Future of Open       Source            5TH Annual Leadership Keynote            Michael Skok
The PanelJim Whitehurst    Tom Erickson   Michael Skok      Mike Olson   Adrian KunzlePresident & CEO       CEO        Gen...
Welcome!           Industry           Investment           Impact           Direction                        3
Collaborators                4
Who we heard from.       (you!)                     5
Survey Response                  6
Survey Respondents     Vendors         Non-Vendors               %             %                                   7
Survey Respondent’s Titles                             8
Agenda         Industry          Impact          Investment          Direction                       9
Is a Turbulent Economy Good or Badfor Open Source?100%                          2009    2010   2011 80% 60% 40% 20% 0%    ...
What Makes OSS Attractive?     2008             2009               2010            2011  Lower costs      Lower costs     ...
Tipping Point – What’s Driving Adoption?                              Other                 Mobility                    Ve...
Top 5 Barriers to OSS Selection        Lack of internal technical skills   126   responses        Unfamiliarity with open ...
Agenda         Industry         Investment         Impact         Direction                      14
What Sectors will be Disrupted by OSSOver the Next 5 Years?        MobileMOST   Database         OS                       ...
How is The Use of OSS ComponentsImpacting the Manageability of Applications?           More        29%            Less    ...
Top Vendor Revenue Sources Today, and 2 years out…                      Other            Advertisements                   ...
What Licensing Strategy do you use?                                  (vendor question)Total Survey 45Responses 40         ...
Impact on OSS Vendors?              Mobile              Devices                             SaaS         App Stores       ...
Agenda         Industry         Investment         Impact         Direction                      20
Cool OSS Projects mentioned…                               21
Up & Coming OSS Companies    2009    2010      2011                             22
Magic Numbers        $466M                  $7.0M      $112M         24%                     22%       72%         Dollars...
OSS Deployed in Your Organization             96                    94                                                    ...
IN 5 YEARS: What % of SoftwarePurchases Will be OSS?50% or more on OSS                                 2016               ...
Wrap-up: The Open Source Path                                26
OSS is Mainstream…                            GrowingPublic Sector             Investments                Higher          ...
… But Not Yet Mature! Internal technical skills Unfamiliarity Vendor support                              28
Watch for Path Traps                        Innovation vs. bloat                        Maintenance costs               ...
CloudOpportunities!                 Mobile                 Big Data                            30
FutureOpensource.net                       31
A big thank you from North Bridge to…                                        32
Future of Open Source 2011 Survey, Open Source Business Conference
Future of Open Source 2011 Survey, Open Source Business Conference
Future of Open Source 2011 Survey, Open Source Business Conference
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Future of Open Source 2011 Survey, Open Source Business Conference

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Results from the 2011 Future of Open Source Survey, presented at the Open Source Business Conference in San Francisco, CA.

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Future of Open Source 2011 Survey, Open Source Business Conference

  1. 1. Future of Open Source 5TH Annual Leadership Keynote Michael Skok
  2. 2. The PanelJim Whitehurst Tom Erickson Michael Skok Mike Olson Adrian KunzlePresident & CEO CEO General Partner CEO Managing Director 2
  3. 3. Welcome! Industry Investment Impact Direction 3
  4. 4. Collaborators 4
  5. 5. Who we heard from. (you!) 5
  6. 6. Survey Response 6
  7. 7. Survey Respondents Vendors Non-Vendors % % 7
  8. 8. Survey Respondent’s Titles 8
  9. 9. Agenda Industry Impact Investment Direction 9
  10. 10. Is a Turbulent Economy Good or Badfor Open Source?100% 2009 2010 2011 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Good Bad 10
  11. 11. What Makes OSS Attractive? 2008 2009 2010 2011 Lower costs Lower costs Lower costs Freedom from VENDOR lock-in Freedom from Superior security Freedom fromVENDOR Lock-in VENDOR lock-in Lower costsAccess to code Freedom from Rapid pace of libraries VENDOR lock-in innovation Flexibility 11
  12. 12. Tipping Point – What’s Driving Adoption? Other Mobility Vendor 3% 7% Lock-in 18% Quality 13% Economic 15% Downturn 14%Private Sector Adoption 15% 15% Public Sector OSS Adoption Experience 12
  13. 13. Top 5 Barriers to OSS Selection Lack of internal technical skills 126 responses Unfamiliarity with open source solutions 122 Lack of formal commercial vendor support 98 Legal concerns about licensing 84 65 Does not conform to internal policies 13
  14. 14. Agenda Industry Investment Impact Direction 14
  15. 15. What Sectors will be Disrupted by OSSOver the Next 5 Years? MobileMOST Database OS Office Productivity ERP/CRM LEAST Business Intelligence 15
  16. 16. How is The Use of OSS ComponentsImpacting the Manageability of Applications? More 29% Less 24% None 47% 16
  17. 17. Top Vendor Revenue Sources Today, and 2 years out… Other Advertisements Custom 8% Development Ad-hoc 4% 26% Support 17% 9% 17% 18% +2 Years 25% Value-add 15% 20%Subscriptions 7% 20% Support 14% Subscriptions “Closed-source” Licensing 17
  18. 18. What Licensing Strategy do you use? (vendor question)Total Survey 45Responses 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 18
  19. 19. Impact on OSS Vendors? Mobile Devices SaaS App Stores Public Cloud Private Cloud 19
  20. 20. Agenda Industry Investment Impact Direction 20
  21. 21. Cool OSS Projects mentioned… 21
  22. 22. Up & Coming OSS Companies 2009 2010 2011 22
  23. 23. Magic Numbers $466M $7.0M $112M 24% 22% 72% Dollars Deals Ave Deal Seed, Invested Completed Size Series A2009 $375M 73 $5.7M $65M 2.7% 71 23
  24. 24. OSS Deployed in Your Organization 96 94 89 85 75Responses 67 62 42 0%- 25% 25% 75%-100% -50% 50%-75% In 5 Today Yrs Percentage of OSS is Deployed 24
  25. 25. IN 5 YEARS: What % of SoftwarePurchases Will be OSS?50% or more on OSS 2016 2015 2014 2013 25
  26. 26. Wrap-up: The Open Source Path 26
  27. 27. OSS is Mainstream… GrowingPublic Sector Investments Higher Private Sector Adoption Adoption Quality Avoid Vendor Lower Lock-In Costs 27
  28. 28. … But Not Yet Mature! Internal technical skills Unfamiliarity Vendor support 28
  29. 29. Watch for Path Traps  Innovation vs. bloat  Maintenance costs  Ops-Dev 29
  30. 30. CloudOpportunities! Mobile Big Data 30
  31. 31. FutureOpensource.net 31
  32. 32. A big thank you from North Bridge to… 32
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