes whenthe market price is very low, the company might announce a "reverse split" which has the oppositeeffect of the normal stock split.In the case of splits, there is no change in the reserves and surplus of the company unlike the bonusissue.
    • ADRs and GDRsAmerican Depositary Receipt (ADR)A security issued by a company outside the U.S. which physically remains in the country of issue,usually in the custody of a bank, but is traded on U.S. stock exchanges. ADRs are issued to offerinvestment routes that avoid the expensive and cumbersome laws that apply sometimes to non-citizensbuying shares on local exchanges. The first ADR was issued in 1927. ADRs are listed on the NYSE,AMEX, or NASDAQ.Global Depository Receipt (GDR)Similar to the ADR described above, except the GDR is usually listed on exchanges outside the U.S.,such as Luxembourg or London. Dividends are usually paid in U.S. dollars. The first GDR was issuedin 1990.They are shares without voting rights. The ratio of one depository receipt to the number of shares isfixed per scrip but the quoted prices may not have strict correlation with the ratio. Any foreigner maypurchase these securities whereas shares in India can be purchased on Indian Stock Exchanges only byNRIs or PIOs or FIIs. The purchaser has a theoretical right to exchange the receipt without votingrights for the shares with voting rights (RBI permission required) but in practice, no one appears to beinterested in exercising this right. Margin tradingSecurities can be paid for in cash or a mix of cash and some borrowed funds. Buying with borrowedfunds permits the investors to buy a security at a good price at a good time. This act of borrowingmoney from a bank or a broker to execute a securities transaction is referred to as using "margin". Asof now in India, only brokers are allowed to provide the margins. Traders can put up part of thepayment. Brokers borrow the remaining funds from a moneylender with whom they would lodge theshares as collateral for the loan. The safety of this mechanism rests on the risk managementcapabilities of both the stockbroker and the lender.However, recently SEBI has proposed to RBI that banks could lend to exchanges on margin tradingand the exchanges could provide assistance to brokers. When this happens, the volumes shouldincrease in the markets making them more vibrant.
    • Derivatives A derivative is an instrument whose value is derived from the value of one or more underlying security, which can be commodities, precious metals, currency, bonds, stocks, stocks indices, etc. Four most common examples of derivative instruments are Forwards, Futures, Options and Swaps. What are the derivative products that are currently allowed in India? The index futures were introduced in June 2000. One year later, index options and stock options were introduced as SEBI banned the age-old badla system (which was a combination of both forward and margin trading). What are index futures? In a forward contract, two parties irrevocably agree to settle a trade at a future date, for a stated price and quantity. No money changes hands at the time the trade is agreed upon. Currently in India, index futures are allowed. These are nothing but future contracts with the underlying security being the cash market index. Index futures of different maturities would trade simultaneously on the exchanges. For instance, BSE may introduce three contracts on BSE sensitive index for one, two and three month’s maturities. These contracts of different maturities may be called near month (one month), middle month (two months) and far month (three months) contracts. The month in which a contract will expiry is called the contract month. For example, contract month of "Nov. 2001 contract" will be November 2001. All these contracts will expire on a specific day of the month (expiry day for the contract) say on last Wednesday or Thursday or any other day of the month; this would be defined in the contract specification before introduction of trading. What are Options? Options give a buyer the right to buy a scrip and the seller the right to sell a scrip at a pre-determined price on a particular date. Unlike futures contract, there is no obligation only a "right" There are two types of Options:1) Call Option: Here, the buyer decides to buy scrip at a particular price on a particular date. For e.g. the buyer takes a call Option on RIL @Rs.150 after 3 months. For this, he pays a premium, which is determined by the demand-supply equation. For e.g., if a particular stock is in favour with investors, there would be more people willing to buy the stock at a future date, resulting in a higher premium. In this example, let us assume the premium is Rs.10.2) Put Option: This is used to manage downside risk. A seller today agrees to sell TISCO @Rs.130 after 3 months and pays the required premium. If the price of TISCO is in excess of Rs.130, he decides not to sell and loses the premium (which is the profit of the Option Writer). However, if the price is below Rs.130, he "calls" his right and cushions his loss.
    • The Option Buyer has the right to exercise his choice of buying or selling in the Call and Put Optionrespectively. The Option Writer or Seller has to meet his commitment based on the choice exercisedby the Option Buyer.Options have finite maturities. The expiry date of the Option is the last day (which is pre-determined)when the owner can exercise his Option.What are the main differences between options and futures? With futures, both parties are obligated to perform. With options only the seller (writer) isobligated to perform. With options, the buyer pays the seller (writer) a premium. With futures, either party pays nopremium. With futures, the holder of the contract is exposed to the entire spectrum of downside risk andhas the potential for all the upside return. With options, the buyer limits the downside risk to theoption premium but retains the upside potential. The parties to a futures contract must perform at the settlement date. They are not obligated toperform before that date. The buyer of an options contract can exercise any time prior to the expirationdate.