SOPs FOR FLOOD FORECASTING/EARLY WARNINGSANDDESSIMINATIONSM.AKRAM ANJUMDirectorPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FOR...
Monsoon Season in Pakistan(15thJune to 15thOctober )• Pre Monsoon 15thJune to 15thJuly• Monsoon 16thJuly to 15thSept• Post...
StakeholdersProvincial Irrigation and Drainage Authority (PIDA)National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)Water And P...
WAPDA TELEMETRIC STATIONS NETWORK(Data Received through Meteoroburst System)
Specialized Early Warning Centres ofPAKISTANNational WeatherForecasting CentreIslamabad(NWFC)National DroughtMonitoring & ...
Processing at FFD LahoreMnaualComputer ModelsNational DataPMDWAPDAIrrigitaion DeptInternationalDataPCIWWMOProductFlood For...
FFD provides qualitative forecast minimum24-36 hours in advance of actualprecipitation indicating the intensity of rainbe...
According to SOP Data available on PMDWebsite for usershttp://www.pakmet.com.pk/ (Click Flood Update)•Qualitative Forecast...
CONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B A...
GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTANPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000BULLETIN No. A-...
GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTANPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000BULLETIN No. B-...
SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERSCAT – I3 - 5 LACCusecsFLOODS DUE TO THE INTENSITY OF THE SW& SE MONSOON...
BLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERTRED ALERTDepression at RajhastanTurning towards the catchmentArrives in the catchments ofEastern Riv...
DBLUE ALERT
DBLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERT
DBLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERTRED ALERT
Category – IFloods (3-5 Lac cusecs)
Category – IIFloods (5-7 Lac cusecs)
Category – IIIFloods(Above 7 Lac cusecs)
Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs Fax Machines ( More than 200 Agencies) Web service SMS Service Telephone S...
SMS MessengerDuty ForecastingOfficerData DisseminationFax to NationalAgenciesFax to ProvincialAuthoritiesFax to MediaDisas...
Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs Radio Pakistan and FM channels E-mails to concerned with disasters Coastal ...
Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency1 Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad2 Chairman NDMA, P.M. House.3 The Secre...
Region - PunjabS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.1 Chief Minister, House 99203131-33 99203224, 992032292 (GHQ) Engineers , Pak...
22 Director Hydrology Flood Drainage, LHR 5169430 516972723 Xen Design Railway HQ LHR 920176024 Xen Narowal 0542412374 054...
WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST TODISTRICT COORDINATION OFFICERS BY FAXS.No. DISTRICT CODE PHONE FAX1 BHAKKAR 04653 412688 413161...
Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.40 Governor House, Sindh, Karachi 021/9201201-5,9201211 021/92012...
Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.56 Governor House, Peshawar 091/9210651-6,9210702 091/9210751,921...
Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.70 Governor House, Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202170,73,74 081/9201...
Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.80 Relief Commissioner, AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822921537 92153681 Di...
Ffd malaysia2[1]
Ffd malaysia2[1]
Ffd malaysia2[1]
Ffd malaysia2[1]
Ffd malaysia2[1]
Ffd malaysia2[1]
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Ffd malaysia2[1]

  1. 1. SOPs FOR FLOOD FORECASTING/EARLY WARNINGSANDDESSIMINATIONSM.AKRAM ANJUMDirectorPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FORECASTING DIVISIONLAHORE-PAKISTAN
  2. 2. Monsoon Season in Pakistan(15thJune to 15thOctober )• Pre Monsoon 15thJune to 15thJuly• Monsoon 16thJuly to 15thSept• Post Monsoon 16thSept to 15thOctMonsoon Season
  3. 3. StakeholdersProvincial Irrigation and Drainage Authority (PIDA)National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA)Water And Power Development Authority (WAPDA)Provincial Relief OrganizationPakistan ArmyPakistan Commissioner for Indus Waters (PCIW)Emergency Relief Cell (ERC)Federal Flood Commission (FFC)
  4. 4. WAPDA TELEMETRIC STATIONS NETWORK(Data Received through Meteoroburst System)
  5. 5. Specialized Early Warning Centres ofPAKISTANNational WeatherForecasting CentreIslamabad(NWFC)National DroughtMonitoring & EarlyWarning CentreIslamabad(NDMC)National Seismic Monitoring &Tsunami Early Warning CentreKarachi(NTWC)Marine Meteorology &Tropical Cyclone EarlyWarning CentreKarachi(TCWC)Flood Forecasting DivisionLahore (FFD)Flood Forecasting &Warning CentreFor Lai Nullah BasinIslamabad
  6. 6. Processing at FFD LahoreMnaualComputer ModelsNational DataPMDWAPDAIrrigitaion DeptInternationalDataPCIWWMOProductFlood Forecast & WarningsDessimination
  7. 7. FFD provides qualitative forecast minimum24-36 hours in advance of actualprecipitation indicating the intensity of rainbearing system (Bulletin A & B daily basis)FFD provides quantitative forecast about12-hours in advance of actual peakdescribing range of peak and minimum &maximum volume of flood hydrograph(Significant flood forecast/ warning) whenit is requiredSOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERS
  8. 8. According to SOP Data available on PMDWebsite for usershttp://www.pakmet.com.pk/ (Click Flood Update)•Qualitative Forecast (Bulletin-A)•Quantitative Forecast (Bulletin-B)•Significant Flood Forecast (Warning)•Dams Flow•Hydrological Data /Hydrographs•Rainfall•Historical Peaks•Other Relevant Information
  9. 9. CONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTSCONTENTS OF BULLITEN A&B AS PER SOPsCONTENTS OFBULLITEN A&BAS PER SOPs
  10. 10. GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTANPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000BULLETIN No. A-0781. Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad.2. Governor (All Provinces).3. Chairman NDMA., Islamabad.4. Chief Minister (All Provinces).5. Secretary, Ministry of Defence, Rawalpindi.6. Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power, Islamabad.7. Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad.8. Chairman NHA, Islamabad.9. Chief Secretary (All Provinces & AJK).10. PDMA’S( D.G’S, All Provinces & AJK).11. Administrator & Chief Secretary, Gilgit-Baltistan12. Chairman, Indus River System Authority, Islamabad.13. Chairman, Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.14. Commissioner for Indus Waters, Lahore.15. Relief Commissioner, (All Provinces & A.J.K).16. The Secretary General, Pakistan Red CrescentSociety, Islamabad.17. Secretary, Irrigation Department, (All Provinces).18. D.G. Relief, (All Provinces).19. D.G. Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad.20. Chief Engineer, Mangla/Tarbela/Chashma.21. Chief Engineer, Irrigation (All Provinces).22. Chief Engineer, (All Barrages).23. Chief Engineer, C.D.O. (Muzaffarabad).24. All concerned D. C. Os.SUBJECT:- FLOOD SITUATION AND WEATHER FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HOURS:I. FLOOD SITUATION:River Indus at Kotri is in Exceptionally High Flood and falling. River Indus atGuddu & Sukkur is in High Flood. River Kabul at Nowshera & River Chenab atPunjnad are in Low Flood.II. HYDRO METEOROLOGICAL FEATURES:(a) Seasonal low lies over Balochistan with its trough extends Southeast Sindh.(b) Moist current from Bay of Bengal is penetrating into Punjab and Kashmir upto 3000feet.(c)III. FORECAST:Scattered thundershowers is expected over sub-mountainous areas of Punjab, Southeast Sindhand Kashmir.IV. RAINFALL RECORDED(MM) DURING PAST 24 HRS (UPTO 0800 PST):NIL.V. WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NEXT 48-HOURS:Scattered thundershowers is expected over Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan andKashmir.Web Site Address:-www.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update)Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 9920123899201244, 99205159,99205160(M. AKRAM ANJUM)Chief MeteorologistPh. Office : 042-99200208Fax: 042-99200209Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010Time:- 09: 45 hours (PST)
  11. 11. GOVERNMENT OF PAKISTANPAKISTAN METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENTFLOOD FORECASTING DIVISION46-JAIL ROAD LAHORE-54000BULLETIN No. B-078WEATHER/RAINFALL FORECAST FOR NEXT 24 HRS:RIVERS Upper Catchments(Above Rim Stations)Lower Catchments(Below Rim Stations)INDUS Mainly Dry Scattered thundershowers(Rawalpindi Division)JHELUM Scattered thundershowers Mainly Dry(Sargodha Division)CHENAB -do- Scattered thundershowers(Gujranwala Division)RAVI -do- Mainly Dry(Lahore Division)SUTLEJ -do- -do-(B. Pur Divisions)FLOOD FORECAST OF GAUGING STATIONS (IN THOUSANDS OF CUSECS)RIVERS Stations Design CapacityActual Observations at 0600 PST ComputerizedForecast for Next24 hrs. ( Inflow )Forecasted FloodLevel( Inflow )Danger Level(Very High Flood)Inflow OutflowINDUS Tarbela 1500 169.0 178.2 170-185 Below Low 650Kalabagh 950 219.9 214.9 No significant change -do- 650Chashma 950 179.1 177.7 -do- -do- 650Taunsa 1000 241.0 237.0 200-230 -do- 650Guddu 1200 565.6 550.8 565 F 510 High 700Sukkur 900 541.7 496.8 530-540 -do- 700Kotri 850 832.6 820.7 830 F 790 Exceptionally Highto Very High650Kabul Nowshera - 46.4 46.4 40-45 Below Low 200JHELUM Mangla 1060 42.8 43.0 35-45 -do- 225Rasul 850 32.5 31.2 No significant change -do- 225CHENAB Marala 1100 66.5 53.4 50-80 -do- 400Khanki 800 48.7 42.2 No significant change -do- 400Qadirabad 807 44.7 37.7 -do- -do- 400Trimmu 645 118.4 113.2 -do- -do- 450Punjnad 700 159.6 146.9 160-175 Low 450RAVI Jassar 275 4.1 4.1 No significant change Below Low 150Shahdara 250 8.2 8.2 -do- -do- 135Balloki 225 26.5 0.0 -do- -do- 135Sidhnai 150 26.7 13.7 -do- -do- 90SUTLEJ G.S.Wala -- 11.0(feet) (Gauge only) -do- -do- 25.3 (Feet)Sulemanki 325 35.9 22.9 -do- -do- 175Islam 300 18.4 15.9 18-25 -do- 175Isolated=20 to 30% of areaScattered= 30 to 50% of areaWidespread= 90 to 100% of areaR= RisingF= Fallingwww.pakmet.com.pk (Flood Update)Duty Officer 24 hrs. Phone: LHR 99200139, 9920123899201244, 9920515999205160Dated:- 31st Aug, 2010Time:- 09 :50 hours (PST)(M. AKRAM ANJUM)Chief MeteorologistPh. Office : 042-99200208Fax: 042-99200209DAMS POSITION (0600 PST)TARBELA Level:- 1550.00 FeetMax. Conservation Level: 1550.00 FeetMANGLA Level:- 1206.00 FeetMax Conservation Level: 1210.00 Feet
  12. 12. SOP FOR ISSUANCE OF FLOOD FORECAST FOR STAKEHOLDERSCAT – I3 - 5 LACCusecsFLOODS DUE TO THE INTENSITY OF THE SW& SE MONSOON CURRENTSCAT – II5 - 7 LACCusecsFLOODS DUE TO THE INDIRECT EFFECT OFMONSOON DEPRESSIONCAT – IIIABOVE 7LAC CusecsFLOODS DUE TO THE DIRECT EFFECT OFMONSOON DEPRESSION
  13. 13. BLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERTRED ALERTDepression at RajhastanTurning towards the catchmentArrives in the catchments ofEastern RiversSOPs Between PMD& Stakeholders for Mangla Dam
  14. 14. DBLUE ALERT
  15. 15. DBLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERT
  16. 16. DBLUE ALERTYELLOW ALERTRED ALERT
  17. 17. Category – IFloods (3-5 Lac cusecs)
  18. 18. Category – IIFloods (5-7 Lac cusecs)
  19. 19. Category – IIIFloods(Above 7 Lac cusecs)
  20. 20. Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs Fax Machines ( More than 200 Agencies) Web service SMS Service Telephone Service Electronic Media(i) Tickers & Beepers on TV(ii) Live & in Camera interviews(iii) Live briefing about Disaster on TV in a SpecialTransmission for disasters. Print Media( daily Press Conference is conducted in the evening during Flooddisaster and others)
  21. 21. SMS MessengerDuty ForecastingOfficerData DisseminationFax to NationalAgenciesFax to ProvincialAuthoritiesFax to MediaDisaster Management AuthoritiesFederal & Provincial Relief AgenciesPrint and Electronic MediaInternet & E-mail realtime transmission
  22. 22. Dissemination of Flood Forecast as per SOPs Radio Pakistan and FM channels E-mails to concerned with disasters Coastal Radio (ASK)
  23. 23. Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency1 Federal Minister, Water & Power, Islamabad2 Chairman NDMA, P.M. House.3 The Secretary Ministry of Defence4 The Chairman/Chief Engineering Adviser,Federal Flood Commission, Islamabad.5 The Secretary, Ministry of Information, Islamabad.6 The Secretary, Ministry of Water & Power Islambad.7 The Sectretary, Planning Islamabad.8 Emergency Relief Cell, Cabinet Division, Islamabad.9 NPCC, WAPDA, Islamabad.10 D.G.Met. S., Islamabad11 Indus River System Authority, Islamabad.12 Radio Pakistan, Islamabad.13 PTV Director, Islamabad.Region-Federal (Islamabad)WEATHER / FLOOD FORECASTTO
  24. 24. Region - PunjabS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.1 Chief Minister, House 99203131-33 99203224, 992032292 (GHQ) Engineers , Pakistan Army, Rawalpindi. 051/56133405,56133527 051/56133024,561317683 Chief Secretary, Punjab, Lahore. Off:99212121/Res:9200886 373244894 Secretary Irrigation, Punjab, Lahore. 99212117-18 99212116- 373244895 Army Flood Relief Centre, Rawalpindi 051/561335276 Secretary, Comm. & Works. Deptt., Lahore. 99210454 99210454, 992104537 Director General (Relief), 99210782, 99204406 992044058 Relief Commissioner Flood Punjab 99210780-81 992044399 Administrator LMC Lahore 99211022, 99211029 99211050-9921159010 Commissioner, Lahore. 99211003-04, 99214332 9921433411 Pakistan Commissioner for Indus Water, Lahore 99212789-790 99212783,4,512 DCO, Lahore. 99210910 9921100613 D.C.Office, Kasur. 0499250162,152 925016214 D.C.Gujranwala. 0431/9200022-23 0431/920002115 H.Q. Engineers 4-Corps, Lahore Cantt. 366992360 366992370-6016 H.Q.Engineer CORPS, Gujranwala. 0431/269/2232 0431/269/331017 Member, WAPDA (Water), Lahore. 99202226 9920248518 Chief Eng. Pak. Railway Lahore 99201699/9201660 9920176019 Chief Eng. D&F (Ferozepur Road) Lahore 35862671 35862081 (Res) 3542153720 Chief Eng. Irrigation Deptt. LHR 99212085-86 9921208421 Director Flood Punjab, LHR 5862081
  25. 25. 22 Director Hydrology Flood Drainage, LHR 5169430 516972723 Xen Design Railway HQ LHR 920176024 Xen Narowal 0542412374 0542 / 41168425 Xen Marala 0523-502102 0523/ 50212026 Divisional Sup. Railway LHR 920196127 Supt. Eng. Upper Chenab Canal, LHR 6826804 686719828 Supt. Eng. Dipalpur Canal Circle, LHR 682551029 Supt. Eng. Drainage Circle, LHR 6823627 686420530 Supt. Eng. Link Canal Bank Dharampura , LHR 686420531 Director Press & Information LHR 9201371 920137432 Xen Pasroor 052-9250088 052-925008933 Consultant Irrigation & Power Deptt. 9212134 9211554, 921211634 Flood Warning Centre, Lahore. 7572091 7572091-9335 WASA, Lahore. 5756739- 5712219 575296036 NESPAK, Lahore - 9923194037 W.R.M.D. WAPDA, Lahore. 99202483,99202598 9920403138 APP, Lahore. 9201566-67 920156339 PTV., Lahore. 9200617-19 9200620/920061240 PPI, Lahore. 7562226-27 756222541 Radio Pakistan, Lahore. 9200674 920068542 Daily Nawa-I-Waqt, Lahore (Mr. ShoaibudDin) 6367551 636758343 Daily DAWN, Lahore (Mr. Intikhab Hanif). 5758120-25 571187944 Daily Awaz ( Mr. Javed Farooqi) 6367480-84 636102645 Daily Jang ( Mr. Zahid Ali Khan) 6362316, 630976246 Daily Nation ( Mr. Latif Ather Rana) 6367551-4 6367583, 636700547 H.Q. 15 Div. Sialkot (only significant forecast) 052-571323148 AGRICULTURE DEPTT. 9211796
  26. 26. WEATHER / FLOOD FORECAST TODISTRICT COORDINATION OFFICERS BY FAXS.No. DISTRICT CODE PHONE FAX1 BHAKKAR 04653 412688 4131612 BHAWALNAGAR 0631 74547-48 717733 BHAWALPUR 0621 9250061-62 92500644 D.G.KHAN 0641 462119-462121 4632885 FAISALABAD 041 9200205-06 9200301-92002126 GUJRANWALA 0431 9200051-52 92000437 GUJRAT 0433 9260010 92600168 HAFIZABAD 0438 521784 5210759 JHANG 0471 625881 61300010 JHELUM 0541 623733 62383411 KASUR 0492 9250143 925016212 KHANEWAL 0692 52600 5396113 KHUSHAB 0454 720626-721421 72046914 LAHORE 042 9211003-04 920028615 LAYYAH 0694 43703-04 41370216 LODHRAN 06517 62710-61074 6246017 MANDI BAHAUDDIN 0546 504220 50410018 MULTAN 061 9200042 920004319 MUZAFFARGARH 0661 423699 42395920 NAROWAL 0542 9200027 920003221 OKARA 044 521925 52841122 PAKPATTAN 0443 74198 71035-7102323 R.Y.KHAN 0731 9230266-(9230277Res) 923026724 RAJANPUR 06516 689131 68849225 SAHIWAL 0441 62482 22105826 SARGODHA 0451 9230025-26 923002427 SHEIKHUPURA 04931 52236, 52018 5232328 SIALKOT 0432 269624, 268590 262751
  27. 27. Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.40 Governor House, Sindh, Karachi 021/9201201-5,9201211 021/9201222,920122641 Chief Minister,Karachi 021/9202051-9202044 021/920200042 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Guddu 07057/76926 071/9310181-8243 Chief Engineer Irrigation,Sakhar 07161/3912 071/9310181-8244 Chief Engineer Irrigation, Kotri 0221/877426 0221-87742645 Secretary Irrigation, Sindh, Karachi. 021/9211445-451 021/921144746 Relief Commissioner Sindh, Karachi 021/9203407 021/920263047 Add. Relief Commissioner Sindh, Hyderabad 022/9200573 022/9200569,920047948 5-CORPS, Karachi 021/5602360,5602362 021/560236049 Chief Secretary, Sindh 021/9212949-50 021/921294150 Pakistan State Oil021/9203792,9203870,90,9203801021/920376751 Geo TV, Karachi 021/111436111 021/3263693752 Met.HQ,Karachi 021/9261407 021/926140553 Local Government, katchi abadis,Karachi 021/9211537 021/9211537,921308054 Headquartors Corps Rescrve 5 Corps Karachi 021/34952525 021/3495254255 D.C.O. Baddin 0227-62362,61001 0227-61471Region - Sindh
  28. 28. Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.56 Governor House, Peshawar 091/9210651-6,9210702 091/9210751,921089957 Chief Minister, Peshawar 091/9210712,14.9211705 091/9210707,921040958 Chief Secretary, Peshawar. 091/9210666 091/9210447,921097059 Secretary Irrigation, Peshawar. 091/9210845-601303 091/9210874-921309960 Secretary TA Dept. Peshawar 091/9210071 091/921020161 Relief Commissioner , Peshawar 091/9210338 091/921097562 11 Corp Peshawar 091/2012010-2012362 091/2012011,201236063 Flood Warning Centre, Peshawar 091/9212114 091/921190764 UARS, Peshawar 091/9210184 091/9210223-921019065 Chief Engineer, Mangla 0541/639161 0541/63916266 Chief Engineer, Tarbela. 0995/660198 0995/66000367 Chief Engineer, (I & P) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212116 091/9212116-868 Chief Engineer, (Dev.) Irrigation, Peshawar 091/9212123 091/921211269 Civil Defence Office, Peshawar 091/263158 091/263159Region - Khyber Pakhtoonkhawa
  29. 29. Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.70 Governor House, Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202170,73,74 081/920178,920299271 Chief Minister Baluchistan, Quetta 081/9202061,9202281 081/920228072 G.C.Quetta 081-853032,4 081-85303273 Secretary Irrigation, Baluchistan, Quetta. 081/9201074 081/9202157,920174574 C.E,Irrigation (South) 081/9211605 081/921172175 C.E,Irrigation (North) 081/9211190-9211600 081/921160176 Deputy Relief Commissioner Balochistan, Quetta 081-9202778 081-920277877 12 corps, Quetta. 081-92092362 081/9209236078 Board of Revenue, Quetta 081-9201774 081/920177479 Relief Commissioner, Baluchistan 081/9201045 081/9201720Region - Baluchistan
  30. 30. Flood Forecast By Fax/PhoneS.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.80 Relief Commissioner, AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822921537 92153681 Director,C.D.O,AJK, Muzaffarabad 05822-920917 92091782 Secretary, Works & Communication 05822-92141 92192583 Chief Secretary 05822-921242 921982S.No. Agency Phone No. Fax No.84 Administrator c/o 05811/50200, 50212 05811/50201,50422Relief Commissioner/Chief SecretaryGilgit85 Deputy Chief Executive 05811-50210 05811-521593Region - Azad KashmirRegion - Gilgit Baltistan

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