India @miami 05.03.2012 (without comments)
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India @miami 05.03.2012 (without comments)

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Mr. Harpal Singh's presentation

Mr. Harpal Singh's presentation

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India @miami 05.03.2012 (without comments) India @miami 05.03.2012 (without comments) Presentation Transcript

  • INDIA A perspective on Growth Harpal Singh 8th March 2012 Miami
  • A TRANSFORMING ELEPHANT
  • A MICROCOSM OF THE WORLD …And OTHER S
  • BREATHTAKING DIVERSITY People Cuisine CultureReligion &Festivals
  • PREVAILING WINDS – WARM & INSPIRING TOTAL GDP (PPP, $ TRILLION) GDP PER CAPITA (PPP, $) CAGR 8.9% 4.46 Hope & 3,616 CAGR 7.4% 4.11 Positivity 3,419 Growth 3.76 3,134 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011 Innovation Aspirations Youth
  • PREVAILING WINDS – COLD & DISPARING Coalition Politics Parliamentary LethargyCorruption Health & Malnutrition Bureaucracy
  • A (potentially) BREWING STORM ? Human Rights - IgnoredAspirations - Unsustainable
  • THE ONSET OF GOOD WEATHER
  • INDIA Future 3 scenarios 1. Bolly-World 2. Atakta (Stuck) India 3. Pahale (First) India
  • SCENARIO 1 “BOLLYWORLD” INDIA CHARACTERIZED BY EXCLUSION Integration with the world BIRDS SCRAMBLING WOLVES PROWLING Exclusive Inclusive growth and growth and development development Isolation from the world - 10 -
  • SCENARIO 2 “ATAKTA BHARAT” INDIA STUCK Integration with the world Exclusive growth and development Inclusive growth BUFFALOES WALLOWING and development Isolation from the world - 11 -
  • SCENARIO 3 “PAHALE BHARAT” INDIA FIRST Integration FIREFLIES with the ARISING world Exclusive Inclusive growth and growth and development development Isolation for the world - 12 -
  • CHOICE IMPLICATIONS Integration with the world I IIExclusive growthand development Inclusive growth and IV III development Isolation from the world - 13 -
  • CHOICE IMPLICATIONS 2012Source: Oxford Economic Forecasting, and the National Council for Applied Economic Research (India) - 14 -
  • CHOICE IMPLICATIONS In the balance of poverty- 120 million citizensSource: Oxford Economic Forecasting, and the National Council for Applied Economic Research (India) - 15 -
  • THE BIG QUESTIONCAN (WILL) INDIA TRANSFORM 1.5 BILLION LIVES ?
  • TO MAKE IT HAPPEN, INDIA MUST…– Reform– Build Infrastructure– Educate its young population– Meet Health needs– Provide Livelihoods ENSURE SUSTAINABLE GROWTH !
  • INDIA Reasons to be POSITIVE - Inherent Resilience
  • RESILIENCE THROUGH ENTREPRENEURSHIPConfident, yet awareof Situational Reality… Flexible & ready to change
  • RESILIENCE THROUGH INNOVATION
  • RESILIENCE THROUGH CONSERVATION
  • RESILIENCE THROUGH VALUE MAXIMIZATION
  • RESILIENCE THROUGH INSTITUTIONSDemocracyLaw & OrderFree PressCivil Society
  • Hence, RESILIENT THROUGH CRISISIndia successfully weathered the Financial Crisis !Over the past decade, Returns for Investors inIndia - 400% - 500%LSE – 100%NASDAQ/ DJX – 10% - 20%
  • RESILIENT THROUGH STRONG FUNDAMENTALS GDP Composition Labour Force Services Agriculture • GDP/ Workforce = $9,100 34% 18% • 34% of services workforce Agriculture Services Industry driving 56% of the economy 52% 56% 26% • GDP/ Service Sector Industry Workforce = $26,800 14% TOTAL GDP (PPP, $ TRILLION) GDP PER CAPITA (PPP, $) CAGR 8.9% CAGR 7.4% 4.46 3,616 4.11 3,419 3.76 3,134 Declining Rate of Population growth, Rising per Capita Incomes FY2009 FY2010 FY2011
  • “ I have travelled across the length and breadth of India and I have not seen one person who is a beggar, who is a thief. Such wealth I have seen in this country, such high moral values, people of such caliber…. ” - Lord Macaulay Address to the British Parliament 2nd February, 1835
  • FUNDAMENTALS STRONG FOR LONG TERM INVESTMENTS & GROWTH FIREFLIES ARISING Integration with the world Inclusive growthExclusive growth and developmentand development Isolation for the world
  • INDIA GROWING……AND READY FOR THE WORLD !!