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A presentation we gave at University of Reading's Corporate Real Estate & Facilities Management conference on the future of work. We present our analysis of the a new situation in work by highlighting ...

A presentation we gave at University of Reading's Corporate Real Estate & Facilities Management conference on the future of work. We present our analysis of the a new situation in work by highlighting some changing trends - including the rise of low end and high end work resulting in a hollowing out of the middle and increasing polarisation in occupations and that history has shown that in times of uncertainty, start up behaviour increases - well over half of the forture 500 companies from 2009 were established in recession times. We then make the case for a start up nation infrastructure - want to know what it looks like, then watch the presentation. Would be great to know what you think...

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    00 fo w_reading_091210_final 00 fo w_reading_091210_final Presentation Transcript

    • FUTURE OF WORK READING | 10.12.09 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // FUTURE OF WORK DEBATE SO FAR... 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • CAPPUCCINO KNOWLEDGE WORKERS // DEBATE SO FAR 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • 100% RESOURCES FOCUSED ON 2% VALUE // DEBATE SO FAR 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • LOW SKILLS LOW WAGE RANDMG164-3.8 30 Advanced degree “occupational projections for the UK Real median hourly wage (2001 dollars) 25 tend to point towards a College degree continuing polarisation 20 in the occupational structure, with growth in many top and bottom Some degree 15 end occupational groups School graduate and a relative ‘hollowing Less than school graduate out’ of the overall 10 proportion of middle tier occupations” 5 Dickerson and Vignoles, 2007 0 1973 1983 1993 2001 Year // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • LOW SKILLS LOW WAGE HIGH END “high paying, high skill jobs £££ and low paid, low skilled work are both becoming more concentrated in certain localities” H O LLO WI NG O U T O F M I D D LE T I E R Local Futures, 2006 £ LOW END // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • SKILLS BASE WITHIN ECONOMY (U.S) RANDMG164-3.7 0.6 Nonroutine cognitive/interactive 0.4 Level relative to 1959 (1959 = 0) Nonroutine cognitive/analytic 0.2 0 Routine manual –0.2 Nonroutine manual –0.4 Routine cognitive –0.6 1959 1969 1979 1989 1998 Year SOURCE: Autor, Levy, and Murnane (2002) // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • RISE OF VOLUNTARY & INVOLUNTARY START UPS Involuntary entrepreneurship is now creating 10,000’s of small businesses and a huge market of contract and freelance labor. Many will take full-time jobs again once they become available, but many others will choose not to. The crisis may have turned our economy into small pieces, loosely joined, but it will be the collective action of millions of workers hungry for change that keeps it that way. Chris Anderson, Wired // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • JOB CREATION, ENTIRE ECONOMY AND FROM STARTUPS 5,000,000 3,750,000 Startups Job Creation 2,500,000 Net Job Creation 1,250,000 0 RECESSION RECESSION RECESSION RECESSION -1,250,000 -2,500,000 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source : Census Bureau, Business Dynamics Statistics, // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • SELF EMPLOYMENT ON THE RISE 0,15 0,14 New Zealand 0,13 Spain 0,12 Belgium 0,11 The Netherlands United Kingdom 0,10 0,09 Germany 0,08 0,07 0,06 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • START UP BEHAVIOUR “we’ll see the same pattern we always see intimes like these: While the big guys run scared and retreat to safety, the smaller players will think boldly, push frontiers, and chart our way out of this mess.” Daniel H. Pink, author of Free Agent Nation // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • THE ROLE OF SME’S “there are 4.7 99% million SMEs in the businesses in the UK UK, constituting 99.9 percent of all businesses. They employ 59 percent 59% of the private sector workforce and are private sector workforce responsible for 52 percent of business turnover” 52% Recent findings of a Government Advisory Committee led by Anne Glover business turnover // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • “Well-over half of the companies on the 2009 FORTUNE Fortune 500 list, and just under half of the 2008 500 Inc. list, began during a recession or bear market. stable We also find that the general period pattern of founding years 250 250 and decades can help tell a story about larger economic recession trends.” Ewing Marion Kauffman Foundation // A NEW SITUATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • 01 / DIVERSITY OF URBAN GRAIN & BUILDING TYPOLOGY 02 / GEOGRAPHICAL CONNECTIVITY BUILDING = Σ 03 / SOCIAL NETWORKS SCOPE & DIVERSITY RESILIENT PLACES 04 / BRIDGES OF TRUST 05 / DEMOCRATISATION OF AGENCY (KNOWLEDGE & CAPITAL) 06 / PLACE CAPITAL // THE NEED FOR START UP NATION 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // BUILDING A START UP NATION INFRASTRUCTURE // KEY INFRASTRUCTURE 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • BEYOND THE KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY... // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY THE HUB KINGS CROSS // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY BIRKBECK CHAMBERS 01 INCUBATION STAGE 02 WORKING ECOLOGY HUB PROVIDE HUB NETWORK HUB ENTREPRENEURS HUB ATTRACTS 03 LIVING ECOLOGY HUB PROVIDE NATURAL HOME EXISTING HUB ENTREPRENEURIAL PROVIDES PROVIDE DIVERSITY OF AS NEXT STEP FOR ALUMNI & MEMBERSHIP USED PRACTICE KNOWLEDGE TO SPEAKERS & MENTORSHIP & FUNDING POTENTIAL MENTORSHIP AFTER GUIDE PROGRAMME GUESTS & GET PRACTICE FROM PRACTICE GRADUATION TO CATALYSE CONTENT & GET ACCESS TO ACCESS TO KNOWLEDGE & GET SHARED ACCESS & GET ACCESS TO GRADUATE TO KNOWLEDGE RS KNOWLEDGE RESOURCES LECTURE SERIES TO IP DEVELOPMENT GROW MEMBER COMMUNITY NETWORK BE DEVELOPED GET GET GET M GET GET GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE A HUB CH A RESOURCE & + MIXING CHAMBER FOR ENTREPRENEURS, INNOVATORS & STUDENTS CK BIRKBECK COLLEGE GET GET GET GET GET ENTREPRENEURSHIP BE PHD STUDENT BIRK GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE GIVE with ENTERPRISE PROJECT BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK PROVIDES BIRKBECK ATTRACTS BIRKBECK GRADUATES INFRASTRUCTURE FOR LECTURE PROGRAMME PHD STUDENTS TO FUNDING TO SUPPORT BECOME ALUMNI & CONTINUE LEARNING INRFASTRUCTURE & RESEARCH & CHAMBERS PROJECTS TO ENGAGE WITH CHAMBER PROGRAMMES GET ACCESS TO WIDE GET TO ITERATE & INITIATIVES & GET COMMUNITY TO GROW & GET PROGRAMME NETWORK OF CURRENT MARKET PRACTICE KNOWLEDGE ACCESSIBLE KNOWLEDGE BIRKBECK PROVIDES CONTENT ENTREPRENEURS TO IDEAS RESOURCE & GET TO INNOVATION SPACES INFORM CONTENT MAINTAIN MEANINGFUL RELATIONSHIP WITH ALUMNI // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY SOMERSET HOUSE EXCHANGE SOMERSET EXCHANGE : MAKE BRITAIN E IN THE HEA LU RT VA ST MARTIN’S COLLEGE OF AL ROAD OF ART LD’S THEOBA SOMERSET EXCHANGE MICRO LOCATION HIGH HOLBORN VC FUND READILY LON GETTY IMAGE VC FUND GALLERY KINGS AVAILABLE TO INVEST CHARING WAY LSE CROSS IN ENTERPRISES ROAD CITY YCH OF MICRO ENTERPRISE INCUBATOR SPACE ALDW DON REGEN ND KING’S T STREE STRA COLLEGE T BLACKFRIARS BRIDGE X10 Southwar ROYAL NATIONAL WATER ACADEMY GALLERY RSA k Bridge ILLY LOO PICAD TRAFALGAR BRIDG SQUARE E NATIONAL THEATRE SOUTH BANK EMBANKMENT WHITEHALL VICTORIA WESTMINSTER WESTMINSTER BRIDGE RE-INVESTMENT ENGINE INTO THE “MAKE BRITAIN” AGENDA PROJECT ROOMS SHORT TERM TEAMS MADE UP OF INNOVATORS FROM COMMUNITY OF EXCELLENCE TO TACKLE PROJECTS UNDER ONE ROOF, WORLD CLASS ENTERPRISE FACILITIES SHARING KNOWLEDGE & 1 COMMUNITY OF EXCELLENCE RESOURCES 1 RICH SUPPORT INFRASTRUCTURE ENTREPRENEURS TO CREATE A COMPLETE INNOVATION ECOLOGY MATERIALS 100% SUSTAINABLY SOURCED SUPPORTING ENTREPRENEURS TO TAKE INNOVATION & SOMERSET EXCHANGE CONNECTS CREATIVITY FROM CONCEPT TO MARKET COMPLEMENTARY ORGANISATIONS, SIGNPOSTING KNOWLEDGE & RESOURCES WITHIN THE MEMBERSHIP THOUGHT DINNERS HOSTED BY A GRADUATE SHOWS EVERY 18 MENTOR MONTHS TO PROMOTE NEXT MEMBER ON THE FUTURE OF LOW CARBON DESIGN TO DRAW SPONSORED WORKSHOPS GENERATION TALENT TO THE IN PARTNERSHIP WITH INDUSTRY TO FORM NEW SUPPORT KNOWLEDGE FROM A COMMUNITY OF MARKET & THE PUBLIC COLLABORATIONS & DISSEMINATE LEARNING EXCELLENCE COURTYARD SERVES AS LAUNCHPAD OF BRITISH INNOVATION, CREATIVE & EXPO ADVOCATES THE NEXT GENERATION OF ENTREPRENEURS & CULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AS A GLOBAL STAGE FOR INNOVATION & ENTERPRISE. DESIGNERS; SHOWCASING NEXT GENERATION TALENT AFTER 100 SPECIALIST RESOURCES LOCATED ON SITE TO SUPPORT PROTOTYPING (3D PRINTERS, OPEN CALL COMPETITIONS; PROVIDING A MARKETPLACE TO TEST DIGITAL SOFTWARE) MADE ACCESSIBLE TO PRODUCTS; HOLDING PUBLIC WORKSHOPS FOR THE MEMBERSHIP & WIDER TO ATTRACT ENTREPRENEURS OF THE FUTURE T U RE THEATRE SOMERSET HOUSE KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY KINGS COLLEGE LABS L EC ICONIC LECTURE SERIES PUBLIC INNOVATION LECTURE PROGRAMME GIVEN BY FELLOWS, DISSEMINATING KNOWLEDGE TO AN INTERNATIONAL AUDIENCE PROJECT LABS WEALTH OF TALENT & SUPPORTING THE BEST INVITED FROM THE COMMUNITY OF INVITED TO HOST WORKSHOPS AND OF INNOVATION FROM MOST INNOVATIVE PROTOTYPE PROJECTS WITHIN A EXCELLENCE IDEA TO MARKET INDIVIDUALS & KNOWLEDGE COMMUNITY ATTRACT INVESTORS ORGANISATIONS OPEN INNOVATION COMPETITIONS GLOBAL FELLOWS BLACK BOOK INVESTMENT FUND “EXPERT IN RESIDENCE” // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? : / 00 00: / strategy research implement [zero zero] research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY THE MANOR Community Kitchen Community Lounge Community Shed Community Rooms The Building SHARED CIRCULATION / WORKSPACE TOILET SHARED / COMMUNAL KITCHEN AND TOILET KITCHEN FACILITIES ESS ADMIN / DESKSPACE ESS ADMIN / DESKSPACE ACC ACC WORKSHOP / STORAGE / WORKSPACE WORKSHOP / STORAGE / WORKSPACE !!" ! ISSUE / THE BUILDING TYPICAL WORKSHOP / WORKSPACE CONFIGURATION DISTRIBUTED WORKSHOP / WORKSPACE CONFIGURATION + ‘SHARED RESOURCES’ Friday, 12 June 2009 Friday, 12 June 2009 WORK SPACE CONFIGURATIONS WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES TO INCREASE SOCIABILITY AND PRODUCTIVITY IN BETWEEN NEW START-UP ENTERPRISES? CAN COMMUNAL FACILITIES AND SHARED RESOURCES INCREASE VALUABLE INTER-BUSINESS CONNECTIONS, OR ALLOW FOR NEW TYPES OF ENTERPRISE OPPORTUNITIES? // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY SOAR WORKS // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // RETAIL ECONOMY MY HOME TOWN a Clubcard for a town that ploughs its profits back into the community // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // VOCATIONAL ECONOMY MICRO STOCK EXCHANGE THE POTENTIAL 60 MILLION CITIZENS 60 MILLION CITIZENS 60 MILLION CITIZENS X 30 MINUTES EACH X £25 EACH X 1 IDEA EACH = 30 MILLION HOURS OF TIME = £1.5 BILLION CAPITAL = 60 MILLION IDEAS opening up pathways for ...everyday micro scales of social capital building investment & exchange MSX / SKILLS / MICRO STOCK EXCHANGE / x 60 MILLION / NEIGHBOURHOOD / TIME TOWN / CITY / REGION CAPITAL ITIZENS INVESTING INTO RIDGES WITHIN A LOCAL CHANGE AT AN EVERYDAY SCALE THEIR COMMUNITY AREA unlocking the collective capabilities of BIRMINGHAM everyday public need ; made & delivered by the local citizens citizens of a local area // WHAT DOES START UP NATION LOOK LIKE? 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • OBSERVATIONS FROM A 00:/ HORIZON 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // SHARING ECONOMY u r cl b ca £c25 h ea nt ohm // SUMMARY 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // MICRO MASSIVE // SUMMARY 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • // “REAL” ESTATE COMMUNIT Y VA L U E B O R R O W E D , A S S O C I AT I O N A L O R B U I LT SYMBOLIC REAL VA L U E E S TAT E S PA C E BUILDING & LAND INHABITECTURE BASED ASSETS SOCIAL RECOGNITION // SUMMARY 00: / research, strategise & implement www.project00.net
    • THANK YOU indy@architecture00.net 00: / 00:/ 81 Leonard Street ec2a 4qs london tel : +44 (0)20 7739 2230 info@architecture00.net www.architecture00.net [zero zero]