Bajaj auto Result Updated

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Bajaj auto Result Updated

  1. 1. 1QFY2012 Result Update | Automobile July 14, 2011 Bajaj Auto ACCUMULATE CMP `1,431 Performance Highlights Target Price `1,512 Y/E March (` cr) 1QFY12 1QFY11 % chg (yoy) Angel est. % diff Investment Period 12 Months Net sales 4,777 3,890 22.8 4,913 (2.8) Stock Info EBITDA 911 777 17.2 972 (6.3) Sector Automobile EBITDA margin (%) 19.1 20.0 (91)bp 19.8 (71)bp Market Cap (Rs cr) 41,406 Reported PAT 711 590 20.5 734 (3.1) Beta 0.7 Source: Company, Angel Research 52 Week High / Low 1,665/1,190 Bajaj Auto (BAL) reported marginally lower-than-expected results as the Avg. Daily Volume 67,322 company’s performance during 1QFY2012 was negatively impacted by a 1.8% Face Value (Rs) 10 qoq drop in average net realisation despite price hikes and margin contraction of BSE Sensex 18,618 145bp due to raw-material cost pressures. We revise our FY2012 and FY2013 Nifty 5,600 earnings estimates downward by 4% and 8%, respectively, to factor in the Reuters Code BAJA.BO replacement of DEPB scheme by a duty drawback scheme post September 2011. Bloomberg Code BJAUT@IN We maintain our Accumulate recommendation on the stock. Net sales driven by volume growth; profitability impacted by cost pressures: BAL reported slightly lower-than-expected top-line growth of 22.8% yoy (13.7% Shareholding Pattern (%) qoq) to `4,777cr, driven by a 17.7% yoy (15.3% qoq) jump in volumes. Promoters 50.0 The variance was due to lower average net realisation, which declined by MF / Banks / Indian Fls 16.8 1.8% qoq despite average price hikes of ~2% during the quarter. Two-wheeler FII / NRIs / OCBs 16.3 sales grew by 16.3% yoy, with Pulsar and Discover contributing ~65% of sales. Indian Public / Others 16.9 EBITDA margin came in 71bp below our estimate at 19.1%, registering a fall of 91bp yoy (145bp qoq). This was a result of higher raw-material costs, which increased by 150bp yoy (210bp qoq). This was the first time in the last Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr eight quarters when the company’s margin came in below the 20% mark. As a Sensex (5.5) 3.8 39.7 result, net profit came in lower than expected at `711cr, registering growth of Bajaj Auto 2.4 17.1 471.0 20.5% yoy (5.2% qoq). Outlook and valuation: We factor in the replacement of DEPB scheme by a duty drawback scheme post September 2011, which will result in export incentives of 1% as compared to 9% under the DEPB scheme. Hence, we expect a ~175bp contraction in operating margins and a ~8% decline in earnings. At `1,431, the stock is trading at 14.2x FY2013E earnings. We maintain our Accumulate view on the stock with a target price of `1,512, valuing it at 15x FY2013E earnings. Key financials Y/E March (` cr) FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E Net sales 11,921 16,609 19,717 22,544 % chg 35.3 39.3 18.7 14.3 Adj. net profit 1,784 2,750 2,800 2,918 % chg 132.0 54.1 1.8 4.2 EBITDA margin (%) 20.2 19.7 18.6 17.6 Adj. EPS (`) 61.7 95.0 96.8 100.8 P/E (x) 24.3 15.1 14.8 14.2 P/BV (x) 14.1 8.4 6.9 5.6 RoE (%) 74.4 70.2 51.3 43.5 RoCE (%) 58.8 66.2 61.6 54.9 Yaresh Kothari EV/Sales (x) 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.4 022-3935 7800 Ext: 6844 EV/EBITDA (x) 16.1 11.1 9.6 8.5 yareshb.kothari@angelbroking.com Source: Company, Angel ResearchPlease refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
  2. 2. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Exhibit 1: Quarterly performance Y/E March (` cr) 1QFY12 1QFY11 % chg FY2011 FY2010 % chg Net sales (incl. other op. income) 4,777 3,890 22.8 16,609 11,921 39.3 Consumption of RM 3,290 2,643 24.5 11,230 7,651 46.8 (% of sales) 68.9 67.9 67.6 64.2 Staff costs 139 126 9.9 477 399 19.4 (% of sales) 2.9 3.2 2.9 3.4 Purchases of goods 176 125 40.9 568 420 35.4 (% of sales) 3.7 3.2 3.4 3.5 Other expenses 261 219 19.5 948 859 10.5 (% of sales) 5.5 5.6 5.7 7.2 Total expenditure 3,866 3,113 24.2 13,224 9,328 41.8 EBITDA 911 777 17.2 3,385 2,593 30.6 EBITDA margin (%) 19.1 20.0 20.4 21.7 Interest - 1 - 2 6 (71.7) Depreciation 31 32 (3.7) 123 136 (10.0) Other income 73 82 (10.5) 366 123 198.6 PBT (excl. extr. items) 953 826 15.4 3,626 2,573 41.0 Extr. income/(expense) - - - (725) 162 - PBT (incl. extr. items) 953 826 15.4 4,351 2,411 80.4 (% of sales) 19.9 21.2 26.2 20.2 Provision for taxation 242 236 2.5 1,011 708 42.9 (% of PBT) 25.4 28.6 23.2 29.3 Reported PAT 711 590 20.5 3,340 1,704 96.0 PATM (%) 14.9 15.2 20.1 14.3 Equity capital (cr) 289.4 289.4 289.4 144.7 EPS (`) 24.6 20.4 20.5 115.4 58.9 96.0 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: Volume performance Y/E March (units) 1QFY12 1QFY11 % chg FY2011 FY2010 % chg Total two-wheelers 963,051 828,418 16.3 3,387,070 2,510,582 34.9 Motorcycles 963,051 828,418 16.3 3,387,043 2,506,845 35.1 Scooters - - - 27 3,737 - Three-wheelers 129,764 99,918 29.9 436,884 340,936 28.1 Total volume 1,092,815 928,336 17.7 3,823,954 2,851,518 34.1 Exports (inc. above ) 427,364 323,899 31.9 1,203,718 890,006 35.2 Source: Company, Angel ResearchJuly 14, 2011 2
  3. 3. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Marginally lower-than-expected top-line performance: BAL reported slightly lower- than-expected top-line growth of 22.8% yoy (13.7% qoq) to `4,777cr, driven by a 17.7% yoy (15.3% qoq) jump in volumes. The variance in growth was due to lower average net realisation, which declined by 1.8% qoq despite average price hikes of ~2% during the quarter. On a yoy basis, however, average net realisations grew by 4.3% to `41,973. Motorcycle sales grew by 16.3% yoy with Pulsar and Discover contributing ~65% of sales, while three-wheelers registered strong 29.9% yoy growth. BAL’s exports continued to see strong traction and posted ~40% yoy revenue growth during to `1,688cr, owing to a 31.9% yoy increase in volumes. Other operating income also posted robust 24.6% yoy growth to `190cr, aiding the top-line performance. The company’s domestic motorcycle sales grew by 10% (underperforming the industry growth of 17.4%) in 1QFY2012, while domestic three-wheeler sales increased by 11.3% yoy (against 4.9% industry growth). As a result of the underperformance in the domestic motorcycle segment, the company’s market share declined by 80bp qoq to 25.3% in 1QFY2012 from 26.1% in 4QFY2011. On the exports front, demand remained robust as motorcycle and three-wheeler volumes recorded robust 29.7% and 41.4% yoy growth, respectively, in 1QFY2012.Exhibit 3: Sales growth driven by volume and realisation Exhibit 4: Domestic market share across categories (`cr) Net sales (LHS) Net sales growth (RHS) (%) (%) Three-wheelers Motorcycles Total Two-wheelers 5,000 90 41.2 40.6 40.9 42.1 45 38.5 38.6 38.3 4,500 80 37.5 36.4 65.4 40 4,000 84.1 70 57.9 35 28.6 3,500 60 26.8 27.5 27.0 25.6 26.1 30 25.3 3,000 22.6 49.7 50 25 19.5 2,500 40 20 2,000 27.2 23.1 30 15 21.1 21.2 20.8 21.8 1,500 22.7 19.5 19.9 19.5 17.7 1,000 1.6 20 10 15.5 14.0 10 500 5 0 0 0 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11 1QFY12 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Net sales excludes other Source: Company, SIAM, Angel Research 1QFY12operating income Operating performance hit by raw-material cost pressures: During 1QFY2012, EBITDA margin came in 71bp below our estimate at 19.1%, registering a fall of 91bp yoy (145bp qoq). This was the first time in the last eight quarters when the company’s margin came in below the 20% mark, primarily on account of a 150bp yoy (210bp qoq) increase in raw-material cost, which accounted for 71.7% of net sales during the quarter. However, lower staff cost and other expenditure coupled with price hikes undertaken to pass on input costs helped arrest further margin erosion. Overall, operating profit during the quarter witnessed 17.2% yoy (5.7% qoq) growth to `911cr.July 14, 2011 3
  4. 4. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result UpdateExhibit 5: EBITDA margin contracts on cost pressures Exhibit 6: Net profit up 20.5% yoy (%) EBITDA margin Raw material cost/sales (` cr) Net profit (LHS) Net profit margin (RHS) (%) 74.1 73.5 74.0 73.5 75.6 16.6 16.7 80 71.3 71.6 800 16.1 15.8 16.3 18 68.5 68.5 15.0 15.5 70 14.4 16 700 13.0 60 600 14 50 12 500 40 10 400 30 22.0 22.0 22.9 20.7 20.3 20.5 8 19.5 20.0 19.1 300 6 20 200 4 10 100 2 0 0 0 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11 1QFY12 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 3QFY11 4QFY11 1QFY12Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Net sales excludes other Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: Net sales excludes otheroperating income operating income Net profit up 20.5% yoy on higher other income: BAL reported marginally lower-than-expected net profit growth of 20.5% yoy (5.2% qoq) to `711cr vs. our estimate of `734cr, largely due to lower-than-expected operating performance. Further, the bottom-line performance was aided by lower-than-expected tax outgo.July 14, 2011 4
  5. 5. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Investment arguments Focus on Discover and Pulsar to improve market share: BAL continues to witness strong demand in the two-wheeler segment from its strong dual offering of Discover and Pulsar. The successful launch of Discover 100cc and 125cc bike has helped BAL maintain its market share of ~25% in the domestic motorcycle market. Further, the launch of the new Pulsar is expected to help BAL retain its strong volume momentum. The company is positioning itself in- line with its strategy of ‘value and price products, wherein it proposes to tap the higher-value bike segments, which have a high-growth potential and fetch better realisations. BAL has also launched new products in the high-margin 125cc+ segment. Three-wheeler registering healthy growth: BAL has a strong presence in the three-wheeler market, with an overall market share (including exports) of ~61% in June 2011. The company tops the passenger auto-rickshaw segment (65.7% market share), which accounts for ~87% of the three-wheeler market. The three-wheeler segment fetches higher margins than the company’s two-wheeler business. Although competition in the domestic three-wheeler space is intense, strong export volume growth has helped BAL post higher volumes. As a result, we expect the company’s three-wheeler volumes to grow by 12–13% over FY2011–13E. High growth potential in export volumes: BAL registered strong exports CAGR of ~35% during FY2006–11, aided by a ~40% CAGR in two-wheeler exports and a ~25% CAGR in three-wheeler exports. Going ahead, we estimate BAL to register a ~20% CAGR over FY2011–13E, driven by the strong demand outlook from the exports market. BAL has hedged 90–93% of its FY2012 exports at a USD–INR rate of `47. Hence, any sharp appreciation of the INR in FY2012 will not have a significant impact on the company’s margins. Outlook and valuation We factor in the replacement of DEPB scheme by a duty drawback scheme post September 2011, which will result in export incentives of 1% as compared to 9% under the DEPB scheme. Hence, we expect a ~175bp contraction in operating margins and a ~8% decline in earnings. At `1,431, the stock is trading at 14.2x FY2013E earnings. We maintain our Accumulate recommendation on the stock with a target price of `1,512, valuing it at 15x FY2013E earnings. Exhibit 7: Change in estimates Y/E March Earlier estimates Revised estimates % chg FY2012E FY2013E FY2012E FY2013E FY2012E FY2013E Net sales (` cr) 19,654 22,380 19,717 22,544 0.3 0.7 EBITDA margin (%) 19.2 19.3 18.6 17.6 (58)bp (175)bp EPS (`) 100.3 109.3 96.8 100.8 (3.5) (7.8) Source: Angel Research; Note: Net sales includes other operating income Key risks: Any increase in exports incentives from the current levels of 1% under the duty drawback scheme post September 2011 poses an upside risk to our target price. Further, pricing action by the company as indicated by the management to mitigate the impact of withdrawal of the DEPB scheme on margins will lead to revision in our earnings estimates and target price.July 14, 2011 5
  6. 6. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result UpdateExhibit 8: Key assumptionsY/E March FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013ETotal volume (units) 2,194,111 2,851,518 3,823,954 4,430,352 5,057,818Domestic 1,276,427 1,781,748 2,414,606 2,680,213 3,001,838Export 631,383 725,097 972,437 1,244,719 1,481,216Total motorcycle 1,907,810 2,506,845 3,387,043 3,924,932 4,483,054Scooters 11,772 3,737 27 - -Total two-wheelers 1,919,582 2,510,582 3,387,070 3,924,932 4,483,054Passenger domestic 125,276 164,493 201,246 211,308 228,213Goods domestic 10,197 11,534 4,357 5,011 5,411Exports 139,056 164,909 231,281 289,101 341,139Total three-wheelers 274,529 340,936 436,884 505,420 574,764Total change (%)Total volume (10.5) 30.0 34.1 15.9 14.2Domestic (23.0) 39.6 35.5 11.0 12.0Export 31.1 14.8 34.1 28.0 19.0Total motorcycle (10.8) 31.4 35.1 15.9 14.2Scooters (44.8) (68.3) - - -Total two-wheelers (11.2) 30.8 34.9 15.9 14.2Passenger domestic (1.7) 31.3 22.3 5.0 8.0Goods domestic (61.7) 13.1 (62.2) 15.0 8.0Exports 2.0 18.6 40.2 25.0 18.0Total three-wheelers (5.4) 24.2 28.1 15.7 13.7Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 9: Angel vs. consensus forecast Angel estimates Consensus Variation (%) FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E Net sales (` cr) 19,717 22,544 19,745 22,470 (0.1) 0.3 EPS (`) 96.8 100.8 101.0 112.0 (4.2) (10.0) Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research; Note: Net sales includes other operating incomeJuly 14, 2011 6
  7. 7. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result UpdateExhibit 10: One-year forward P/E band Exhibit 11: One-year forward P/E chart (`) Share Price (`) 6x 10x 14x 18x (x) Absolute P/E Five-yr average P/E 2,000 60 1,800 BAL 1,600 de-merged 50 1,400 40 1,200 1,000 30 800 600 20 400 10 200 0 0 Jul-06 Feb-07 Jul-11 Dec-06 May-04 Jun-07 Jan-06 Jan-11 Aug-05 Aug-10 Dec-10 Apr-04 Apr-09 Jun-05 Jun-10 Jan-06 Nov-07 Oct-08 Aug-07 Sep-04 Feb-05 Jul-06 Sep-09 Feb-10 Jul-11 Mar-08 Apr-09 May-08 Oct-03 Nov-04 Oct-08 Nov-09Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel ResearchExhibit 12: BAL – Premium/Discount to Sensex P/E Exhibit 13: Auto stocks vs. Sensex (%) Absolute premium Five-yr average premium TVS HH BAL Sensex 250 450 400 200 350 150 300 100 250 50 200 150 0 100 (50) 50 (100) 0 Dec-06 Jun-07 Feb-11 Sep-10 Jul-11 Jan-06 Jan-11 Aug-05 Aug-10 May-08 Apr-04 Apr-09 Nov-07 Oct-08 Feb-05 Feb-10 Sep-04 Jul-06 Sep-09 Jul-11 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jan-09 Jan-10 May-08 Aug-08 Aug-09 Mar-08 Mar-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Oct-08 Nov-09 Nov-10Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel ResearchExhibit 14: Automobile – Recommendation summaryCompany Reco. CMP Tgt. price Upside P/E (x) EV/EBITDA (x) RoE (%) FY11-13E EPS (`) (`) (%) FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E FY12E FY13E CAGR (%)Ashok Leyland Buy 50 60 20.5 11.1 10.0 6.5 5.7 14.5 14.9 2.7Bajaj Auto Accumulate 1,431 1,512 5.7 14.8 14.2 9.6 8.5 51.3 43.5 3.0Hero Honda Neutral 1,853 - - 17.8 15.9 9.7 8.1 62.4 59.5 7.8Maruti Suzuki Accumulate 1,176 1,314 11.7 13.2 11.6 7.3 5.7 16.7 16.0 13.0M&M Accumulate 713 804 12.8 15.3 13.8 9.9 8.3 25.1 23.9 9.2Tata Motors Neutral 1,064 - - 6.7 6.2 4.3 3.6 41.9 32.1 9.0TVS Motor Buy 51 62 22.0 11.6 9.8 5.9 4.9 20.7 21.0 13.1Source: Company, Angel ResearchJuly 14, 2011 7
  8. 8. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Profit & loss statement Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E Gross sales 9,050 12,118 16,932 20,303 23,526 Less: Excise duty 613 610 933 1,117 1,294 Net sales 8,437 11,509 15,998 19,187 22,232 Other operating income 373 412 611 530 311 Total operating income 8,810 11,921 16,609 19,717 22,544 % chg (2.3) 35.3 39.3 18.7 14.3 Total expenditure 7,829 9,515 13,329 16,040 18,586 Net raw materials 6,463 8,070 11,799 14,256 16,474 Other mfg. costs 192 214 251 288 367 Personnel 538 583 477 585 678 Other 635 648 802 911 1,067 EBITDA 982 2,406 3,280 3,677 3,957 % chg (15.7) 145.0 36.3 12.1 7.6 (% of Net Sales) 11.1 20.2 19.7 18.6 17.6 Depreciation & Amortisation 130 136 123 141 160 EBIT 852 2,269 3,157 3,536 3,797 % chg (14.0) 166.3 39.1 12.0 7.4 (% of Net Sales) 10.1 19.7 19.7 18.4 17.1 Interest & other Charges 21 6 2 1 1 Other Income 122 144 1,193 354 372 (% of PBT) 14.6 5.8 31.7 9.1 8.9 Recurring PBT 953 2,408 4,348 3,889 4,168 % chg (15.9) 152.6 80.6 (10.5) 7.2 Extraordinary (Expense)/Inc. (115) (82) 590 - - Tax 299 705 1,008 1,089 1,250 (% of PBT) 35.6 28.3 26.8 28.0 30.0 PAT (reported) 655 1,703 3,340 2,800 2,918 ADJ. PAT 769 1,784 2,750 2,800 2,918 % chg (4.9) 132.0 54.1 1.8 4.2 (% of Net Sales) 9.1 15.5 17.2 14.6 13.1 Basic EPS (`) 26.6 58.8 115.4 96.8 100.8 Adj. EPS (`) 26.6 61.7 95.0 96.8 100.8 % chg (4.9) 132.0 54.1 1.8 4.2July 14, 2011 8
  9. 9. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Balance sheet Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E SOURCES OF FUNDS Equity Share Capital 145 145 289 289 289 Preference Capital - - - - - Reserves & Surplus 1,725 2,784 4,621 5,726 7,120 Shareholders’ Funds 1,870 2,928 4,910 6,016 7,410 Total Loans 1,570 1,339 325 175 175 Deferred Tax Liability 4 2 30 30 30 Total Liabilities 3,444 4,269 5,265 6,220 7,616 APPLICATION OF FUNDS Gross Block 3,350 3,379 3,395 3,762 4,057 Less: Acc. Depreciation 1,808 1,900 1,912 2,054 2,214 Net Block 1,542 1,480 1,483 1,709 1,843 Capital Work-in-Progress 22 42 70 38 41 Goodwill - - - - - Investments 1,809 4,022 4,795 5,598 6,853 Current Assets 2,325 1,584 2,873 5,166 6,081 Cash 137 101 556 722 932 Loans & Advances 1,491 797 1,406 3,262 3,780 Other 697 686 910 1,183 1,370 Current liabilities 2,438 2,858 3,955 6,290 7,202 Net Current Assets (112) (1,274) (1,083) (1,124) (1,121) Mis. Exp. not written off 183 - - - - Total Assets 3,444 4,269 5,265 6,220 7,616 Note: Cash and bank balance includes term deposits with banksJuly 14, 2011 9
  10. 10. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Cash flow statement Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E Profit before tax 838 2,489 3,758 3,889 4,168 Depreciation 130 136 123 141 160 Change in Working Capital 145 833 198 (122) 233 Less: Others 402 12 1,086 389 431 Direct taxes paid 299 705 1,008 1,089 1,250 Cash flow from operations 413 2,742 1,985 2,431 2,880 (Inc.)/Dec. in Fixed Assets (353) (49) (44) (335) (298) (Inc.)/Dec. in Investments 49 (2,213) (774) (803) (1,255) (Inc.)/Dec. in loans and advances (141) (43) (626) 322 (195) Other income 122 144 1,193 354 372 Cash flow from investing (324) (2,161) (252) (461) (1,376) Issue of Equity - - 145 - - Inc./(Dec.) in loans 236 (231) (1,013) (150) - Dividend Paid (Incl. Tax) 339 372 1,345 1,354 1,524 Others (582) (753) (2,183) (3,009) (2,818) Cash flow from financing (8) (612) (1,707) (1,805) (1,294) Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 81 (30) 26 165 210 Opening cash balances 56 137 107 533 698 Closing cash balances 137 107 133 698 908July 14, 2011 10
  11. 11. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Key ratios Y/E March FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 FY2012E FY2013E Valuation ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) 53.8 24.3 15.1 14.8 14.2 P/CEPS 52.8 22.5 12.0 14.1 13.5 P/BV 22.1 14.1 8.4 6.9 5.6 Dividend yield (%) 0.8 1.4 2.8 2.8 3.1 EV/Sales 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.7 1.4 EV/EBITDA 41.8 16.1 11.1 9.6 8.5 EV / Total Assets 11.9 9.0 6.9 5.7 4.4 Per share data (`) EPS (Basic) 26.6 58.8 115.4 96.8 100.8 EPS (fully diluted) 26.6 61.7 95.0 96.8 100.8 Cash EPS 27.1 63.6 119.7 101.6 106.4 DPS 11.0 20.0 40.0 40.0 45.0 Book Value 64.6 101.2 169.7 207.9 256.1 DuPont analysis EBIT margin (%) 10.1 19.7 19.7 18.4 17.1 Tax retention ratio (x) 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 Asset turnover (x) 2.8 3.2 3.7 3.9 3.7 RoIC (Post-tax) 18.5 45.1 54.0 51.3 44.2 Cost of Debt (Post Tax) - - - - - Leverage (x) - - - - - Operating RoE (%) 18.5 45.1 54.0 51.3 44.2 Returns (%) RoCE (Pre-tax) 26.7 58.8 66.2 61.6 54.9 Angel RoIC (Pre-tax) 25.8 54.5 67.0 64.3 56.8 RoE 44.5 74.4 70.2 51.3 43.5 Turnover ratios (x) Asset Turnover (Gross Block) 2.8 3.5 4.9 5.5 5.8 Inventory / Sales (days) 15 12 11 12 12 Receivables (days) 14 9 7 9 9 Payables (days) 49 51 51 48 47 WC cycle (ex-cash) (days) (11) (25) (33) (32) (32) Solvency ratios (x) Net debt to equity (0.2) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) (1.0) Net debt to EBITDA (0.4) (1.2) (1.5) (1.7) (1.9) Interest Coverage (EBIT/ Interest) 41 379 1,868 4,038 4,336July 14, 2011 11
  12. 12. Bajaj Auto | 1QFY2012 Result Update Research Team Tel: 022 - 3935 7800 E-mail: research@angelbroking.com Website: www. angelbroking.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stocks price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a companys fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a companys fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Bajaj Auto 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock No 3. Angel and its Group companies Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)July 14, 2011 12

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