ULTRABROADBAND AS THE UBIQUITOUS ON-RAMP TO THE NEW
VIRTUALIZED NETWORK REALITY
(OR THE FUTURE AND HOW TO GET THERE)
Marcu...
THE INDUSTRY CHALLENGE
1€ / MACHINE

+
+
+
+

1

1 DEVICE / USER
100X LOWER COST/BIT

2

1 BIG CELL/NODE
10 SEPARATE DOMAI...
1

THE INDUSTRY OPPORTUNITY
1.5B Tablets
(2017)
2B Wearables
(2018)
2M Wifi APs
(2016)

4

6.5B M2M
Connections
(2017)

Cu...
2

THE WIRELINE ANSWER

CO-Home
Distance (km)

0.1

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

1
10

ADSL2+

20

Mb...
2

THE WIRELESS QUESTION (AND ANSWER)

1 0 - 1 0 0 x S C A L A B I L I T Y B U T AT W H AT C O S T ?
6
COPYRIGHT © 2013 AL...
THE WIRELESS ECONOMIC ANSWER

2

Average Usage (GB/Mo/User)
6
Conservative
Growth Model

4

2

0
2012

2013

2014

2015

2...
3

THE TENSION AND THE SYNERGY

WEB PLAYERS

NETWORK OPERATORS
• Assets: Ultrabroadband Access (Fixed + Mobile)

• Assets:...
3

THE COMMONALITY AND CONVERGENCE
NETWORK 1.0

NETWORK 2.0

WEB/IT DC
INTERNET

VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN1.0

INTERN...
4

VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER

E L A S T I C S C A L I N G W I T H O U T I N F I N I T E E F F O RT
10
COPYRIGHT © 2013 ...
4

VIRTUALIZATION OF VIRTUALLY EVERYTHING

S I M P L I F I E D , S E A M L E S S LY S C A L E D , S O F T WA R E N E T W O...
THE FUTURE NETWORK
Telecom Provider

Enterprise Provider

Cloud OS

Analyze
&
Program

NETWORK APPLICATIONS
Virtualize
Leg...
PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER
1-10€ / DEVICE
10 DEVICES / USER

100X MORE BYTES @
100X LOWER COST

1 SERVICE / DAY
1 CLOUD OSS

...
BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality
BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality
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BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality

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Alcatel-Lucent CTO Marcus Weldon outlined the ways in which telco service providers and increasingly webscale and large-scale enterprises are deploying ultrabroadband networks that embrace cloud technology (both SDN and Virtualization/NFV) to create a unified ‘Cloud IP’ network with an unprecedented level of control that can be simply accessed and programmed by applications to allow continuous and seamless optimization of the Enterprise and Consumer user experience, ubiquitously.

This keynote address was given at Broadband World Forum 2013 on October 22, 2013.

Published in: Technology, Business
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BBWF 2013 Keynote: Ultra-Broadband as the Ubiquitous On-Ramp to the new Virtualized Network Reality

  1. 1. ULTRABROADBAND AS THE UBIQUITOUS ON-RAMP TO THE NEW VIRTUALIZED NETWORK REALITY (OR THE FUTURE AND HOW TO GET THERE) Marcus Weldon October 22nd, 2013 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  2. 2. THE INDUSTRY CHALLENGE 1€ / MACHINE + + + + 1 1 DEVICE / USER 100X LOWER COST/BIT 2 1 BIG CELL/NODE 10 SEPARATE DOMAINS 3 + 100 CLOSED NETWORKS 1 SYSTEM / SERVICE 4 + 1B APPS DOWNLOADED 1 SERVICE / DECADE 5 100 OSS SYSTEMS C A N W E R I S E TO T H E C H A L L E N G E ? 3 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 10€ / USER DEVICE 10 DEVICES / USER 100X MORE BYTES 10 SMALL CELLS/NODES 1 CONVERGED NETWORK 1 OPEN NETWORK 10M SERVERS / SERVICE 1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED 1 SERVICE / DAY 1 CLOUD OSS
  3. 3. 1 THE INDUSTRY OPPORTUNITY 1.5B Tablets (2017) 2B Wearables (2018) 2M Wifi APs (2016) 4 6.5B M2M Connections (2017) Cumulative Units 6.5M Cloud Servers (2015) 2 Source data: Wearables: ABI Cloud Servers: IHS iSuppli Tablets: Gartner & IDC 0 M2M: Machina Research SDN: company data 0.5 B SDN Investment (2013) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Years after introduction PHENOMENAL GROWTH BUT IN CHALLENGING TIMES 4 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. 6 7
  4. 4. 2 THE WIRELINE ANSWER CO-Home Distance (km) 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 1 10 ADSL2+ 20 Mbps per subscriber 50 Bonded ADSL2+ 75 VSDL2 VDSL2 w/ Vectoring 100 300 Bonded VDSL2 w/ Vectoring 500 GPON/G.Fast 1000 Node-Home Distance (km) 0.1 0.5 0.5 1 0 0 0 x S C A L A B I L I T Y AT ~ 1 0 0 x L O W E R C O S T / B I T 5 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  5. 5. 2 THE WIRELESS QUESTION (AND ANSWER) 1 0 - 1 0 0 x S C A L A B I L I T Y B U T AT W H AT C O S T ? 6 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  6. 6. THE WIRELESS ECONOMIC ANSWER 2 Average Usage (GB/Mo/User) 6 Conservative Growth Model 4 2 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 LT E + S M A L L C E L L S ( + W I R E L I N E ) = 1 0 x L O W E R C O S T / B I T 7 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  7. 7. 3 THE TENSION AND THE SYNERGY WEB PLAYERS NETWORK OPERATORS • Assets: Ultrabroadband Access (Fixed + Mobile) • Assets: Massive global compute & storage facilities • New Services: Limited own (Walled Garden) • New Services: Limited own, but APIs to Web Services • E/R: Increasing Network spend with flat revenue • E/R: Increasing DC spend, but growing revenue • Innovation Speed: Years • Innovation Speed: Days IP TECHNOLOGIES IT TECHNOLOGIES COMMON TECHNOLOGIES, COMMON ARCHITECTURES, COMM-PETITION ? 8 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  8. 8. 3 THE COMMONALITY AND CONVERGENCE NETWORK 1.0 NETWORK 2.0 WEB/IT DC INTERNET VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN1.0 INTERNET WEB/IT DC TELCO DC VIRTUALIZED IT PLATFORMS + SDN2.0 DEDICATED PLATFORMS + NETWORKS TELCO IT DC VIRTUALIZED & FEDERATED IP NETWORKS MANY ACCESS NETWORKS DISTRIBUTED TELCO IT DC UBB IP ACCESS NETWORK C O N V E R G E N C E O F D C A N D WA N , I T A N D I P, M A N Y TO O N E , C E N T R A L I Z E D TO D I S T R I B U T E D 9 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  9. 9. 4 VIRTUALIZATION IS THE ANSWER E L A S T I C S C A L I N G W I T H O U T I N F I N I T E E F F O RT 10 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  10. 10. 4 VIRTUALIZATION OF VIRTUALLY EVERYTHING S I M P L I F I E D , S E A M L E S S LY S C A L E D , S O F T WA R E N E T W O R K S 11 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
  11. 11. THE FUTURE NETWORK Telecom Provider Enterprise Provider Cloud OS Analyze & Program NETWORK APPLICATIONS Virtualize Legacy OS Unify Webscale Provider NETWORK SERVICES CONTROL IP INFRASTRUCTURE S I N G U L A R S O F T WA R E - D E F I N E D S O F T WA R E N E T W O R K 12 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. Software Define Slice & Monetize 5
  12. 12. PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER 1-10€ / DEVICE 10 DEVICES / USER 100X MORE BYTES @ 100X LOWER COST 1 SERVICE / DAY 1 CLOUD OSS 10-100x SMALL CELLS/NODES 10M SERVERS / SERVICE 1 CONVERGED, OPEN NETWORK 1B CLOUD SERVICES DELIVERED T H E ‘ I ’ N E T W O R K : I N T E G R AT E D ( D C + WA N ) , I N T U I T I V E , I N T E L L I G E N T, I N T E R N AT I O N A L , A L L I P, I T - E N A B L E D N E T W O R K 13 COPYRIGHT © 2013 ALCATEL-LUCENT. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
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