ARGOMARINE Final Conference - MEDESS-4MS Project Presentation - Michela De Dominicis
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Like this? Share it with your network

Share

ARGOMARINE Final Conference - MEDESS-4MS Project Presentation - Michela De Dominicis

  • 709 views
Uploaded on

 

  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Be the first to comment
    Be the first to like this
No Downloads

Views

Total Views
709
On Slideshare
530
From Embeds
179
Number of Embeds
1

Actions

Shares
Downloads
0
Comments
0
Likes
0

Embeds 179

http://www.argomarine.eu 179

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
    No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. MEDESS-­‐4MS  Project  Mediterranean  Decision  Support  System   for  Marine  Safety     Michela  De  Dominicis1     and  the  MEDESS4MS  partners (1)  INGV,  Is8tuto  Nazionale  di  Geofisica  e  Vulcanologia     (Gruppo  Nazionale  di  Oceanografia  Opera8va,  Bologna)  Italy)  
  • 2. OVERVIEW  S  Project  outline  and  partnership  S  The  MEDESS4MS  system  and  service  scenarios  S  The  oil  spill  model  MEDSLIK-­‐II  and  its  applica8on  to   the  Costa  Concordia  emergency  case  
  • 3. PROJECT  OUTLINE  MEDESS4MS  is  dedicated  to  the  mari8me  risks  preven8on  and  strengthening  of   mari8me  safety  related  to  oil  spill  pollu8on  in  the  Mediterranean.    MEDESS-­‐4MS  will  deliver  an  integrated  opera8onal  mul8  model  oil  spill  predic8on   service  in  the  Mediterranean  using  the  well  established  oil  spill  modelling  systems,   the  na8onal  ocean  forecas8ng  systems  and  to  be  connected  to  the  exis8ng   monitoring  plaWorms  (CSN,  AIS).   h_p://www.medess4ms.eu   Project  start:  01/02/2012  -­‐  Project  end:  31/01/2015  
  • 4. PARTNERSHIP  Seven  of  the  project  partners  are  opera8ng  during  the  last  10  years  forecas8ng   centers,  while  six  partners  are  providing  individually  oil  spill  predic8ons  at  local   and  sub-­‐regional  level,  in  close  coopera8on  with  their  na8onal  opera8onal   response  agencies.   Ins8tu8onal  partners  and  users  are  involved  in  the  partnership.    
  • 5. MEDESS4MS  SYSTEM   Oceanographi Meteorological c analyses and analyses and forecasts forecast (ECMWF (GMES MCS and MOON) Oil spill satellite and MOON) monitoring system (SAR) and AIS OIL SPILL models for FORECASTING WEB INTERFACE interactive access to the multi-model service scenarios Institutional/operational users
  • 6. MEDESS4MS  Service  Scenarios    The  MEDESS-­‐4MS  services  will  be  delivered  through  3  service  scenarios  (SS),  in  order  to  assist  opera8onal  response  agencies.      SS1  –  Real  8me  –  Automa8c  simula8ons  using  satellite  images    This  scenario  concerns  the  opera8onal  monitoring  and  forecas8ng  of  the  Mediterranean  Sea,  in  order  to  connect  8mely  detected  oil  slicks  to  oil  spill  models,  and  provide  rapid  predic8ons  of  the  movement  of  spilled  oil.        The  scenario  will  be  designed  for  the  Users  with  opera8onal  responsibility,  like  Coast  Guards.  
  • 7. MEDESS4MS  Service  Scenarios        SS2  –  Delayed  mode  –  Offline  simula8ons  in  the  past.    This  scenario  is  mainly  aimed  at  off-­‐line  processing  of  past  observa8ons,  performing  a  large  number  of  simula8ons  randomly  varying  the  environmental  data  used  to  transport  the  oil.      In  the  framework  of  this  scenario  one  can  determine  most  likely  spill  paths  for  spills  on  a  monthly  and  seasonal  basis  and  simulate  probabili8es  of  oiling  the  water  surface  and  shorelines.    The  scenario  allows  the  risk  assessment  of  a  par8cular  site  to  oil  spills.    This  solu8on  is  intended  for  the  use  of  REMPEC  and  generic  users.  
  • 8. MEDESS4MS  Service  Scenarios      SS3  –  Management  of  emergency  –  Real  8me  simula8ons  done  by  the  users      (for  example  REMPEC  or  ITCG).    This  scenario  is  mainly  devoted  to  assist  the  decision  makers  involved  in  real  8me  management  of  emergency  opera8ons.      The  services  will  allow  the  users  to  launch,  by  the  User  Interface,  a  set  of  simula8on  using  different  oil  spill  models  and  meteo-­‐marine  forecast  data.    
  • 9. MEDESS4MS  hydrodynamic  forecas8ng  systems    
  • 10. MEDESS4MS  atmospheric  and  wave  forecas8ng  systems     Geographical  coverage  of  the  MEDESS4MS   atmospheric  forecas8ng  systems    Geographical  coverage  of  the  MEDESS4MS  wave  forecas8ng  systems    
  • 11. MEDESS4MS  OIL  SPILL  MODELS  
  • 12. The  MEDSLIK-­‐II  oil  spill  model      The  oil  spill  model  code  MEDSLIK-­‐II,  based  on  its  precursor  oil  spill  model  MEDSLIK    is  a  freely  available  community  model.   h_p://gnoo.bo.ingv.it/MEDSLIKII   The  development  of  the  MEDSLIK-­‐II  model  is  supported  by  a  formal   agreement  (Memorandum  of  Agreement  for  the  Opera8on  and  Con8nued   Development  of  MEDSLIK-­‐II)  signed  by:             The  code  is  now  freely  available  under  the  GNU  Free  Sofware  License  with   the  aim  of  a_rac8ng  a  cri8cal  mass  of  scien8sts  and  users:   •  to  contribute  to  the  development  of  the  code   •  to  use  the  model  in  very  different  condi8ons  and  check  its  performance
  • 13. Features  of  the  MEDSLIK-­‐II  model  q  MEDSLIK-­‐II  uses  a  lagrangian  representa8on  of  the  oil  slick.   q  MEDSLIK-­‐II  predicts  the  transport  and  diffusion  and  oil  transforma8on   processes  due  to  complex  physical  and  chemical  processes  occurring  in  the  sea-­‐ water  at  the  surface.    q  MEDSLIK-­‐II  includes  a  proper  representa8on  of  high  frequency  currents,  the  wave  induced  currents  and  wind  fields  in  the  advec8ve  components  of  the  lagrangian  trajectory  model.  q  MEDSLIK-­‐II  has  been  coupled  with  the  remote-­‐sensing  data.
  • 14. ADVECTION  –  DIFFUSION  PROCESSES   ) )) ] [ wt( d +, x x Ud (, (x tx U = ,( U (x + t t )) c + t sd EULERIAN  CURRENTS          WIND  CORRECTION          WAVE  CORRECTION        TURBULENCE  MEDSLIK-­‐II    in  Italy  can  use    the  currents  fields  provided  by:     SCRM Sicilian Channel WMED Western Mediterranean Regional Model Regional Model (CNR-IAMC) MFS Mediterranean Forecasting system (CNR-IAMC) (INGV) 1/32°x1/32°, ~3.5 1/32°x1/32°, ~3.5 Km 1/16°x1/16° ~ 6Km Km AFS Adriatic Forecasting Tyrrhenian Sea Relocatable model system Model (INGV) (INGV) 1/45°x1/45° ~ 2.2Km (ENEA) 1 - 3 Km 1/48°x1/48°, ~2 Km
  • 15. Italian  Coast  Guard-­‐  MEDSLIK-­‐II  Oil  Spill  forecas8ng  system   Meteo-­‐Oceanographic  data  download   The  ITCG  oil  spill  forecas8ng  system  downloads  every  day  the   Mediterranean  Forecas8ng  System  and  the  Adria8c  Forecas8ng  System   model  outputs  and  ECMWF  winds.     MEDSLIK-­‐II     with  Graphical  User  Interface    for  the  input  and  output  visualiza8on    
  • 16. Simula8ons  of  possible    oil  spill  scenarios   Date  of  accident:  13/01/2012.   The  boat  contained  2500  tons  of  oil  (API  17).   Every  day  (since  16/01/2012)  a  bulle8n  has  been   produced    with  the  possible  scenario  of  pollu8on,  the   following  week  the  produc8on  of  the  mul8-­‐model   model  bulle8n  started.   The  release  of  oil  has  been  assumed  constant  during   the  72  hours  of  simula8on.        
  • 17. GNOO  supported  the  Italian  Coast  Guard  in  the  produc8on  of   their  Bulle8n  
  • 18. Italian  mul8-­‐model  bullejn   (INGV,  CNR-­‐IAMC  e  ENEA)  
  • 19. Italian  mul8-­‐model  bullejn   (INGV,  CNR-­‐IAMC  e  ENEA)MFS  (INGV)   WMED  (CNR-­‐IAMC)   TYRR  (ENEA)   6.5  km   3.5  km   2km  
  • 20. Italian  mul8-­‐model  bullejn   (INGV,  CNR-­‐IAMC  e  ENEA)MFS  (INGV)   WMED  (CNR-­‐IAMC)   TYRR  (ENEA)   6.5  km   3.5  km   2km  
  • 21.  INGV  had  acces  to  the  data  of  the  drifers  deployed     in  the  framework  of  the  ARGOMARINE  project   (thanks  to  CIMA-­‐  University  of  the  Algarve,  CNR-­‐ IRST  and  Parco  Nazionale  Arcipelago  Toscano)     The  4  drifers  (SPHERE)  released  the  14  of   February  2012  have  been  simulated  using   the  MEDSLIK-­‐II  model  coupled  with  MFS,   TYRR,  WMED  and  the  relocatable  model.  
  • 22. Relocatable  model  Nes.ng     The  relocatable  model  produces  high  horizontal  resolu8on  currents   and  can  be  nested  in  any  area  of  the  Mediterranean  Sea.         3  km  model  implementa8on,     nested  in  the  Mediterranean  Forecas8ng  System  (MFS)   MFS 3km27/11/12
  • 23. Relocatable  model  Nes.ng     EXP1:  No  Islands,  Start  =  14  Feb     EXP2:  Giglio+Giannutri  Islands,  Start  =  14  Feb         MFS  EXP3:  Giglio+Giannutri  Islands,  Start  =  13  Feb     EXP4:  Giglio+Giannutri  Islands,    Start  =  12  Feb        
  • 24. CURRENTS   Drifer  1     MFS:  blue   TYRR:  yellow   WME:  green   Relocatable:  pink   Real  drfiters:  red   CURRENTS  +  STOKES  DRIFT      CURRENTS  +  STOKES  DRIFT  +  WIND    
  • 25. Final  remarks    S  MEDESS4MS  will  provide  an  mul8-­‐model  oil  spill  service  to  strengthen   the  European/na8onal/regional  response  chain  for  accidental  spills  and   deliberate  discharges  from  ships.    S  MEDESS4MS  does  not  aim  at  developing  new  elementary  service  chains   but  will  integrate  and  consolidate  the  exis8ng  ones,  based  on  the   experience  gained  through  the  interac8on  with  opera8onal  response   agencies,  REMPEC  and  EMSA  during  real  oil  spill  incidents  in  the  region   and  the  demonstra8ons  and  inter-­‐calibra8on  exercises  carried  out  in  the   framework  of  EC  projects.  S  The  oil  spill  forecast  accuracy  usually  increases  with  high  resolu8on   eulerian  currents.    S  MEDSLIK-­‐II  is  today  available  at  basin  scale  allowing  a  possible  support   to  oil  spill  emergencies  in  the  en8re  Mediterranean  basin.